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#126Missouri State
22
Conference USA
AT
#135Middle Tennessee
20
Conference USA
2025 week 7 · Wednesday, October 8, 2025 at 6:30 PM CT · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · 📺 ESPN2 · 68°F Fair, wind 2.5

Drive chart

WIN PROBABILITYMissouri State above · Middle Tennessee below
KICK61% → 0% Middle TennesseeFINAL
Missouri State Middle Tennessee bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
OWN G255025END ZONE
WP
Δ
▸
Q1
FG
9 pl · 38 yd · 4:18
0–3
+5
15:00 1st & 10 OWN 35 Jekail Middlebrook run for 12 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST down +12 1.15
14:38 1st & 10 OWN 47 Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MTSU 47 Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MTSU 37 -10 -2.77
14:16 1st & 20 OWN 37 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Jones for 4 yds to the MTSU 41 +4 -0.11
13:44 2nd & 16 OWN 41 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 15 yds to the MOST 44 +15 2.26
13:05 3rd & 1 OPP 44 Jekail Middlebrook run for 16 yds to the MOST 28 for a 1ST down +16 1.38
12:42 1st & 10 OPP 28 Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MOST 28 0 -0.51
12:09 2nd & 10 OPP 28 Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MOST 28 0 -0.70
11:29 3rd & 10 OPP 28 Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MOST 27 +1 -0.74
10:42 4th & 9 OPP 27 Jacob Hathaway 45 Yd Field Goal
▸
PUNT
4 pl · 6 yd · 1:57
0–3
+4
10:32 1st & 10 OWN 25 Shomari Lawrence run for 10 yds to the MOST 35 for a 1ST down +10 0.84
10:04 1st & 10 OWN 35 Deuce Bailey sacked by Reggie Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the MOST 26 -9 -1.90
9:27 2nd & 19 OWN 26 Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the MOST 31 +5 0.01
8:53 3rd & 14 OWN 31 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to Ramone Green Jr. 0 -0.16
8:43 4th & 14 OWN 31 Stewart McDonald punt for 47 yds
▸
—
4 pl · 5 yd · 1:51
0–3
−6
8:35 1st & 10 OWN 22 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for no gain to the MTSU 22 Middle Tennessee Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 17 -5 -0.92
8:17 1st & 15 OWN 17 Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the MTSU 19 +2 -0.18
7:42 2nd & 13 OWN 19 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 11 yds to the MTSU 30 +11 0.64
6:58 3rd & 2 OWN 30 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Cam'ron Lacy, broken up by Ryan Williams 0 -0.52
6:53 4th & 2 OWN 30 Ashton Logan punt for 36 yds
0:00 OWN 22 End of 1st Quarter
▸
Q2
FUMBLE
3 pl · 6 yd · 1:13
0–3
+2
13:33 1st & 10 OWN 31 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 6 yds to the MTSU 37 +6 0.38
13:06 2nd & 4 OWN 37 Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MTSU 37 0 -1.06
12:23 3rd & 4 OWN 37 run for a loss of 13 yards to the MTSU 24 fumbled, recovered by MOST Jalen Brooks -0.71
▸
TD
3 pl · 24 yd · 0:56
6–3
−30
12:17 1st & 10 OPP 24 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to Dash Luke 0 -0.43
12:10 2nd & 10 OPP 24 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Dash Luke for 19 yds to the MTSU 5 for a 1ST down +19 1.23
11:27 1st & 5 OPP 5 Deuce Bailey 5 Yd Run (Yousef Obeid PAT failed) +5 1.88
▸
TD
3 pl · 82 yd · 1:12
6–10
+38
11:17 1st & 10 OWN 18 Jekail Middlebrook run for 18 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down +18 1.34
10:42 1st & 10 OWN 36 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 12 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST down +12 1.14
10:06 1st & 10 OWN 48 Cam'ron Lacy 52 Yd pass from Nicholas Vattiato (Jacob Hathaway Kick) +52 4.01
▸
TD
10 pl · 79 yd · 4:31
13–10
−39
9:57 1st & 10 OWN 21 Deuce Bailey pass complete to James BlackStrain for 1 yd to the MOST 22 +1 -0.49
9:22 2nd & 9 OWN 22 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to James BlackStrain, broken up by Damonte Smith 0 -0.33
9:16 3rd & 9 OWN 22 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Isaiah McMorris for 13 yds to the MOST 35 Middle Tennessee Penalty, personal foul (Kalen Woods) to the 50 yard line +28 3.31
