WIN PROBABILITY Eastern Michigan above · Buffalo below
KICK 59% → 100% Buffalo FINAL
Eastern Michigan
Buffalo
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
PUNT
3 pl · 3 yd · 1:21
0–0
−1
14:42
1st & 10
OWN 25
Ben Prosper run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 23
-2
-0.89
14:13
2nd & 12
OWN 23
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 5 yds to the EMU 28
+5
0.03
13:46
3rd & 7
OWN 28
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua Long
0
-0.27
13:39
4th & 7
OWN 28
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BUF 34
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 8 yd · 0:56
0–0
+1
▸
TD
8 pl · 99 yd · 3:53
7–0
−33
12:28
1st & 10
OWN 1
Noah Kim run for 2 yds to the EMU 3
+2
-0.15
12:00
2nd & 8
OWN 3
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 10
+7
0.19
11:25
3rd & 1
OWN 10
Dontae McMillan run for 17 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST down
+17
1.03
10:59
1st & 10
OWN 27
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the EMU 32
+5
0.10
10:29
2nd & 5
OWN 32
Ben Prosper run for 13 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST down
+13
1.56
9:59
1st & 10
OWN 45
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the BUF 48
+7
0.66
9:22
2nd & 3
OPP 48
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the BUF 45 for a 1ST down
+3
0.14
8:50
1st & 10
OPP 45
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 45 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
+45
3.48
▸
TD
1 pl · 75 yd · 0:11
7–7
+30
▸
MISSED FG
10 pl · 45 yd · 5:32
7–7
−6
8:21
1st & 10
OWN 25
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 4 yds to the EMU 21
+4
-0.11
7:51
2nd & 14
OWN 21
Noah Kim run for 7 yds to the EMU 28
+7
0.16
5:59
1st & 10
OWN 48
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
+2
-0.66
5:48
2nd & 8
50
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 8 yds to the BUF 42 for a 1ST down Buffalo Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST down
+8
1.37
5:21
1st & 10
OPP 42
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 12 yds to the BUF 30 for a 1ST down
+12
0.48
5:02
1st & 10
OPP 30
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the BUF 28
+2
-0.30
4:20
2nd & 8
OPP 28
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 5 yds to the BUF 33
+5
0.06
3:44
3rd & 13
OPP 33
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 3 yds to the BUF 30
+3
-0.38
3:07
4th & 10
OPP 30
Rudy Kessinger 47 yd FG MISSED
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 14 yd · 1:37
7–7
+2
▸
TD
17 pl · 94 yd · 7:07
14–7
−30
1:17
1st & 10
OWN 6
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 8
+2
-0.19
0:39
2nd & 8
OWN 8
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 9
+1
-0.16
14:56
3rd & 7
OWN 9
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete short left to Rooks,Porter thrown to EMU23 PENALTY BUF Pass Interference (Bradley,Keontez) 15 yards from EMU09 to EMU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+15
14:48
1st & 10
OWN 24
Tavierre Dunlap run for 11 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST down
+11
0.90
14:29
1st & 10
OWN 35
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 6 yds to the EMU 41
+6
0.40
14:02
2nd & 4
OWN 41
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
0
-1.16
13:51
3rd & 4
OWN 41
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 5 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST down
+5
1.82
13:34
1st & 10
OWN 46
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the EMU 47
+1
-0.92
12:52
2nd & 9
OWN 47
Tavierre Dunlap run for 9 yds to the BUF 44 for a 1ST down
+9
1.69
12:21
1st & 10
OPP 44
Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the BUF 40
+4
-0.11
11:55
2nd & 6
OPP 40
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben Prosper
0
-1.02
11:46
3rd & 6
OPP 40
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the BUF 37
+3
-0.40
11:09
4th & 3
OPP 37
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 7 yds to the BUF 30 for a 1ST down
+7
2.12
10:33
1st & 10
OPP 30
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the BUF 23
+7
0.35
10:11
2nd & 3
OPP 23
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua Long
0
-0.59
10:00
3rd & 3
OPP 23
Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the BUF 19 for a 1ST down
+4
0.45
9:28
1st & 10
OPP 19
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the BUF 17
+2
-0.20
8:50
2nd & 8
OPP 17
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete short left to Long,Joshua thrown to BUF00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BUF Pass Interference (Greer,Miles) 14 yards from BUF17 to BUF03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+14
8:44
1st & 3
OPP 3
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
+3
1.46
▸
Q2
PUNT
3 pl · -1 yd · 0:19
14–14
+21
▸
TD
15 pl · 75 yd · 6:53
14–14
+14
8:35
1st & 10
OWN 25
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUF 27
+2
-0.45
7:58
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Timeout Buffalo, clock 07:58
7:49
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUF 29
+2
-0.31
7:11
3rd & 6
OWN 29
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Snow for 7 yds to the BUF 36 for a 1ST down
+7
1.70
6:47
1st & 10
OWN 36
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Victor Snow
0
-1.04
6:44
2nd & 10
OWN 36
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Terrance Shelton Jr.
0
-0.63
6:37
3rd & 10
OWN 36
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Roberson,Ta'Quan pass incomplete deep right to McMillan,Nik thrown to EMU24 PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Rogers,Donmiel) 15 yards from BUF36 to EMU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+15
6:29
1st & 10
OPP 49
Jason Wright run for 9 yds to the EMU 40 Buffalo Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nik McMillan ) to the 50 yard line
-1
-1.33
6:04
2nd & 11
50
Jason Wright run for 1 yd to the EMU 49
+1
-0.80
5:41
3rd & 10
OPP 49
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Jason pass incomplete deep right to McMillan,Nik thrown to EMU20 PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Scott,Joshua) 15 yards from EMU49 to EMU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+15
5:31
1st & 10
OPP 34
Jason Wright run for 2 yds to the EMU 32
+2
-0.35
4:54
2nd & 8
OPP 32
Jason Wright run for 7 yds to the EMU 25
+7
0.37
4:13
3rd & 1
OPP 25
Jason Wright run for 1 yd to the EMU 24 for a 1ST down
+1
0.24
3:33
1st & 10
OPP 24
Jason Wright sacked by Warren-Stevens Tayou for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 26
-2
-0.65
3:00
2nd & 12
OPP 26
Al-Jay Henderson run for 17 yds to the EMU 9 for a 1ST down
+17
0.91
2:20
1st & 9
OPP 9
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 2 yds to the EMU 7
+2
-0.18
2:00
2nd & 7
OPP 7
Timeout Buffalo, clock 02:00
1:55
2nd & 7
OPP 7
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Nik McMillan
0
-0.28
1:51
3rd & 7
OPP 7
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Patrick Clacks III for 7 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
+7
2.88
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 8 yd · 1:10
14–14
+7
1:47
1st & 10
OWN 25
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick Devereaux
0
-0.70
1:41
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 8 yds to the EMU 33
+8
0.48
1:36
3rd & 2
OWN 33
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 4 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST down
+4
1.25
1:30
1st & 10
OWN 37
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick Devereaux
0
-1.07
1:23
2nd & 10
OWN 37
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 41
+4
-0.12
0:53
3rd & 6
OWN 41
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass complete deep right to Wheeler,Jamarien caught at BUF36, for 59 yards to the BUF00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:53 PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Wheeler,Jamarien) 15 yards from EMU41 to EMU26. NO PLAY.
-15
0:47
4th & 14
OWN 33
Timeout Buffalo, clock 00:47
0:46
3rd & 21
OWN 26
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 33
+7
0.05
0:41
4th & 14
OWN 33
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BUF 25
▸
Q3
ON DOWNS
8 pl · 46 yd · 3:17
14–14
−5
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 3 yd · 2:04
14–14
−5
11:26
1st & 10
OWN 28
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the EMU 29
+1
-0.66
10:42
2nd & 9
OWN 29
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 7 yds to the EMU 36
+7
0.41
10:06
3rd & 2
OWN 36
(10:34) PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from EMU36 to EMU31. NO PLAY.
-5
9:41
3rd & 7
OWN 31
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick Devereaux
0
-0.32
9:33
4th & 7
OWN 31
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 49 yds , Victor Snow returns for no gain to the BUF 20
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 0 yd · 1:08
14–14
−9
▸
TD
10 pl · 96 yd · 5:14
20–14
−24
8:17
1st & 10
OWN 4
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 7
+3
-0.11
7:32
2nd & 7
OWN 7
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 11 yds to the EMU 18 for a 1ST down
+11
0.56
7:04
1st & 10
OWN 18
Dontae McMillan run for 16 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST down
+16
1.15
6:26
1st & 10
OWN 34
Tavierre Dunlap run for 6 yds to the EMU 40
+6
0.39
5:56
2nd & 4
OWN 40
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the EMU 42
+2
-0.70
5:27
3rd & 2
OWN 42
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the EMU 43
+1
-0.73
4:41
4th & 1
OWN 43
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST down
+2
2.10
4:06
1st & 10
OWN 45
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben Prosper
0
-1.16
3:52
2nd & 10
OWN 45
Dontae McMillan run for 17 yds to the BUF 38 for a 1ST down
+17
2.34
3:11
1st & 10
OPP 38
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 38 yds for a TD
+38
3.09
▸
TD
8 pl · 75 yd · 3:09
21–21
+37
3:01
1st & 10
OWN 25
Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the BUF 25
0
-0.70
2:37
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 15 yds to the BUF 40 for a 1ST down
+15
2.02
2:13
1st & 10
OWN 40
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Evan King for 8 yds to the BUF 48
+8
1.02
1:50
2nd & 2
OWN 48
Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+2
-0.10
1:10
1st & 10
50
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 16 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST down
+16
0.90
0:50
1st & 10
OPP 34
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Roberson,Ta'Quan pass incomplete short left to Gathings,Jasaiah thrown to EMU15 broken up by Deener,Tyrelle PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Deener,Tyrelle) 15 yards from EMU34 to EMU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+15
0:41
1st & 10
OPP 19
Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the EMU 19
0
-0.36
0:11
2nd & 10
OPP 19
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings
0
-0.45
0:02
3rd & 10
OPP 19
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Snow for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
+19
3.41
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 21 yd · 1:41
21–21
−10
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
(00:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete deep middle to Devereaux,Nick thrown to BUF50 PENALTY BUF Pass Interference (Greer,Miles) 15 yards from EMU25 to EMU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+15
14:49
1st & 10
OWN 40
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the EMU 40
0
-1.12
14:02
2nd & 10
OWN 40
Noah Kim run for 6 yds to the EMU 46
+6
0.29
13:30
3rd & 4
OWN 46
Noah Kim pass incomplete
0
-0.88
13:21
4th & 4
OWN 46
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 54 yds for a touchback
▸
Q5
TD
3 pl · 25 yd
24–31
+40
0:00
1st & 10
OPP 25
T.Roberson pass complete. Catch made by N.McMillan for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Dobbs at EMU 17.
+8
0.48
0:00
2nd & 2
OPP 17
A.Henderson rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by B.Manning at EMU 9.
+8
-0.20
0:00
1st & 9
OPP 9
V.Snow rushed for 9 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+9
2.42
0:00
OPP 3
J.Howes extra point is good.
+1
▸
Q4
PUNT
3 pl · 1 yd · 0:43
21–21
−17
▸
Q5
FUMBLE
8 pl · 25 yd
30–31
0:00
1st & 10
OPP 25
N.Kim steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for EMU.
