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Buffalo — Mid-American

HC Pete Lembo · UB Stadium · Amherst, NY · 30,270 cap
SP+
#111 · -12.7
2026
Elo
1298
2025
PPA off / def
0.08 / 0.11
2025
2025 record
5–7
Class rank
#101
class of 2026
Talent
513
2025
Returning PPA
-1%
returning production
SP+ rating by season

vs Ohio State — OSU leads 1–0

2013 OSU W 40–20Columbus

2026 schedule

WkOpponentAll-time seriesVenue
wk1vs UAlbanytied 1–1UB Stadium
wk2at Florida InternationalPitbull Stadium
wk3at Penn StatePenn State leads 3–1 · L3Beaver Stadium
wk4vs Robert Morrisleads 1–0UB Stadium
wk5vs Western MichiganWestern Michigan leads 9–2 · L4UB Stadium
wk6at ToledoToledo leads 6–5Glass Bowl
wk7vs Massachusettsleads 10–2 · W3UB Stadium
wk8vs Bowling GreenBowling Green leads 13–9UB Stadium
wk10at Miami (OH)Miami (OH) leads 17–9 · L2Yager Stadium
wk11at Ball StateBall State leads 11–3Scheumann Stadium
wk12vs Central MichiganCentral Michigan leads 9–4UB Stadium
wk13at Akronleads 13–12InfoCision Stadium

2025 results (5–7)

wk1 at Minnesota L 10–23
wk2 vs St. Francis (PA) W 45–6
wk3 at Kent State W 31–28
wk4 vs Troy L 17–21
wk5 vs UConn L 17–20
wk6 vs Eastern Michigan W 31–30
wk8 at Massachusetts W 28–21
wk9 vs Akron L 16–24
wk10 at Bowling Green W 28–3
wk12 at Central Michigan L 19–38
wk13 vs Miami (OH) L 20–37
wk14 vs Ohio L 26–31

Statistical comps — 2025 Buffalo's closest analogs

Season · TeamRecordAP FinalSP+Similarity
2025 North Carolina 4–8 -6.6 56
2025 Wyoming 4–8 -11.3 56
2017 Miami (OH) 5–7 -2.2 54
2024 Louisiana Tech 5–8 -11.6 53
2017 Georgia State 7–5 -14.0 51
2018 Middle Tennessee 8–6 -3.8 51
Nearest neighbors by z-scored success rate, explosiveness, run rate & havoc (offense + defense), 2015–25.

2025 leaders

Passing
Ta'Quan RobersonQB2,520 yds
Gunnar GrayQB228 yds
Rushing
Al-Jay HendersonRB755 yds
Terrance Shelton Jr.RB244 yds
Lamar SperlingRB234 yds
Receiving
Nik McMillanWR975 yds
Victor SnowWR815 yds
Jasaiah GathingsWR410 yds

Transfer portal — 2026 (16 in / 16 out)

Incoming
Sayre SmothersCB← The Citadel★★★
Stantavious SmithDL← Florida A&M★★★
Logan GoodwinEDGE← IU Pennsylvania★★★
Joey CheshireLB← Cornell★★★
Joe CrockerIOLBaylor★★★
Nathan NatoliOT← Bucknell★★★
Nino FrancavillaIOLMiami★★★
Zach BergmannLB← Missouri Southern State★★★
+ 8 more
Outgoing
Junior PoyserDLWisconsin
Henry TabansiOTUCF
Victor SnowWRNC State
Jalen McNairSVirginia
Shamar Riser-PressleyEDGEUConn
Demetrius BallardEDGEBoston College
Dion CrawfordLBMichigan State
Nik McMillanWRKansas
+ 8 more
data: CollegeFootballData.com · dashboard

Origins

Mack arrived with one scholarship offer and left as the best defender in the country, then became the NFL's fifth overall pick. The program has otherwise spent its life proving that Buffalo in November is a real thing.

Founded 1846 · A private medical college that joined the SUNY system in 1962 · first football 1894 · defined by Khalil Mack

All-time record

All-time
172–265–4
1898–2025
Win %
39.5%
53 seasons played
Winning seasons
16
30% of seasons
By level: ii/iii 6–16 (1898–1952) · FBS 166–248–4 (1958–2025) · FCS 0–1 (1997–1997)
Best seasonsWLConference
2018104Mid-American
202494Mid-American
201985Mid-American
201385Mid-American
200886Mid-American
Season records from CollegeFootballData, which is why the span starts at 1898 — that is where its coverage of this program begins, not necessarily the first year it fielded a team.

Play-calling tendencies (2025 · garbage time excluded)

SituationPlaysRun %Success %Nat'lAvg ydsExpl %
1st down33344% 42%92 of 1365.914%
2nd down25351% 38%99 of 1365.19%
3rd & short (≤3)3778% 49%1.93%
3rd & medium (4–7)4730% 45%3.74%
3rd & long (8+)7717% 23%6.316%
4th down2255% 41%2.014%
160 drives · 29% ended in points · 6.3 plays and 33.0 yards per drive · 0.49 PPA per drive
Success: 50% of yardage needed on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th. Explosive: 12+ yd rush / 16+ yd pass. National rank is shown only for 1st and 2nd down, where every team has 100+ plays; the later buckets average 18-43 and a rank there would be noise. League leaderboard →

Most valuable plays (by PPA, 2025)

WkOppPlayYdsPPA
6Eastern Michigan Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Snow for 75 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) 756.08
5UConn Lamar Sperling run for 63 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) 636.00
2Saint Francis Ta'Quan Roberson run for 40 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) 405.09
12Central Michigan (02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson pass complete short right to #3 N.McMillan caught … 554.28
13Miami (OH) (06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson pass complete deep right to #3 N.McMillan caught a… 414.07
14Ohio No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson pass complete deep left to #0 V.Snow caught at OHI47, for … 583.74
14Ohio Jasaiah Gathings 29 Yd pass from Ta'Quan Roberson (Jack Howes Kick) 293.74
8Massachusetts Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Snow for 37 yds to the MASS 38 for a 1ST down 373.69