8:37 1st & 10 50 Deuce Bailey run for 7 yds to the MTSU 43 +7 0.59
8:01 2nd & 3 OPP 43 Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST down +5 0.16
7:41 1st & 10 OPP 38 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Jeron Askren for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 39 -1 -0.98
7:01 2nd & 11 OPP 39 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson, broken up by Muaaz Byard 0 -1.01
6:54 3rd & 11 OPP 39 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 17 yds to the MTSU 22 for a 1ST down +17 2.44
6:06 1st & 10 OPP 22 Ramone Green Jr. run for 2 yds to the MTSU 20 +2 -0.22
5:29 2nd & 8 OPP 20 Ronnel Johnson 20 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Yousef Obeid Kick) +20 2.87
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 5 yd · 1:41
13–10
+9
5:24 1st & 10 OWN 35 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Jones for 5 yds to the MTSU 40 +5 0.11
5:02 2nd & 5 OWN 40 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Jones for 3 yds to the MTSU 43 +3 -0.42
4:21 3rd & 2 OWN 43 Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Thomas Anderson for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 40 Middle Tennessee Penalty, illegal formation (Yards) to the MTSU 40 -3 -1.27
3:53 4th & 5 OWN 40 Ashton Logan punt for 53 yds
▸
FG
8 pl · 71 yd · 2:43
16–10
−12
3:45 1st & 10 OWN 7 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Makai Cope for 14 yds to the MOST 21 for a 1ST down +14 0.54
3:16 1st & 10 OWN 21 Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the MOST 27 +6 0.30
2:31 2nd & 4 OWN 27 Deuce Bailey run for 4 yds to the MOST 31 for a 1ST down +4 0.43
1:56 1st & 10 OWN 31 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 42 yds to the MTSU 27 for a 1ST down +42 2.87
1:33 1st & 10 OPP 27 Deuce Bailey run for 8 yds to the MTSU 19 +8 0.49
1:16 2nd & 2 OPP 19 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to Tristian Gardner, broken up by De'Arre McDonald 0 -0.58
1:12 3rd & 2 OPP 19 Deuce Bailey run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 22 -3 -1.03
1:05 4th & 5 OPP 22 Yousef Obeid 39 Yd Field Goal
▸
FG
9 pl · 56 yd · 0:59
16–13
+20
0:55 1st & 10 OWN 21 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 12 yds to the MTSU 33 for a 1ST down +12 0.90
0:45 1st & 10 OWN 33 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 12 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST down +12 1.15
0:31 1st & 10 OWN 45 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae Cox, broken up by Jordan Dunbar 0 -1.16
0:28 2nd & 10 OWN 45 Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MTSU 49 +4 -0.16
0:19 3rd & 6 OWN 49 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 14 yds to the MOST 37 for a 1ST down +14 2.54
0:12 2nd & 10 OPP 37 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Hunter Tipton 0 -0.97
0:07 3rd & 10 OPP 37 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 14 yds to the MOST 23 for a 1ST down +14 2.11
0:00 1st & 10 OPP 23 Jacob Hathaway 40 Yd Field Goal
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Q3
FG
5 pl · 80 yd · 2:20
19–13
−23
14:50 1st & 10 OWN 12 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for 76 yds to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST down +76 4.20
14:26 1st & 10 OPP 12 Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the MTSU 8 +4 -0.02
13:51 2nd & 6 OPP 8 Deuce Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 9 -1 -0.38
13:13 3rd & 7 OPP 9 Deuce Bailey run for 1 yd to the MTSU 8 +1 -0.27
12:33 4th & 6 OPP 8 Yousef Obeid 25 Yd Field Goal
▸
ON DOWNS
9 pl · 37 yd · 3:08
19–13
+13
12:31 1st & 10 OWN 25 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 7 yds to the MTSU 32 +7 0.60
12:00 2nd & 3 OWN 32 Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST down +6 0.52
11:30 1st & 10 OWN 38 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 9 yds Nicholas Vattiato fumbled, recovered by MTSU +9 1.37
11:11 2nd & 1 OWN 47 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ Jones 0 -1.42
11:08 3rd & 1 OWN 47 Jekail Middlebrook run for 7 yds to the MOST 46 for a 1ST down +7 1.47
10:43 1st & 10 OPP 46 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 4 yds to the MOST 42 +4 -0.12
10:05 2nd & 6 OPP 42 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Hunter Tipton 0 -1.07
9:54 3rd & 6 OPP 42 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Kason Stokes for 4 yds to the MOST 38 +4 -0.17
9:27 4th & 2 OPP 38 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Kason Stokes, broken up by Jordan Dunbar 0 -2.10
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 7 yd · 1:02
19–13
−11
9:20 1st & 10 OWN 38 Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the MOST 45 +7 0.71
8:41 2nd & 3 OWN 45 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to Connor Lair 0 -1.29
8:36 3rd & 3 OWN 45 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to Brendon McQueen, broken up by Anthony Bynum 0 -0.91
8:30 4th & 3 OWN 45 Stewart McDonald punt for 55 yds
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PUNT
5 pl · 11 yd · 1:30
19–13
+1
8:20 1st & 10 OWN 20 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Jones for 5 yds to the MTSU 25 +5 0.09
7:56 2nd & 5 OWN 25 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 6 yds to the MTSU 31 for a 1ST down +6 0.69
7:23 1st & 10 OWN 31 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Hunter Tipton 0 -0.89
7:16 2nd & 10 OWN 31 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Myles Butler, broken up by Christian Ford 0 -0.49
7:11 3rd & 10 OWN 31 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Jekail Middlebrook, broken up by Jalen Brooks 0 -0.23
7:02 4th & 10 OWN 31 Ashton Logan punt for 49 yds
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FUMBLE
6 pl · 30 yd · 2:42
19–13
−4
6:49 1st & 10 OWN 20 Deuce Bailey pass complete to James BlackStrain for 11 yds to the MOST 31 for a 1ST down +11 0.78
6:24 1st & 10 OWN 31 Shomari Lawrence run for 10 yds to the MOST 41 for a 1ST down +10 0.95
5:56 1st & 10 OWN 41 Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the MOST 43 +2 -0.68
5:11 2nd & 8 OWN 43 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to James BlackStrain 0 -0.96
5:00 3rd & 8 OWN 43 Deuce Bailey run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line +7 0.43
4:14 4th & 1 50 Deuce Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 49 Deuce Bailey fumbled, recovered by MOST Deuce Bailey -1 -1.13
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ON DOWNS
4 pl · 7 yd · 2:16
19–13
+10
4:05 1st & 10 OPP 49 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Evan Poticher for 5 yds to the MOST 44 +5 0.10
3:28 2nd & 5 OPP 44 Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MOST 40 +4 -0.13
3:02 3rd & 1 OPP 40 Middle Tennessee Penalty, false start (Mateo Guevara) to the MOST 44 -4
2:38 3rd & 5 OPP 44 Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MOST 43 +1 -0.86
1:56 4th & 4 OPP 43 Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the MOST 42 +1 -1.36
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PUNT
3 pl · -9 yd · 1:45
19–13
−7
1:52 1st & 10 OWN 42 Deuce Bailey sacked by Anthony Bynum for a loss of 20 yards to the MOST 22 Deuce Bailey fumbled, recovered by MOST Jeron Askren , return for 0 yards -20 -2.78
0:58 2nd & 30 OWN 22 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete 0 -0.04
0:54 3rd & 30 OWN 22 Deuce Bailey run for 11 yds to the MOST 33 +11 0.06
0:14 4th & 19 OWN 33 Stewart McDonald punt for 39 yds
▸
TD
13 pl · 72 yd · 5:58
19–20
+42
0:08 1st & 10 OWN 28 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 11 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST down +11 1.00
0:00 OWN 28 End of 3rd Quarter
14:58 1st & 10 OWN 39 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 10 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down +10 0.93
14:26 1st & 10 OWN 49 Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the MOST 46 +5 0.10
