WIN PROBABILITYWake Forest above · Florida State below
KICK58% → 100% Florida StateFINAL
Wake ForestFlorida Statebar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
OWN G255025END ZONE
WP
Δ
▸
Q1
PUNT
7 pl · 23 yd · 3:58
0–0
−7
14:52
1st & 10
OWN 25
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush right for 9 yards gain to the WFU34 (#27 A.Barker)
+9
1.25
14:29
2nd & 1
OWN 34
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU37 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #6 D.Jackson Jr.), 1ST DOWN
+3
-0.23
13:50
1st & 10
OWN 37
(13:57) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #10 C.Barnes caught at WFU35, for 7 yards to the WFU44 (#44 J.Jones; #0 E.Little Jr.)
+7
0.71
12:34
2nd & 3
OWN 44
(13:16) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush left for 5 yards gain to the WFU49 (#0 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWN
+5
0.42
12:34
2nd & 3
OWN 44
Timeout Wake Forest, clock 12:34
12:04
1st & 10
OWN 49
(12:34) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush left for 1 yard loss to the WFU48 fumbled by #2 R.Ashford at WFU48 recovered by WFU #2 R.Ashford at WFU48, End Of Play
-1
-1.36
11:42
2nd & 11
OWN 48
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short middle to #7 M.Mays Jr. thrown to FSU40
0
-0.94
11:38
3rd & 11
OWN 48
(11:44) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 0 yards to the WFU48 (#44 J.Jones)
0
-0.60
11:02
4th & 11
OWN 48
(11:03) #91 C.Joseph punt 32 yards to the FSU20 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU20
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 7 yd · 3:04
0–0
+5
10:51
1st & 10
OWN 20
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the FSU29 (#24 D.Hazen; #45 N.Andersen)
+9
1.11
10:33
2nd & 1
OWN 29
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU30 (#45 N.Andersen; #8 J.Loving), 1ST DOWN
+1
-0.42
10:11
1st & 10
OWN 30
PENALTY FSU False Start (#7 L.McCoy) 5 yards from FSU30 to FSU25. NO PLAY
+5
9:49
1st & 15
OWN 25
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush left for 2 yards loss to the FSU23 (#5 D.Patterson)
(05:40) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #10 C.Barnes caught at WFU38, for 0 yards to the WFU42 (#11 J.Rawls)
0
-1.15
4:53
2nd & 10
OWN 42
(05:00) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short right to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at WFU43, for 5 yards to the WFU47 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #1 S.Brown)
+5
0.07
3:59
3rd & 5
OWN 47
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 20 yards gain to the FSU33 fumbled by #2 R.Ashford at FSU36 forced by #0 E.Little Jr. recovered by WFU #2 R.Ashford at FSU33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WFU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#7 M.Mays Jr.) 15 yards from FSU33 to FSU48
+20
2.74
3:43
1st & 10
OPP 48
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 25 yards gain (3) to the FSU23 (#11 J.Rawls) PENALTY WFU Holding (#71 M.Siani) 10 yards from FSU45 to WFU45
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU48, for 65 yards to the WFU11 (#23 B.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+65
4.47
0:26
1st & 10
OPP 11
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 4 yards gain to the WFU07 (#45 N.Andersen) PENALTY WFU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WFU11 to WFU06. NO PLAY
+5
0:00
1st & 10
OPP 11
End of 1st quarter.
0.08
14:53
1st & 5
OPP 6
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WFU07 (#8 J.Loving)
-1
-0.65
14:16
2nd & 6
OPP 7
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU06 (#8 J.Loving; #9 Q.Bryant)
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush right for 53 yards gain to the FSU22, End Of Play PENALTY WFU Holding (#7 M.Mays Jr.) 10 yards from WFU25 to WFU15. NO PLAY
+10
13:11
1st & 20
OWN 15
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short middle to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at WFU26, for 13 yards to the WFU28 (#0 E.Little Jr.)
