WIN PROBABILITY Buffalo above · Ohio below
KICK 45% → 100% Ohio FINAL
Buffalo
Ohio
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
PUNT
6 pl · 21 yd · 1:42
0–0
+1
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.70
15:00
2nd & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.35
15:00
3rd & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Chance Morrow for 16 yds to the BUF 41 for a 1ST down
+16
2.47
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 41
Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the BUF 43
+2
-0.68
15:00
2nd & 8
OWN 43
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.96
15:00
3rd & 8
OWN 43
C.J. Ogbonna run for 3 yds to the BUF 46
+3
-0.25
13:18
4th & 5
OWN 46
Ethan Duane punt for 19 yds
▸
INT
5 pl · 21 yd · 1:36
0–0
+7
▸
MISSED FG
10 pl · 50 yd · 4:26
0–0
−8
11:42
1st & 10
OWN 21
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 3 yds to the BUF 24
+3
-0.25
11:42
2nd & 7
OWN 24
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 7 yds to the BUF 31 for a 1ST down
+7
0.97
11:42
1st & 10
OWN 31
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Messiah Burch for 3 yds to the BUF 34
+3
-0.37
11:42
2nd & 7
OWN 34
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 18 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST down
+18
2.29
11:42
1st & 10
OPP 48
Al-Jay Henderson run for 9 yds to the OHIO 39
+9
1.04
11:42
2nd & 1
OPP 39
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 3 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down
+3
-0.36
11:42
1st & 10
OPP 36
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.72
11:42
2nd & 10
OPP 36
C.J. Ogbonna run for 6 yds to the OHIO 30
+6
0.24
11:42
3rd & 4
OPP 30
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Jacqez Barksdale for 1 yd to the OHIO 29
+1
-0.69
7:16
4th & 3
OPP 29
Upton Bellenfant 47 yd FG MISSED
▸
FG
11 pl · 65 yd · 5:38
0–3
+5
▸
TD
8 pl · 75 yd · 3:51
7–3
−8
1:38
1st & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Tadd Barr for 10 yds to the BUF 35 for a 1ST down
+10
0.84
1:38
1st & 10
OWN 35
Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the BUF 40
+5
0.11
0:00
2nd & 5
OWN 40
Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the BUF 36
-4
-1.63
0:00
OWN 40
End of 1st Quarter
15:00
3rd & 9
OWN 36
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Qua Sanders for 17 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST down
+17
3.15
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 47
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Tadd Barr for 9 yds to the OHIO 38
+9
1.01
15:00
2nd & 1
OPP 38
C.J. Ogbonna run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 39 C.J. Ogbonna fumbled, recovered by BUF C.J. Ogbonna C. Ogbonna return for 0 yds
-1
-1.27
15:00
3rd & 2
OPP 39
C.J. Ogbonna run for 12 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST down
+12
1.13
12:47
1st & 10
OPP 27
Messiah Burch run for 27 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK)
+27
2.74
12:47
OWN 35
Timeout Ohio, clock 12:47
▸
Q2
TD
9 pl · 80 yd · 4:21
7–10
−7
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 7 yd · 1:17
7–10
−6
8:21
1st & 10
OWN 25
Lamar Sperling run for no gain to the BUF 25
0
-0.70
8:21
2nd & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.35
8:21
3rd & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Taji Johnson for 7 yds to the BUF 32
+7
0.15
7:04
4th & 3
OWN 32
Ethan Duane punt for 46 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 5 yds to the OHIO 27
▸
TD
2 pl · 73 yd · 0:52
7–17
+18
▸
FG
7 pl · 53 yd · 2:49
10–17
+12
6:12
1st & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 17 yds to the BUF 42 for a 1ST down
+17
1.52
6:12
1st & 10
OWN 42
C.J. Ogbonna run for a loss of 4 yards to the BUF 38
-4
-1.87
6:12
2nd & 14
OWN 38
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 33 yds to the OHIO 29 for a 1ST down
+33
3.64
6:12
1st & 10
OPP 29
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.53
6:12
2nd & 10
OPP 29
Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the OHIO 24
+5
0.05
6:12
3rd & 5
OPP 24
C.J. Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the OHIO 22
+2
-0.39
3:23
4th & 3
OPP 22
Upton Bellenfant 40 yd FG GOOD
▸
TD
7 pl · 75 yd · 2:20
10–24
−12
▸
END OF HALF
4 pl · -14 yd · 0:57
10–24
+10
0:51
2nd & 17
OWN 24
Timeout Buffalo, clock 00:51
0:51
1st & 10
OWN 31
C.J. Ogbonna sacked by Bradley Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the BUF 24
-7
-1.52
0:51
2nd & 17
OWN 24
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.16
0:51
3rd & 17
OWN 24
Buffalo Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the BUF 26 for a 1ST down
-15
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 26
C.J. Ogbonna sacked by Marcel Walker-Burgess for a loss of 9 yards to the BUF 17
-9
-1.26
0:00
OWN 17
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
PUNT
3 pl · 3 yd · 2:21
10–24
+29
▸
FUMBLE
7 pl · 50 yd · 3:15
10–24
−4
12:39
1st & 10