13:42 2nd & 5 OPP 46 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 4 yds to the MOST 42 +4 -0.14
13:09 3rd & 1 OPP 42 Jekail Middlebrook run for 3 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down +3 0.82
12:34 1st & 10 OPP 39 Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Dylan Dixson for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ryan Williams) to the MOST 25 for a 1ST down +14 0.44
12:08 1st & 10 OPP 25 Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Jekail Middlebrook 0 -0.45
12:02 2nd & 10 OPP 25 Jekail Middlebrook run for 3 yds to the MOST 22 +3 -0.19
11:20 3rd & 7 OPP 22 Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Cooper Roy for 0 yards to the MOST 22 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (Mitchell Toney) to the MOST 11 for a 1ST down +11 0.82
11:05 1st & 10 OPP 11 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 13 -2 -0.41
10:30 2nd & 12 OPP 13 Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MOST 13 Middle Tennessee Penalty, face mask (0 yards) (Kanye Young) to the MOST 13 0 -0.34
9:52 2nd & 12 OPP 13 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 3 yds to the MOST 10 +3 -0.10
9:12 3rd & 9 OPP 10 Cam'ron Lacy 10 Yd pass from Nicholas Vattiato (Jacob Hathaway Kick) +10 3.03
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Q4
FG
10 pl · 56 yd · 4:45
22–27
−42
9:01 1st & 10 OWN 32 Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the MOST 36 +4 -0.15
8:26 2nd & 6 OWN 36 Deuce Bailey run for 7 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down +7 1.20
7:56 1st & 10 OWN 43 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to Jeron Askren 0 -1.16
7:47 2nd & 10 OWN 43 Deuce Bailey sacked by Brandon Buckner for a loss of 4 yards to the MOST 39 -4 -1.29
7:13 3rd & 14 OWN 39 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Middle Tennessee Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Korey Smith) to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST down +26 3.94
6:37 1st & 10 OPP 35 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 20 yds Deuce Bailey fumbled, recovered by MOST Cash Hudson for a 1ST down +20 0.41
5:36 1st & 10 OPP 15 Deuce Bailey run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 18 -3 -0.54
5:10 2nd & 13 OPP 18 Deuce Bailey pass incomplete to James BlackStrain, broken up by De'Arre McDonald 0 -0.47
5:04 3rd & 13 OPP 18 Deuce Bailey pass complete to Dash Luke for 6 yds to the MTSU 12 +6 0.15
4:19 4th & 7 OPP 12 Yousef Obeid 29 Yd Field Goal
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MISSED FG
9 pl · 44 yd · 3:20
25–20
+13
4:16 1st & 10 OWN 25 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 19 yds to the MTSU 44 for a 1ST down +19 1.71
3:49 1st & 10 OWN 44 Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 48 +4 -0.16
3:17 2nd & 6 OWN 48 Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line +2 -0.69
2:38 3rd & 4 50 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Jones for 5 yds to the MOST 45 for a 1ST down +5 1.74
2:04 1st & 10 OPP 45 Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MOST 45 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tim Brantley Jr.) to the MOST 30 for a 1ST down +15 0.66
1:57 1st & 10 OPP 30 Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 31 -1 -0.70
1:54 2nd & 11 OPP 31 Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MOST 31 0 -0.82
1:50 3rd & 11 OPP 31 Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for no gain to the MOST 31 0 -1.01
1:03 4th & 11 OPP 31 Jacob Hathaway 50 yd FG MISSED
▸
—
3 pl · -8 yd · 0:59
22–20
−42
0:56 1st & 10 OWN 31 Deuce Bailey run for a loss of 4 yards to the MOST 27 -4 -1.33
0:53 2nd & 14 OWN 27 Deuce Bailey run for a loss of 4 yards to the MOST 23 -4 -0.37
0:17 3rd & 18 OWN 23 Deuce Bailey run for a loss of 5 yards to the MOST 23 -5 -0.09
21 drives. Field position runs left to right for both teams: 0 is the offense's own goal line, 100 the one it is attacking. WP is CollegeFootballData's model, read at the last play of each drive; Δ is what the drive moved it, in points of probability.