+13
0.79
12:40
2nd & 7
OWN 28
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU30 (#40 A.Williams)
+2
-0.36
11:50
3rd & 5
OWN 30
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #10 C.Barnes caught at WFU25, for 4 yards to the WFU34 fumbled by #10 C.Barnes at WFU34 forced by #3 E.Joseph recovered by WFU #12 K.Johnson at WFU34, End Of Play
+4
-0.06
11:27
4th & 1
OWN 34
PENALTY WFU False Start (#73 G.Steih) 5 yards from WFU34 to WFU29. NO PLAY
+5
11:05
4th & 6
OWN 29
(11:11) #91 C.Joseph punt 48 yards to the FSU23 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU23
▸
PUNT
8 pl · 14 yd · 3:21
0–7
−2
11:00
1st & 10
OWN 23
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep middle to #0 D.Robinson thrown to FSU48 broken up by #23 B.Johnson
(09:16) #12 J.Lucas rush left for 10 yards gain (6) to the WFU41, out of bounds at WFU41 PENALTY FSU Holding (#0 D.Robinson) 10 yards from WFU45 to FSU45
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep middle to #13 R.Pittman Jr. caught at WFU23, for 30 yards to the WFU18 (#5 D.Patterson), 1ST DOWN
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)
+10
2.64
▸
END OF HALF
3 pl · 7 yd · 0:57
0–14
−8
0:55
1st & 10
OWN 25
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush right for 10 yards gain to the WFU35 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #40 A.Williams), 1ST DOWN
+10
0.84
0:55
1st & 10
OWN 35
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #0 T.Clark caught at WFU34, for 10 yards to the WFU45 (#19 J.Wilson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+10
0.97
0:55
1st & 10
OWN 45
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford sacked for loss of 13 yards to the WFU32 (#93 M.Desir)
-13
-2.85
0:39
1st & 10
OWN 36
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #0 T.Clark caught at WFU30, for 9 yards to the WFU45 (#19 J.Wilson), out of bounds
+9
1.38
0:00
1st & 10
OPP 45
End of 2nd quarter.
-3.82
▸
Q3
ON DOWNS
5 pl · 26 yd · 2:28
0–14
+7
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 20 yards gain to the FSU45 (#45 N.Andersen; #23 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWN
+20
1.80
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 45
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU49 (#45 N.Andersen; #24 D.Hazen)
+4
-0.16
15:00
2nd & 6
OWN 49
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WFU47 (#10 G.Kirschke; #11 L.Hardy)
+4
-0.16
15:00
3rd & 2
OPP 47
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU46 (#3 K.Prunty; #24 D.Hazen)
+1
-0.92
9:58
4th & 1
OPP 46
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WFU49 (#20 L.Webb Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
-3
-1.48
▸
FUMBLE
8 pl · 20 yd · 4:08
0–14
−4
12:26
1st & 10
OWN 49
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 4 yards loss to the WFU45 (#3 E.Joseph)
-4
-2.00
11:45
2nd & 14
OWN 45
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete short left to #4 S.Berkhalter caught at FSU42, for 13 yards to the FSU42, out of bounds at FSU42
+13
1.96
11:16
3rd & 1
OPP 42
(11:22) #10 C.Barnes rush left for 1 yard gain to the FSU41 (#20 B.Nichelson; #27 A.Barker), 1ST DOWN
+1
0.72
10:36
1st & 10
OPP 41
(10:39) Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short middle to #12 K.Johnson thrown to FSU38 QB hurried by #44 J.Jones
0
-0.88
10:30
2nd & 10
OPP 41
(10:34) Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush left for 1 yard loss to the FSU42 (#44 J.Jones)
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete deep left to #7 M.Mays Jr. thrown to FSU07 broken up by #27 A.Barker PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (#27 A.Barker) 15 yards from FSU38 to FSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
PENALTY WFU False Start (#79 F.Fa'amoe) 5 yards from FSU12 to FSU17. NO PLAY
+5
8:24
1st & 15
OPP 17
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Wake Forest rush middle for 14 yards loss to the FSU31 fumbled by Wake Forest at FSU19 recovered by FSU #11 J.Rawls at FSU31 #11 J.Rawls return 7 yards to the FSU38 (#2 R.Ashford) PENALTY WFU Personal Foul (#2 R.Ashford) 15 yards from FSU38 to WFU47, 1ST DOWN
-4.14
▸
TD
7 pl · 47 yd · 3:25
0–21
+9
8:18
1st & 10
OPP 47
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WFU42 (#42 T.Walton; #8 J.Loving)
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at WFU16, for 29 yards to the WFU13 (#5 D.Patterson; #23 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WFU Pass Interference declined
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WFU05 (#45 N.Andersen) PENALTY WFU Personal Foul (#8 J.Loving) 3 yards from WFU05 to WFU02, 1ST DOWN
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass incomplete short middle to #4 S.Berkhalter thrown to WFU47, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
0
-0.21
▸
TD
2 pl · 40 yd · 0:24
0–28
2:02
1st & 10
OPP 40
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at WFU05, for 39 yards to the WFU01 (#20 L.Webb Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass intercepted by #0 E.Little Jr. at FSU45 QB hurried by #10 J.Williams #0 E.Little Jr. return 35 yards to the WFU20 (#71 M.Siani). #2 R.Ashford injured on the play
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 12 yards gain to the WFU08 (#3 K.Prunty), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+12
0.67
0:09
1st & 8
OPP 8
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU07 (#45 N.Andersen)
+1
-0.29
0:00
1st & 8
OPP 8
End of 3rd quarter.