OWN 30
Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUF 28
-2
-1.10
12:39
2nd & 12
OWN 28
Al-Jay Henderson run for 11 yds to the BUF 39
+11
1.06
12:39
3rd & 1
OWN 39
Buffalo Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BUF 34
-5
12:39
3rd & 6
OWN 34
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 9 yds to the BUF 43 for a 1ST down
+9
2.17
12:39
1st & 10
OWN 43
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 25 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST down
+25
1.59
12:39
1st & 10
OPP 32
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 6 yds to the OHIO 26
+6
0.22
12:39
2nd & 4
OPP 26
Al-Jay Henderson run for 11 yds to the OHIO 15 for a 1ST down
+11
0.09
9:24
1st & 10
OPP 15
C.J. Ogbonna sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the OHIO 20 C.J. Ogbonna fumbled, recovered by OHIO Bralen Henderson , return for 0 yards
-5
-0.71
▸
TD
6 pl · 80 yd · 3:05
10–31
+11
▸
TD
11 pl · 75 yd · 3:41
16–31
+1
6:19
1st & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 16 yds to the BUF 41 for a 1ST down
+16
1.42
6:19
1st & 10
OWN 41
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-1.14
6:19
2nd & 10
OWN 41
Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the BUF 46
+5
0.07
6:19
3rd & 5
OWN 46
Al-Jay Henderson run for 10 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST down
+10
2.32
6:19
1st & 10
OPP 44
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.97
6:19
2nd & 10
OPP 44
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 3 yds to the OHIO 41
+3
-0.39
6:19
3rd & 7
OPP 41
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Chance Morrow for 8 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST down
+8
1.87
6:19
1st & 10
OPP 33
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 5 yds to the OHIO 28
+5
0.08
6:19
2nd & 5
OPP 28
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.66
6:19
3rd & 5
OPP 28
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Jake Orlando for 7 yds to the OHIO 21 for a 1ST down
+7
0.85
2:38
1st & 10
OPP 21
Victor Snow 21 Yd pass from C.J. Ogbonna (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+21
2.63
▸
PUNT
3 pl · -3 yd · 1:53
16–33
−9
2:38
1st & 10
OWN 25
Parker Navarro pass incomplete
0
-0.70
2:38
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Parker Navarro run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 23
-2
-0.43
2:38
3rd & 12
OWN 23
Ohio Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 18
-5
2:38
3rd & 17
OWN 18
Parker Navarro pass complete to Eian Pugh for 4 yds to the OHIO 22
+4
-0.01
0:45
4th & 13
OWN 22
Jack Wilson punt for 28 yds, downed at the 50 yard line
▸
ON DOWNS
4 pl · 7 yd · 0:49
16–33
+2
0:45
1st & 10
50
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-1.11
0:45
2nd & 10
50
Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the OHIO 48
+2
-0.62
0:00
OPP 48
End of 3rd Quarter
0:00
3rd & 8
OPP 48
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Javien Cuff for 5 yds to the OHIO 43
+5
0.06
14:56
4th & 3
OPP 43
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-1.49
▸
Q4
TD
6 pl · 57 yd · 2:41
16–40
+9
▸
INT
2 pl · 0 yd · 0:17
16–40
−2
12:15
1st & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.70
▸
ON DOWNS
8 pl · 29 yd · 4:24
16–47
+4
11:58
1st & 10
OWN 25
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for no gain to the BUF 25
0
-0.70
11:58
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Al-Jay Henderson run for 8 yds to the BUF 33
+8
0.48
11:58
3rd & 2
OWN 33
C.J. Ogbonna run for 3 yds to the BUF 36 for a 1ST down
+3
1.15
11:58
1st & 10
OWN 36
Al-Jay Henderson run for 16 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST down
+16
1.46
11:58
1st & 10
OPP 48
C.J. Ogbonna sacked by Shay Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
-2
-1.54
11:58
2nd & 12
50
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the OHIO 47
+3
-0.38
11:58
3rd & 9
OPP 47
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Lamar Sperling for 1 yd to the OHIO 46
+1
-0.69
7:34
4th & 8
OPP 46
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
0
-0.70
▸
ON DOWNS
9 pl · 33 yd · 5:39
16–47
−1
7:34
1st & 10
OWN 46
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the OHIO 49
+3
-0.42
7:34
2nd & 7
OWN 49
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the BUF 49
+2
-0.67
7:34
3rd & 5
OPP 49
Nick Poulos run for 10 yds to the BUF 39 for a 1ST down
+10
2.13
7:34
1st & 10
OPP 39
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the BUF 37
+2
-0.44
7:34
2nd & 8
OPP 37
Nick Poulos run for 9 yds to the BUF 28 for a 1ST down
+9
0.81
7:34
1st & 10
OPP 28
Duncan Brune run for no gain to the BUF 28
0
-0.51
7:34
2nd & 10
OPP 28
Duncan Brune run for no gain to the BUF 28
0
-0.70
2:00
4th & 5
OPP 23
Timeout Ohio, clock 02:00
2:00
3rd & 10
OPP 28
Duncan Brune run for 5 yds to the BUF 23
+5
0.05
1:55
4th & 5
OPP 23
Nick Poulos run for 2 yds to the BUF 21
+2
-3.07
▸
END OF GAME
4 pl · 10 yd · 1:55
16–47
+4