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Middle Tennessee — Conference USA

HC Derek Mason · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN · 30,788 cap
SP+
#135 · -26.5
2026
Elo
1164
2025
PPA off / def
0.14 / 0.21
2025
2025 record
3–9
Class rank
#119
class of 2026
Talent
521
2025
Returning PPA
33%
returning production
SP+ rating by season

2026 schedule

WkOpponentAll-time seriesVenue
wk1vs Murray Stateleads 2–0 · W2Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
wk2at Marshalltied 5–5Joan C. Edwards Stadium
wk3vs Nevadaleads 1–0Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
wk4at Jacksonville StateJacksonville State leads 3–0 · L3AmFirst Stadium
wk5at KansasMemorial Stadium
wk7vs DelawareDelaware leads 1–0Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
wk8at Florida Internationalleads 14–7 · L2Pitbull Stadium
wk9vs Kennesaw Statetied 1–1Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
wk10vs Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky leads 12–6 · L7Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
wk11at LibertyLiberty leads 3–0 · L3Williams Stadium (VA)
wk12at Sam Houstontied 1–1Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
wk13vs New Mexico StateNew Mexico State leads 4–3Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

2025 results (3–9)

wk1 vs Austin Peay L 14–34
wk2 at Wisconsin L 10–42
wk3 at Nevada W 14–13
wk4 vs Marshall L 28–42
wk5 at Kennesaw State L 16–24
wk7 vs Missouri State L 20–22
wk9 at Delaware L 28–31
wk10 vs Jacksonville State L 21–24
wk11 vs Florida International L 30–56
wk12 at Western Kentucky L 26–42
wk13 vs Sam Houston W 31–17
wk14 at New Mexico State W 31–24

Statistical comps — 2025 Middle Tennessee's closest analogs

Season · TeamRecordAP FinalSP+Similarity
2025 San José State 3–9 -14.3 51
2016 Purdue 3–9 -11.0 51
2022 Akron 2–10 -23.4 50
2018 Hawai'i 8–6 -10.4 49
2023 Colorado State 5–7 -8.9 49
2023 Hawai'i 5–8 -16.4 47
Nearest neighbors by z-scored success rate, explosiveness, run rate & havoc (offense + defense), 2015–25.

2025 leaders

Passing
Nick VattiatoQB2,157 yds
Roman GaglianoQB1,011 yds
Stanley Anderson-LoftonQB11 yds
Rushing
Jekail MiddlebrookRB752 yds
DJ TaylorRB199 yds
Roman GaglianoQB160 yds
Receiving
Cam'Ron LacyWR529 yds
Myles ButlerWR518 yds
Nahzae CoxWR473 yds

Transfer portal — 2026 (19 in / 18 out)

Incoming
James JohnsonCBUSC★★★
Reese TrippIOLMinnesota★★★
Dyson McCutcheonSWashington★★★
Ashton TaylorLB← Jackson State★★★
Antonio Martin Jr.RBKansas State★★★
Brennan SmithIOLMississippi State★★★
Ricky Lee IIICBSacramento State★★★
Chris MorenoIOL← Monmouth★★★
+ 11 more
Outgoing
Jekail MiddlebrookRBVirginia
Nahzae CoxWRKansas
John Howse IVSArkansas
Mateo GuevaraIOLKennesaw State
Alex MitchellLBApp State
Muaaz ByardLBUAB
Shakai WoodsDLArkansas State
Amorion WalkerWRUNLV
+ 10 more
data: CollegeFootballData.com · dashboard

Origins

Stockstill lasted seventeen seasons, which in this conference is close to permanence. The Blue Raiders beat Missouri in 2016 and Miami in 2017 and mostly play the role of dangerous visitor.

Founded 1911 · One of three normal schools the state opened the same year · first football 1911 · defined by Rick Stockstill

All-time record

All-time
160–212–1
1911–2025
Win %
43.0%
62 seasons played
Winning seasons
17
27% of seasons
By level: ii/iii 0–13 (1911–1951) · FCS 7–25–1 (1953–1998) · FBS 153–174 (1999–2025)
Best seasonsWLConference
2009103Sun Belt
200183Sun Belt
201284Sun Belt
202285Conference USA
201685Conference USA
Season records from CollegeFootballData, which is why the span starts at 1911 — that is where its coverage of this program begins, not necessarily the first year it fielded a team.

Play-calling tendencies (2025 · garbage time excluded)

SituationPlaysRun %Success %Nat'lAvg ydsExpl %
1st down34142% 48%28 of 1365.811%
2nd down25637% 41%87 of 1366.011%
3rd & short (≤3)4250% 64%5.514%
3rd & medium (4–7)5618% 36%4.04%
3rd & long (8+)7111% 27%6.115%
4th down2532% 28%2.68%
152 drives · 26% ended in points · 6.9 plays and 37.1 yards per drive · 0.76 PPA per drive
Success: 50% of yardage needed on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th. Explosive: 12+ yd rush / 16+ yd pass. National rank is shown only for 1st and 2nd down, where every team has 100+ plays; the later buckets average 18-43 and a rank there would be noise. League leaderboard →

Most valuable plays (by PPA, 2025)

WkOppPlayYdsPPA
12Western Kentucky (07:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano rush middle for 64 yards gain to the WKU02 (#17 D… 644.76
11Florida International (00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete deep middle to #13 C.Lacy caught at… 604.76
14New Mexico State (01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 D.Taylor rush right for 64 yards gain to the NMSU00 TOUCHDOW… 644.63
4Marshall Jekail Middlebrook run for 72 yds to the MRSH 3 for a 1ST down 724.61
12Western Kentucky (13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete deep left to #13 C.Lacy caught at W… 684.61
14New Mexico State (06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Gagliano pass complete deep right to #89 L.Collins caught … 484.45
13Sam Houston (13:03) #16 R.Gagliano rush middle for 33 yards gain to the SHSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:55,… 334.40
12Western Kentucky Myles Butler 52 Yd pass from Roman Gagliano (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) 524.01