Defense

3sacks2
5plays for loss9
1takeaways1
1three-and-outs forced2
6explosive plays allowed7
5.55yards allowed / play6.76
4 of 11scoring drives allowed5 of 10
Missouri State
Jalen Brooks 8 (7) 1 PD
Jared Lloyd 8 (6)
Maguire Neal 7 (6)
Thomas Anderson 6 (6) 1 sk · 2 TFL
Dylan Dixson 5 (4) 1 sk · 1 TFL
Kanye Young 5 (2) 1 QH
Devin Rutherford 3 (3)
Cooper Roy 2 (2) 1 TFL
Middle Tennessee
Brendon Harris 5 (4) 1 TFL
Alex Mitchell 5 (1) 1 TFL · 1 QH
Reggie Johnson 4 (3) 1 sk · 2 TFL
Parker Hughes 4 (2) 0.5 TFL
De'Arre McDonald 4 (4) 2 PD
Jackson Lowe 4 (3)
Anthony Bynum 3 (1) 1 sk · 1.5 TFL · 1 PD · 1 QH
Damonte Smith 3 (2) 1 TFL · 1 PD · 2 QH
Tackles with solo in parentheses. Sacks, plays for loss and explosive plays come from the play rows; takeaways and three-and-outs from how each drive ended.

Special teams

3 of 4field goals2 of 3
4punts4
45.3punt average43.5
1punts inside the 201
73return yards27
own 20average drive startown 24
Missouri State
K Yousef Obeid 3/4 FG · long 39 · 1/2 XP
P Stewart McDonald 4 punts · 45.3 avg · 1 in 20 · 1 TB
KR Alred Luke 4 ret · 73 yds · long 25
Middle Tennessee
K Jacob Hathaway 2/3 FG · long 45 · 2/2 XP
P Ashton Logan 4 punts · 43.5 avg · 1 in 20
KR DJ Taylor 2 ret · 27 yds · long 15
K kicking, P punting, KR kick returns, PR punt returns. Average drive start counts only drives that began after a punt or a kickoff — a drive handed over by a takeaway is the defense's doing.

Team stats from play-by-play

49plays65
331yards361
10drives11
39%success rate48%
13.31total PPA8.49
Derived from 114 scrimmage plays. Interception return yardage is excluded from the offense.

Scoring

Q1Jacob Hathaway 45 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Q2Deuce Bailey 5 Yd Run (Yousef Obeid PAT failed) 6–3
Q2Cam'ron Lacy 52 Yd pass from Nicholas Vattiato (Jacob Hathaway Kick) 10–6
Q2Ronnel Johnson 20 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Yousef Obeid Kick) 13–10
Q2Yousef Obeid 39 Yd Field Goal 16–10
Q2Jacob Hathaway 40 Yd Field Goal 13–16
Q3Yousef Obeid 25 Yd Field Goal 19–13
Q4Cam'ron Lacy 10 Yd pass from Nicholas Vattiato (Jacob Hathaway Kick) 20–19
Q4Yousef Obeid 29 Yd Field Goal 22–20

Biggest plays by PPA

Q3Deuce Bailey pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for 76 yds to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST down 4.20
Q2Cam'ron Lacy 52 Yd pass from Nicholas Vattiato (Jacob Hathaway Kick) 4.01
Q4Deuce Bailey pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST… 3.94
Q2Deuce Bailey pass complete to Isaiah McMorris for 13 yds to the MOST 35 Middle… 3.31
Q4Cam'ron Lacy 10 Yd pass from Nicholas Vattiato (Jacob Hathaway Kick) 3.03
Q2Ronnel Johnson 20 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Yousef Obeid Kick) 2.87
Data: CollegeFootballData · terminal