CFB Terminal

Date	Opponent	TV	'33	SP+	Coach	Succ O/D	Portal	Class	H2H	Spot	Model	Win%	Vegas	Edge
Sep 5	vs Ball State	BTN	4–8	#133	Mike Uremovich	32/45	+24/−18 (+21★)	#113	first		-59.8	100%	-50.7	+9.1
Sep 12	at Texas	ABC	10–3	#6	Steve Sarkisian	40/39	+22/−28 (-17★)	#7	3–2 · W '25		-7.9	71%	+1.5	+9.4
Sep 19	vs Kent State	FOX	5–7	#129	Mark Carney	35/44	+11/−15 (-13★)	#122	3–0 · W '14		-57.1	100%	—	—
Sep 25	vs Illinois	—	9–4	#28	Bret Bielema	48/45	+20/−27 (-23★)	#24	70–30 · W '25		-24.3	97%	—	—
Oct 2	at Iowa	—	9–4	#22	Kirk Ferentz	44/39	+15/−8 (+19★)	#26	49–15 · W '24		-16.1	81%	—	—
Oct 9	vs Maryland	—	4–8	#47	Mike Locksley	39/43	+14/−16 (-7★)	#43	9–0 · W '23		-29.5	99%	—	—
Oct 16	at Indiana	—	16–0	#5	Curt Cignetti	51/34	+17/−16 (+10★)	#29	81–13 · L '25		-4.9	39%	-1.5	+3.4
Oct 30	at USC	—	9–4	#12	Lincoln Riley	49/45	+9/−22 (-39★)	#1	10–13 · W '17	OSU off bye	-13.0	80%	—	—
Nov 6	vs Oregon	—	13–2	#2	Dan Lanning	47/36	+13/−31 (-58★)	#3	10–2 · L '24		-5.5	69%	—	—
Nov 13	vs Northwestern	—	7–6	#49	David Braun	43/45	+17/−8 (+24★)	#52	66–14 · W '24		-29.6	98%	—	—
Nov 20	at Nebraska	—	7–6	#33	Matt Rhule	47/43	+17/−19 (-5★)	#88	10–1 · W '24		-21.4	94%	—	—
Nov 28	vs Michigan	FOX	9–4	#15	Kyle Whittingham	45/42	+17/−33 (-49★)	#12	53–62 · W '25		-17.7	92%	-12.5	+5.2

2026 projection

Projected wins

10.2

median 10 of 12

P(≥ 10 wins)

75%

analytic SP+ model

P(undefeated)

9.9%

win out from here

Toughest left

at IND

39% win probability

Vegas national-title odds (B1G, avg of books): OSU +580 (15%) · ORE +740 (12%) · IND +860 (10%) · USC +3360 (3%) · MICH +3560 (3%) — market has OSU ahead of Indiana, siding with the experts over our results-model.

B1G title game

57%

Monte Carlo, 5,000 sims

B1G champion

33%

full conference simulated

CFP berth

81%

champ auto + at-large by wins

B1G favorite

IND

42% to win the conference

Win-total distribution

Win prob: logistic model (SP+ diff + Elo diff + home field, trained on 7,495 FBS games). Point line: SP+ margin ± 2. Exact win-total distribution over remaining games. Full per-game schedule, scouting & prediction below.

Big Ten standings — projected

#	Team	Conf	Overall	SP+ rk	Champ%
1	Indiana	0–0	0–0	#5	42%
2	Ohio State 🌰	0–0	0–0	#1	33%
3	Oregon	0–0	0–0	#2	22%
4	Penn State	0–0	0–0	#17	2%
5	Iowa	0–0	0–0	#22	1%
6	Washington	0–0	0–0	#18	0%
7	USC	0–0	0–0	#12	0%
8	Michigan	0–0	0–0	#15	0%
9	Illinois	0–0	0–0	#28	—
10	Nebraska	0–0	0–0	#33	—
11	Minnesota	0–0	0–0	#40	—
12	UCLA	0–0	0–0	#46	—
13	Maryland	0–0	0–0	#48	—
14	Northwestern	0–0	0–0	#50	—
15	Wisconsin	0–0	0–0	#54	—
16	Rutgers	0–0	0–0	#61	—
17	Michigan State	0–0	0–0	#62	—
18	Purdue	0–0	0–0	#78	—

Preseason — sorted by projected conference-title odds (Monte Carlo). Conf/overall records fill in as games are played; Champ% shown for the sim's top contenders.

2026 preseason expectations — model vs. expert consensus

Team	Athlon	Pick Six	Steele	Our SP+ ('26)
Ohio State 🌰	#1	#2	#1	#1
Texas 2026 opp	#3	—	#2	#6
Georgia	#2	—	#5	#4
Notre Dame	#4	—	#3	#3
Oregon 2026 opp	#6	—	#4	#2
Indiana 2026 opp	#5	—	#6	#5
Miami	#7	—	#7	#7
Oklahoma	#8	—	—	#11
Texas A&M	#9	—	—	#9
LSU	#10	—	#10	#10
Ole Miss	#11	—	#9	#16
Texas Tech	#12	—	#8	#8
Michigan 2026 opp	#13	—	—	#15
USC 2026 opp	#14	—	—	#12
Alabama	#15	—	—	#13
BYU	#16	—	—	#21
Washington	#17	—	—	#18
Penn State	#18	—	—	#17
Houston	#19	—	—	#38
Utah	#20	—	—	#29
Tennessee	#21	—	—	#14
SMU	#22	—	—	#25
Louisville	#23	—	—	#27
Boise State	#24	—	—	#49
Iowa 2026 opp	#25	—	—	#22

Expert preseason ranks from accuracy-ranked public sources (Stassen accuracy: Pick Six #1, Athlon #2, Steele #3). Our SP+ rank uses 2026 finals until 2026 projections publish. Note the divergence: experts rank Ohio State #1–2 while our results-anchored model has Indiana ahead — the human take fades Indiana's outlier 2025; the model can't.

Transfer portal — 2026 (17 in / 37 out)

Incoming
Terry Moore	S	← Duke	★★★★
James Smith	DL	← Alabama	★★★★
Qua Russaw	EDGE	← Alabama	★★★★
Earl Little Jr.	S	← Florida State	★★★★
Hunter Welcing	TE	← Northwestern	★★★★
Dominick Kelly	CB	← Georgia	★★★★
Ja'Kobi Jackson	RB	← Florida	★★★
Cam Calhoun	CB	← Alabama	★★★
Christian Alliegro	LB	← Wisconsin	★★★
Kyle Parker	WR	← LSU	★★★
+ 7 more

Outgoing
Quincy Porter	WR	→ Notre Dame
Tegra Tshabola	IOL	→ Kentucky
Mylan Graham	WR	→ Notre Dame
Faheem Delane	S	→ LSU
Lincoln Kienholz	QB	→ Louisville
Jelani Thurman	TE	→ North Carolina
James Peoples	RB	→ Penn State
Aaron Scott Jr.	CB	→ Oregon
C.J. Hicks	EDGE	→ South Florida
Jarquez Carter	DL	→ Miami
+ 27 more

Recruiting — class of 2026

30 commits · national #4 · 3×5★, 15×4★
Chris Henry Jr.	WR	★★★★★	0.9929
Cincere Johnson	LB	★★★★★	0.9912
Jay Timmons	CB	★★★★★	0.9877
Jerquaden Guilford	WR	★★★★	0.9799
Khary Wilder	DL	★★★★	0.9780
Sam Greer	OT	★★★★	0.9767
Blaine Bradford	S	★★★★	0.9691
Jordan Thomas	CB	★★★★	0.9557
Legend Bey	ATH	★★★★	0.9473
Max Riley	IOL	★★★★	0.9294

2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1897 latest

1933 Record

7–1

losses: MICH

SP+

#1 · 32.7

Off #2 / Def #1 · 2026

Elo / FPI

— / 28.7

FPI rank #1

Scoring

20.1 – 3.3

points for – against, per game

ATS

0–0

vs closing consensus spread

Talent

247 composite, 2025

Margin by game (1933)

PPA per play by game — offense vs opponent offense allowed

Poll trajectory (1933) — AP / CFP committee, by week

Season-ending Elo, 1897–2025 — gold = claimed titles

1933 Results · vs the spread

Wk	Opponent		Score	Margin	Spread	O/U · Total	ATS	Wx
4	Virginia	vs	W 75–0	+75	—	— · 75	—	—
5	Vanderbilt	vs	W 20–0	+20	—	— · 20	—	—
6	Michigan	at	L 0–13	-13	—	— · 13	—	—
7	Northwestern	vs	W 12–0	+12	—	— · 12	—	—
8	Indiana	vs	W 21–0	+21	—	— · 21	—	—
9	Pennsylvania	at	W 20–7	+13	—	— · 27	—	—
10	Wisconsin	at	W 6–0	+6	—	— · 6	—	—
11	Illinois	vs	W 7–6	+1	—	— · 13	—	—

Season profile (1933)

Advanced — offense vs defense
PPA / play	—	— allowed
Success rate	—	— allowed
Explosiveness	—	—
Pts / scoring opp	—	—
Line yards / rush	—	—
Havoc rate	—	—

Drives — Ohio State offense
Drives	—
Scoring drive %	—%
Yards / drive	—
Avg start (own)	—
Three & outs	—

Drives — opponent offense
Drives faced	—
Scoring drive % allowed	—%
Yards / drive allowed	—
Opp avg start (own)	—
Three & outs forced	—

Weather splits — outdoor games, all indexed seasons
	Record	PF/gm	PA/gm
Freezing (≤32°F)	2–2	26.5	20.3
Cold (33–49°F)	31–4	39.8	21.6
Mild+ (≥50°F)	83–6	42.4	14.1
Windy (≥15 mph)	14–2	34.1	14.3

1933 Leaders

Passing
no data yet

Rushing
no data yet

Receiving
no data yet

Tackles
no data yet

Sacks
no data yet

Interceptions
no data yet

Instant classics — most exciting games on record

Season	Opponent	Score		Excitement
2018	Maryland	W 52–51		10.3
2016	Michigan	W 30–27		10.0
2018	Penn State	W 27–26		9.8
2019	Clemson	L 23–29	PLAYSTATION FIESTA BOWL - CFP SEMIFINAL	9.4
2016	Wisconsin	W 30–23		8.9
2014	Alabama	W 42–35	ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL - SEMIFINAL	8.2
2024	Oregon	L 31–32		8.1
2015	Indiana	W 34–27		7.6

Program history — 127 seasons

Season	Record	Rating	Rank	AP Final	Coach	Bowl	vs Michigan
2025	12–2	30.1	#2	#5	Ryan Day (12-2)	Cotton Bowl (L)	W 27–9
2024 🏆	14–2	31.2	#1	#1	Ryan Day (14-2)	CFP R1 (W), Rose Bowl (W), Cotton Bowl (W), CFP Championship (W)	L 10–13
2023	11–2	25.2	#4	#10	Ryan Day (11-2)	Cotton Bowl (L)	L 24–30
2022	11–2	31.1	#3	#4	Ryan Day (11-2)	Peach Bowl (L)	L 23–45
2021	11–2	29.3	#2	#6	Ryan Day (11-2)	Rose Bowl (W)	L 27–42
2020	7–1	28.4	#1	#2	Ryan Day (7-1)	Sugar Bowl (W), CFP Championship (L)	—
2019	13–1	35.4	#1	#3	Ryan Day (13-1)	Fiesta Bowl (L)	W 56–27
2018	13–1	24.1	#6	#3	Ryan Day (3-0), Urban Meyer (10-1)	Rose Bowl (W)	W 62–39
2017	12–2	30.9	#2	#5	Urban Meyer (12-2)	Cotton Bowl (W)	W 31–20
2016	11–2	22.4	#10	#6	Urban Meyer (11-2)	Fiesta Bowl (L)	W 30–27
2015	12–1	29.5	#1	#4	Urban Meyer (12-1)	Fiesta Bowl (W)	W 42–13
2014 🏆	14–1	25.8	#1	#1	Urban Meyer (14-1)	Sugar Bowl (W), CFP Championship (W)	W 42–28
2013	12–2	15.7†	—	#12	Urban Meyer (12-2)	Orange Bowl (L)	W 42–41
2012	12–0	13.8†	—	#3	Urban Meyer (12-0)	—	W 26–21
2011	6–7	4.7†	—	—	Luke Fickell (6-7)	Gator Bowl (L)	L 34–40
2010	12–1	17.4†	—	#5	Jim Tressel (12-1)	Sugar Bowl (W)	W 37–7
2009	11–2	14.7†	—	#5	Jim Tressel (11-2)	Rose Bowl (W)	W 21–10
2008	10–3	13.9†	—	#9	Jim Tressel (10-3)	Fiesta Bowl (L)	W 42–7
2007	11–2	14.8†	—	#5	Jim Tressel (11-2)	BCS Championship (L)	W 14–3
2006	12–1	18.8†	—	#2	Jim Tressel (12-1)	BCS Championship (L)	W 42–39
2005	10–2	23.0†	—	#4	Jim Tressel (10-2)	Fiesta Bowl (W)	W 25–21
2004	8–4	11.3†	—	#20	Jim Tressel (8-4)	Alamo Bowl (W)	W 37–21
2003	11–2	14.0†	—	#4	Jim Tressel (11-2)	Fiesta Bowl (W)	L 21–35
2002 🏆	14–0	24.7	#1	#2	Jim Tressel (14-0)	Fiesta Bowl (W)	W 14–9
2001	7–5	8.6†	—	#22	Jim Tressel (7-5)	Outback Bowl (L)	W 26–20
2000	8–4	11.0†	—	—	John Cooper (8-4)	Outback Bowl (L)	L 26–38
1999	6–6	7.6†	—	—	John Cooper (6-6)	—	L 17–24
1998	11–1	23.0†	—	#2	John Cooper (11-1)	Sugar Bowl (W)	W 31–16
1997	10–3	17.4†	—	#12	John Cooper (10-3)	Sugar Bowl (L)	L 14–20
1996	11–1	22.4†	—	#2	John Cooper (11-1)	Rose Bowl (W)	L 9–13
1995	11–2	23.8†	—	#6	John Cooper (11-2)	Citrus Bowl (L)	L 23–31
1994	9–4	15.6†	—	#14	John Cooper (9-4)	Citrus Bowl (L)	W 22–6
1993	10–1–1	16.4†	—	#11	John Cooper (10-1-1)	Holiday Bowl (W)	L 0–28
1992	8–3–1	13.2†	—	#18	John Cooper (8-3-1)	Citrus Bowl (L)	T 13–13
1991	8–4	8.9†	—	—	John Cooper (8-4)	Hall of Fame Bowl (L)	L 3–31
1990	7–4–1	11.0†	—	—	John Cooper (7-4-1)	Liberty Bowl (L)	L 13–16
1989	8–4	7.7†	—	#24	John Cooper (8-4)	Hall of Fame Bowl (L)	L 18–28
1988	4–6–1	0.8	#54	—	John Cooper (4-6-1)	—	L 31–34
1987	6–4–1	8.8†	—	—	Earle Bruce (6-4-1)	—	W 23–20
1986	10–3	15.0†	—	#7	Earle Bruce (10-3)	Cotton Bowl (W)	L 24–26
1985	9–3	15.1†	—	#14	Earle Bruce (9-3)	Citrus Bowl (W)	L 17–27
1984	9–3	12.0†	—	#13	Earle Bruce (9-3)	Rose Bowl (L)	W 21–6
1983	9–3	14.5†	—	#9	Earle Bruce (9-3)	Fiesta Bowl (W)	L 21–24
1982	9–3	15.0†	—	#12	Earle Bruce (9-3)	Holiday Bowl (W)	W 24–14
1981	9–3	11.5†	—	#15	Earle Bruce (9-3)	Liberty Bowl (W)	W 14–9
1980	9–3	19.5	#15	#15	Earle Bruce (9-3)	Fiesta Bowl (L)	L 3–9
1979	11–1	21.7†	—	#4	Earle Bruce (11-1)	Rose Bowl (L)	W 18–15
1978	7–4–1	13.0†	—	—	Woody Hayes (7-4-1)	Gator Bowl (L)	L 3–14
1977	9–3	19.9†	—	#11	Woody Hayes (9-3)	Sugar Bowl (L)	L 6–14
1976	9–2–1	20.7†	—	#6	Woody Hayes (9-2-1)	Orange Bowl (W)	L 0–22
1975	11–1	23.7†	—	#4	Woody Hayes (11-1)	Rose Bowl (L)	W 21–14
1974	10–2	22.0†	—	#4	Woody Hayes (10-2)	Rose Bowl (L)	W 12–10
1973	10–0–1	29.7†	—	#2	Woody Hayes (10-0-1)	Rose Bowl (W)	T 10–10
1972	9–2	16.5†	—	#9	Woody Hayes (9-2)	Rose Bowl (L)	W 14–11
1971	6–4	14.2†	—	—	Woody Hayes (6-4)	—	L 7–10
1970 🏆	9–1	24.7	#1	#5	Woody Hayes (9-1)	Rose Bowl (L)	W 20–9
1969	8–1	23.4†	—	#4	Woody Hayes (8-1)	—	L 12–24
1968 🏆	10–0	23.8†	#1†	#1	Woody Hayes (10-0)	Rose Bowl (W)	W 50–14
1967	6–3	4.6†	—	—	Woody Hayes (6-3)	—	W 24–14
1966	4–5	-0.3†	—	—	Woody Hayes (4-5)	—	L 3–17
1965	7–2	13.1†	—	—	Woody Hayes (7-2)	—	W 9–7
1964	7–2	18.4†	—	#9	Woody Hayes (7-2)	—	L 0–10
1963	5–3–1	13.6†	—	—	Woody Hayes (5-3-1)	—	W 14–10
1962	6–3	17.6†	—	—	Woody Hayes (6-3)	—	W 28–0
1961 🏆	8–0–1	22.2†	#1†	#2	Woody Hayes (8-0-1)	—	W 50–20
1960	7–2	23.0†	—	#8	Woody Hayes (7-2)	—	W 7–0
1959	3–5–1	8.1†	—	—	Woody Hayes (3-5-1)	—	L 14–23
1958	6–1–2	17.4†	—	#8	Woody Hayes (6-1-2)	—	W 20–14
1957 🏆	9–1	23.1†	#1†	#2	Woody Hayes (9-1)	Rose Bowl (W)	W 31–14
1956	6–3	16.6†	—	#15	Woody Hayes (6-3)	—	L 0–19
1955	7–2	14.5†	—	#5	Woody Hayes (7-2)	—	W 17–0
1954 🏆	10–0	27.2†	#1†	#1	Woody Hayes (10-0)	Rose Bowl (W)	W 21–7
1953	6–3	14.5†	—	—	Woody Hayes (6-3)	—	L 0–20
1952	6–3	16.8†	—	#17	Woody Hayes (6-3)	—	W 27–7
1951	4–3–2	13.8†	—	—	Woody Hayes (4-3-2)	—	L 0–7
1950	6–3	19.9†	—	#14	Wesley Fesler (6-3)	—	L 3–9
1949	7–1–2	24.3†	—	#6	Wesley Fesler (7-1-2)	Rose Bowl (W)	T 7–7
1948	6–3	20.1†	—	—	Wesley Fesler (6-3)	—	L 3–13
1947	2–6–1	4.6†	—	—	Wesley Fesler (2-6-1)	—	L 0–21
1946	4–3–2	12.0†	—	—	Paul Bixler (4-3-2)	—	L 6–58
1945	7–2	17.9†	—	#12	Carroll Widdoes (7-2)	—	L 3–7
1944	9–0	29.9†	—	#2	Carroll Widdoes (9-0)	—	W 18–14
1943	3–6	12.1†	—	—	Paul Brown (3-6)	—	L 7–45
1942 🏆	9–1	23.8†	#1†	#1	Paul Brown (9-1)	—	W 21–7
1941	6–1–1	17.4†	—	#13	Paul Brown (6-1-1)	—	T 20–20
1940	4–4	15.9†	—	—	Francis Schmidt (4-4)	—	L 0–40
1939	6–2	19.2†	—	#15	Francis Schmidt (6-2)	—	L 14–21
1938	4–3–1	9.5†	—	—	Francis Schmidt (4-3-1)	—	L 0–18
1937	6–2	13.5†	—	#13	Francis Schmidt (6-2)	—	W 21–0
1936	5–3	16.5†	—	—	Francis Schmidt (5-3)	—	W 21–0
1935	7–1	20.3†	—	—	Francis Schmidt (7-1)	—	W 38–0
1934	7–1	20.6†	—	—	Francis Schmidt (7-1)	—	W 34–0
1933	7–1	17.9†	—	—	Sam Willaman (7-1)	—	L 0–13
1932	4–1–3	16.0†	—	—	Sam Willaman (4-1-3)	—	L 0–14
1931	6–3	13.0†	—	—	Sam Willaman (6-3)	—	W 20–7
1930	5–2–1	15.3†	—	—	Sam Willaman (5-2-1)	—	L 0–13
1929	4–3–1	5.1†	—	—	Sam Willaman (4-3-1)	—	W 7–0
1928	5–2–1	11.9†	—	—	John Wilce (5-2-1)	—	W 19–7
1927	4–4	5.9†	—	—	John Wilce (4-4)	—	L 0–21
1926	7–1	16.3†	—	—	John Wilce (7-1)	—	L 16–17
1925	4–3–1	4.6†	—	—	John Wilce (4-3-1)	—	L 0–10
1924	2–3–3	3.9†	—	—	John Wilce (2-3-3)	—	L 6–16
1923	3–4–1	4.8†	—	—	John Wilce (3-4-1)	—	L 0–23
1922	3–4	3.3†	—	—	John Wilce (3-4)	—	L 0–19
1921	5–2	12.6†	—	—	John Wilce (5-2)	—	W 14–0
1920	7–1	14.7†	—	—	John Wilce (7-1)	Rose Bowl (L)	W 14–7
1919	6–1	15.3†	—	—	John Wilce (6-1)	—	W 13–3
1918	3–3	9.3†	—	—	John Wilce (3-3)	—	L 0–14
1917	8–0–1	22.1†	—	—	John Wilce (8-0-1)	—	—
1916	7–0	13.9†	—	—	John Wilce (7-0)	—	—
1915	5–1–1	7.8†	—	—	John Wilce (5-1-1)	—	—
1914	5–2	5.2†	—	—	John Wilce (5-2)	—	—
1913	4–2–1	0.3†	—	—	John Wilce (4-2-1)	—	—
1912	0–2	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–14
1911	0–2	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–19
1910	0–0–1	—	—	—	—	—	T 3–3
1909	1–1	—	—	—	—	—	L 6–33
1908	1–1	—	—	—	—	—	L 6–10
1907	0–1	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–22
1906	0–1	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–6
1905	0–2	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–40
1904	6–5	3.5†	—	—	Edwin Sweetland (6-5)	—	L 6–31
1903	0–2	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–36
1902	0–1–2	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–86
1901	0–2	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–21
1900	0–0–1	—	—	—	—	—	T 0–0
1897	0–1	—	—	—	—	—	L 0–36

🏆 claimed national championship. Rating is SP+; † = SRS where SP+ doesn't reach. Linked seasons are fully indexed (game-level data); summary-only rows fill in as seasons are deep-ingested from CFBD. Season summaries referenced from Sports-Reference.