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Southern Miss — Sun Belt

HC Blake Anderson · M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS · 36,000 cap
SP+
#128 · -20.7
2026
Elo
1275
2025
PPA off / def
0.16 / 0.12
2025
2025 record
7–6
Class rank
#108
class of 2026
Talent
603
2025
Returning PPA
90%
returning production
SP+ rating by season

2026 schedule

WkOpponentAll-time seriesVenue
wk1vs Alcorn Stateleads 4–0 · W4M. M. Roberts Stadium
wk2at AuburnAuburn leads 17–5 · L4Jordan-Hare Stadium
wk3vs UConnM. M. Roberts Stadium
wk4at Tulaneleads 23–10Yulman Stadium
wk6at TroyTroy leads 6–3 · L5Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
wk7vs Arkansas Stateleads 8–3M. M. Roberts Stadium
wk8vs Louisianaleads 24–5M. M. Roberts Stadium
wk9at UL Monroeleads 7–3Malone Stadium
wk10vs James MadisonJames Madison leads 1–0M. M. Roberts Stadium
wk11at Louisiana Techleads 19–13Joe Aillet Stadium
wk12vs South AlabamaSouth Alabama leads 6–0 · L6M. M. Roberts Stadium
wk13at Old DominionOld Dominion leads 2–1 · L2S.B. Ballard Stadium

2025 results (7–6)

wk1 vs Mississippi State L 17–34
wk2 vs Jackson State W 38–20
wk3 vs App State W 38–22
wk4 at Louisiana Tech L 20–30
wk5 vs Jacksonville State W 42–25
wk7 at Georgia Southern W 38–35
wk8 at Louisiana W 22–10
wk9 vs UL Monroe W 49–21
wk11 at Arkansas State W 27–21
wk12 vs Texas State L 14–41
wk13 at South Alabama L 35–42
wk14 vs Troy L 18–28
wk1 post N Western Kentucky L 16–27 New Orleans Bowl

Statistical comps — 2025 Southern Miss's closest analogs

Season · TeamRecordAP FinalSP+Similarity
2018 Miami (OH) 6–6 -0.7 59
2023 Bowling Green 7–6 -7.8 59
2023 Middle Tennessee 4–8 -9.5 58
2025 Kennesaw State 10–4 -5.4 58
2020 Hawai'i 5–4 -7.1 57
2025 Florida International 7–6 -10.5 56
Nearest neighbors by z-scored success rate, explosiveness, run rate & havoc (offense + defense), 2015–25.

2025 leaders

Passing
Braylon BraxtonQB3,053 yds
Landy LyddyQB406 yds
Rushing
Jeffery PittmanRB695 yds
Matt JonesRB325 yds
Robert BriggsRB304 yds
Receiving
Elijah MetcalfWR683 yds
Carl ChesterWR550 yds
Tychaun ChapmanWR444 yds

Transfer portal — 2026 (38 in / 28 out)

Incoming
Jonah MartinezCBTCU★★★
Will SmithEDGENorth Texas★★★
Xavier McIverDLEast Carolina★★★
Jamarice WilderRBLouisville★★★
A'mari WilsonEDGE← Campbell★★★
Amari WilsonEDGEGeorgia Southern★★★
Christian YoungIOL← Emory & Henry★★★
Jyaire BrownCBUCF★★★
+ 30 more
Outgoing
Garrick PonderEDGEBaylor
Ian FosterSMemphis
Mason ClintonDLFlorida
Jabari IshmaelEDGEMemphis
Chris JonesLBFlorida State
Tychaun ChapmanWRMemphis
Guylijah TheoduleCBUAB
JJ HawkinsEDGE→ uncommitted
+ 20 more
data: CollegeFootballData.com · dashboard

Origins

Favre arrived as a seventh-string quarterback and beat Florida State in Tallahassee. The 1980s and 90s teams made a habit of ambushing power programs for a paycheck.

Founded 1910 · Mississippi Normal College, the state's teacher-training school · first football 1912 · defined by Brett Favre

All-time record

All-time
413–373–7
1913–2025
Win %
52.5%
89 seasons played
Winning seasons
51
57% of seasons
By level: ii/iii 9–18 (1913–1954) · D-II 0–8 (1948–1951) · FBS 404–347–7 (1955–2025)
Best seasonsWLConference
2011122Conference USA
1988102FBS Independents
198192FBS Independents
199993Conference USA
199793Conference USA
Season records from CollegeFootballData, which is why the span starts at 1913 — that is where its coverage of this program begins, not necessarily the first year it fielded a team.

Play-calling tendencies (2025 · garbage time excluded)

SituationPlaysRun %Success %Nat'lAvg ydsExpl %
1st down37353% 38%124 of 1365.612%
2nd down27647% 40%80 of 1366.011%
3rd & short (≤3)4271% 60%4.17%
3rd & medium (4–7)5931% 39%4.910%
3rd & long (8+)6724% 28%8.421%
4th down1947% 47%5.211%
166 drives · 30% ended in points · 7.2 plays and 39.4 yards per drive · 0.88 PPA per drive
Success: 50% of yardage needed on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th. Explosive: 12+ yd rush / 16+ yd pass. National rank is shown only for 1st and 2nd down, where every team has 100+ plays; the later buckets average 18-43 and a rank there would be noise. League leaderboard →

Most valuable plays (by PPA, 2025)

WkOppPlayYdsPPA
8Louisiana Braylon Braxton pass complete to Micah Davis for 98 yds for a TD (Creighton Wilbanks KICK) 987.37
11Arkansas State Elijah Metcalf 76 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick) 766.15
9UL Monroe (12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short middle to #88 K.Heath caught at… 344.65
4Louisiana Tech Davis Dalton 34 Yd pass from Braylon Braxton (Creighton Wilbanks Kick) 344.49
3App State Braylon Braxton pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 48 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST down 484.27
14Troy (03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #7 C.Chester caught at T… 304.17
13South Alabama (06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #7 C.Chester caught at U… 524.01
13South Alabama (14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep middle to #7 C.Chester caught at… 443.93