0
-0.45
0:00
2nd & 10
OPP 25
D.McMillan rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by R.Murdock; S.Brown at BUFF 18.
+7
0.27
0:00
3rd & 3
OPP 18
N.Kim rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Gonser at BUFF 13.
+5
0.35
0:00
1st & 10
OPP 13
N.Kim pass complete. Catch made by T.Dunlap for 6 yards. Tackled by S.Brown; S.Brown at BUFF 7.
+6
0.18
0:00
2nd & 4
OPP 7
N.Kim rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Greer at BUFF 3.
+4
0.89
0:00
1st & 3
OPP 3
T.Dunlap rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Brown; K.Stewart at BUFF 2.
+1
-0.60
0:00
2nd & 2
OPP 2
Timeout #1 by EMU.
0:00
2nd & 2
OPP 2
T.Dunlap rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by BUFF at BUFF 1.
+1
-0.39
0:00
3rd & 1
OPP 1
N.Kim rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+1
2.45
0:00
OPP 3
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. N.Kim rushed to BUFF 3 for yards. N.Kim FUMBLES. TWO-POINT ATTEMPT FAILS. Fumble RECOVERED by BUFF-K.Stewart at BUFF 3.
0
▸
Q4
PUNT
3 pl · 9 yd · 1:59
21–21
−21
12:26
1st & 10
OWN 23
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the EMU 28
+5
0.09
11:51
2nd & 5
OWN 28
Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the EMU 32
+4
-0.11
11:14
3rd & 1
OWN 32
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the EMU 32
0
-0.64
10:39
4th & 1
OWN 32
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BUF 22
▸
FUMBLE
1 pl · -5 yd · 0:09
21–21
+5
▸
FG
4 pl · -18 yd · 1:31
24–21
−24
10:26
1st & 6
OPP 6
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben Prosper
0
-0.48
10:18
2nd & 6
OPP 6
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the BUF 4
+2
-0.17
9:38
3rd & 4
OPP 4
Timeout Buffalo, clock 09:38
9:28
3rd & 4
OPP 4
Noah Kim run for a loss of 20 yards to the BUF 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EMU
-20
-3.37
8:59
4th & 24
OPP 24
Rudy Kessinger 42 yd FG GOOD
▸
MISSED FG
7 pl · 55 yd · 3:29
24–21
+12
▸
PUNT
9 pl · 32 yd · 4:33
24–21
−20
5:03
1st & 9
OWN 21
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the EMU 21
0
-0.65
4:38
2nd & 9
OWN 21
Noah Kim run for 5 yds to the EMU 26
+5
0.05
3:57
3rd & 4
OWN 26
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST down
+5
1.20
3:18
1st & 10
OWN 31
Timeout Buffalo, clock 03:18
3:08
1st & 10
OWN 31
Dontae McMillan run for 9 yds to the EMU 40
+9
1.36
2:26
3rd & 1
OWN 40
Timeout Buffalo, clock 02:26
2:21
2nd & 1
OWN 40
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the EMU 40
0
-1.41
2:13
3rd & 1
OWN 40
Tavierre Dunlap run for 11 yds to the BUF 49 for a 1ST down
+11
1.89
2:00
1st & 10
OPP 49
Timeout Buffalo, clock 02:00
1:55
2nd & 10
OPP 49
Timeout Buffalo, clock 01:55
1:54
1st & 10
OPP 49
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the BUF 49
0
-1.10
1:49
2nd & 10
OPP 49
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the BUF 46
+3
-0.40
1:49
3rd & 7
OPP 46
Timeout Buffalo, clock 01:49
1:40
3rd & 7
OPP 46
Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the BUF 42
+4
-0.16
0:58
4th & 8
OPP 47
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Victor Snow at the BUF 9
0:57
4th & 3
OPP 42
PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BUF42 to BUF47. NO PLAY.
-5
▸
FG
11 pl · 59 yd · 0:58
24–24
+76