-0.29
14:54
2nd & 7
OPP 7
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush right for 7 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:54 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)
+7
2.61
▸
Q4
PUNT
4 pl · 13 yd · 1:19
0–35
14:46
1st & 10
OWN 25
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WFU26, for 11 yards to the WFU36 (#19 J.Wilson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+11
0.93
14:18
1st & 10
OWN 36
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete short left to #14 K.Brenson thrown to WFU41 broken up by #19 J.Wilson
0
-1.04
14:13
2nd & 10
OWN 36
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Claiborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU38 (#56 K.Sampson)
+2
-0.41
13:42
3rd & 8
OWN 38
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete short middle to #14 K.Brenson thrown to WFU41
0
-0.44
13:35
4th & 8
OWN 38
(13:39) #91 C.Joseph punt 40 yards to the FSU22 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU22
▸
TD
4 pl · 78 yd · 1:44
0–42
−1
13:23
1st & 10
OWN 22
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep right to #19 M.Danzy caught at WFU33, for 66 yards to the WFU12 (#20 L.Webb Jr.), 1ST DOWN
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete short middle to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at FSU05, for 18 yards to the FSU01 (#15 S.Arnoux), 1ST DOWN
+18
1.67
8:24
1st & 1
OPP 1
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FSU02 (#1 S.Brown; #24 K.Kirkland)
-1
-1.13
7:42
2nd & 2
OPP 2
(07:47) #0 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU01 (#15 S.Arnoux)
+1
-0.39
7:00
3rd & 1
OPP 1
(07:02) PENALTY WFU Illegal Snap (#70 D.Kylany) 5 yards from FSU01 to FSU06. NO PLAY
+5
6:49
3rd & 6
OPP 6
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass complete short left to #7 M.Mays Jr. caught at FSU00, for 6 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:49 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #9 S.Racanelli, LS: #32 W.Cobb)
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete deep left to #14 K.Brenson thrown to FSU05 PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (#4 C.Lester III) 15 yards from FSU31 to FSU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
+15
0:09
1st & 10
OPP 16
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie rush right for 13 yards gain to the FSU03 (#37 C.White), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+13
1.10
0:04
1st & 3
OPP 3
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FSU09 (#1 S.Brown)
-6
-1.28
0:04
2nd & 9
OPP 9
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Purdie pass incomplete short right to #13 J.Melvin thrown to FSU00 broken up by #15 S.Arnoux
0
-0.27
0:04
1st & 3
OPP 3
Timeout Wake Forest, clock 00:04
0:00
2nd & 9
OWN 9
End of 4th quarter.
5.65
23 drives. Field position runs left to right for both teams: 0 is the offense's own goal line, 100 the one it is attacking. WP is CollegeFootballData's model, read at the last play of each drive; Δ is what the drive moved it, in points of probability.
Tackles with solo in parentheses. Sacks, plays for loss and explosive plays come from the play rows; takeaways and three-and-outs from how each drive ended.
K kicking, P punting, KR kick returns, PR punt returns. Average drive start counts only drives that began after a punt or a kickoff — a drive handed over by a takeaway is the defense's doing.
Team stats from play-by-play
67
plays
56
241
yards
429
12
drives
11
37%
success rate
48%
0.78
total PPA
24.01
Derived from 123 scrimmage plays. Interception return yardage is excluded from the offense.
Scoring
Q2
(13:48) #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 6 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:44, 1ST…
7–0
Q2
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WFU00…
14–0
Q3
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN…
21–0
Q3
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN…
28–0
Q4
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush right for 7 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN…