WIN PROBABILITY Florida International above · Arkansas State below
KICK 42% → 98% Arkansas State FINAL
Florida International
Arkansas State
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
PUNT
5 pl · 22 yd · 2:18
0–0
▸
TD
15 pl · 80 yd · 3:17
0–7
+16
12:37
1st & 10
OWN 20
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.56
12:32
2nd & 10
OWN 20
Marcel Murray run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 24
+4
-0.04
12:05
3rd & 6
OWN 24
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marcel Murray for 6 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST down
+6
1.30
11:54
1st & 10
OWN 30
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.86
11:51
2nd & 10
OWN 30
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.46
11:37
3rd & 10
OWN 30
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Omar Bayless for 15 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down
+15
2.74
11:28
1st & 10
OWN 45
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-1.16
11:20
2nd & 10
OWN 45
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.91
11:15
3rd & 10
OWN 45
Layne Hatcher run for 22 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST down
+22
3.45
10:45
1st & 10
OPP 33
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.64
10:29
2nd & 10
OPP 33
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30
+3
-0.28
10:16
3rd & 7
OPP 30
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Omar Bayless for 8 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST down
+8
1.17
10:04
1st & 10
OPP 22
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.40
9:57
2nd & 10
OPP 22
Jamal Jones run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST down
+14
0.73
9:38
1st & 8
OPP 8
Jones, Jamal rush for no gain to the FLAINTL8, PENALTY FLAINTL face mask 4 yards to the FLAINTL4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKST.
+4
9:25
1st & 4
OPP 4
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Omar Bayless for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)
+4
1.69
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 0 yd · 1:09
0–7
+13
9:12
1st & 10
OWN 25
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28
+3
-0.30
8:53
2nd & 7
OWN 28
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 30
+2
-0.36
8:24
3rd & 5
OWN 30
James Morgan pass incomplete
0
-0.37
8:24
4th & 5
OWN 30
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 25
-5
8:16
4th & 10
OWN 25
Tommy Heatherly punt for 47 yds, fair catch by B.J. Edmonds at the ArkSt 28
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd · 1:19
0–7
−9
▸
PUNT
4 pl · 24 yd · 2:27
0–7
+1
▸
TD
13 pl · 90 yd · 3:35
0–14
+12
4:24
1st & 10
OWN 10
Marcel Murray run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down
+13
0.58
4:08
1st & 10
OWN 23
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST down
+8
3:55
1st & 10
OWN 31
Marcel Murray run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 27
-4
-1.33
3:31
2nd & 14
OWN 27
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 20 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST down
+20
2.84
3:18
1st & 10
OWN 47
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-1.15
3:10
2nd & 10
OWN 47
Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 49
+2
-0.59
2:23
3rd & 8
OWN 49
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marcel Murray for 11 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST down
+11
2.65
2:13
1st & 10
OPP 40
Omar Bayless pass incomplete
0
-0.85
2:09
2nd & 10
OPP 40
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-1.03
2:03
3rd & 10
OPP 40
Layne Hatcher run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST down
+14
2.34
1:45
1st & 10
OPP 26
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.47
1:39
2nd & 10
OPP 26
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST down
+15
1:20
1st & 10
OPP 11
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 9
+2
-0.17
1:01
2nd & 8
OPP 9
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.28
0:55
3rd & 8
OPP 9
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)
+9
2.97
▸
TD
9 pl · 71 yd · 3:05
7–14
−3
0:48
1st & 10
OWN 29
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 15 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST down
+15
1.41
0:24
1st & 10
OWN 44
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 45
+1
-0.93
0:10
2nd & 9
OWN 45
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47
+2
-0.59
0:00
OPP 0
End of 1st Quarter
14:54
3rd & 7
OPP 33
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 20 yds to the ARKST 33 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ArkSt 18 for a 1ST down
+35
14:32
1st & 10
OPP 18
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 13
+5
0.07
14:01
2nd & 5
OPP 13
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST down
+5
0.20
13:48
1st & 8
OPP 8
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 3
+5
0.11
13:07
2nd & 3
OPP 3
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the ArkSt 3
0
-0.41
12:50
3rd & 3
OPP 3
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+3
2.62
▸
Q2
FG
10 pl · 47 yd · 3:19
7–17
+1
12:41
1st & 10
OWN 25
Marcel Murray run for no gain to the ArkSt 25
0
-0.70
12:30
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 18 yds to the ArkSt 43 for a 1ST down
+18
2.32
12:10
1st & 10
OWN 43
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-1.16
11:55
2nd & 10
OWN 43
Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 46
+3
-0.35
11:14
3rd & 7
OWN 46
Layne Hatcher run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST down
+9
2.50
10:54
1st & 10
OPP 45
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 11 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST down
+11
0.54
10:35
1st & 10
OPP 34
Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31
+3
-0.21
10:22
2nd & 7
OPP 31
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.75
9:53
3rd & 7
OPP 31
Layne Hatcher run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28
+3
-0.33
9:31
4th & 4
OPP 28
Blake Grupe 46 yd FG GOOD
0.22
▸
FG
8 pl · 47 yd · 4:01
10–17
−3
9:10
1st & 10
OWN 45
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line
+5
0.11
8:30
2nd & 5
50
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 15 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down
+15
1.20
8:08
1st & 10
OPP 35
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 31
+4
-0.07
7:27
2nd & 6
OPP 31
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the ArkSt 31
0
-0.74
6:53
3rd & 6
OPP 31
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ArkSt 16 for a 1ST down
+15
6:45
1st & 10
OPP 16
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 12
+4
-0.02
6:09
2nd & 6
OPP 12
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 8
+4
-0.02
5:35
3rd & 2
OPP 8
James Morgan pass incomplete
0
-0.37
5:30
4th & 2
OPP 8
Jose Borregales 25 yd FG GOOD
-1.02
▸
FG
8 pl · 59 yd · 2:25
10–20
+8
5:19
1st & 10
OWN 21
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.59
5:06
2nd & 10
OWN 21
Layne Hatcher run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 22
+1
-0.23
4:30
3rd & 9
OWN 22
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 10 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST down
+10
1.63
4:25
1st & 10
OWN 32
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Omar Bayless for 51 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST down
+51
2.94
3:52
1st & 10
OPP 17
Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 15
+2
-0.19
3:14
2nd & 8
OPP 15
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.36
3:10
3rd & 8
OPP 15
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete
0
-0.52
3:10
4th & 8
OPP 15
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 20
-5
3:05
4th & 13
OPP 20
Blake Grupe 37 yd FG GOOD
0.51
▸
FG
10 pl · 70 yd · 2:25
13–20
−9
2:54
1st & 10
OWN 22
James Morgan pass incomplete
0
-0.61
2:42
2nd & 10
OWN 22
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 24
+2
-0.19
2:05
3rd & 8
OWN 24
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 42 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST down
+42
4.14
1:55
1st & 10
OPP 34
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 28
+6
0.23
1:15
2nd & 4
OPP 28
James Morgan pass incomplete
0
-0.67
1:15
3rd & 4
OPP 28
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 33
-5
1:05
3rd & 9
OPP 13
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 20 yds to the ArkSt 13 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the ArkSt 7 for a 1ST down
+26
1:05
1st & goal
OPP 7
Timeout ARKANSAS ST, clock 01:05
0:58
1st & 7
OPP 7
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 8
-1
-0.48
0:54
2nd & 8
OPP 8
Anthony Jones pass incomplete
0
-0.27
0:44
3rd & 8
OPP 8
James Morgan pass incomplete
0
-0.35
0:40
4th & 8
OPP 8
Jose Borregales 25 yd FG GOOD
-0.70
▸
END OF HALF
2 pl · 3 yd · 0:40
13–20
+3
0:26
1st & 10
OWN 25
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26
+1
-0.59
0:01
2nd & 9
OWN 26
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 28
+2
-0.27
0:00
OWN 0
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
TD
11 pl · 74 yd · 2:38
13–27
+8
▸
ON DOWNS
14 pl · 58 yd · 7:15
13–27
+10
12:05
1st & 10
OWN 18
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19
+1
-0.43
11:42
2nd & 9
OWN 19
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 24 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST down
+24
2.45
11:08
1st & 10
OWN 43
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line
+7
0.68
10:38
2nd & 3
50
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 40
-10
10:09
2nd & 13
OWN 40
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42
+2
-0.40
9:28
3rd & 11
OWN 42
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 16 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down
+16
3.31
8:53
1st & 10
OPP 42
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 38
+4
-0.10
8:21
2nd & 6
OPP 38
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 37
+1
-0.74
7:48
3rd & 5
OPP 37
Anthony Jones run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 28 for a 1ST down
+9
1.37
7:10
1st & 10
OPP 28
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 22
+6
0.20
7:00
2nd & 4
OPP 22
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 17 for a 1ST down
+5
-0.02
6:35
1st & 10
OPP 17
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the ArkSt 32
-15
5:42
1st & 10
OPP 32
James Morgan pass complete to Kamareon Williams for 8 yds to the ArkSt 24
+8
0.53
5:40
2nd & 2
OPP 24
James Morgan pass incomplete
0
-0.65
5:30
3rd & 2
OPP 24
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 23
+1
-0.53
5:07
4th & 1
OPP 23
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 24
-1
-3.48
▸
FUMBLE
2 pl · -1 yd · 0:31
13–27
+2
▸
TD
2 pl · 23 yd · 0:48
20–27
−7
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 37 yd · 1:54
20–27
−13
▸
FG
5 pl · 50 yd · 1:16
23–27
−10
▸
INT
5 pl · 10 yd · 1:44
23–27
+11
0:30
1st & 10
OWN 25
Marcel Murray run for no gain to the ArkSt 25
0
-0.70
0:15
2nd & 10
OWN 25
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 20
-5
0:00
OWN 0
End of 3rd Quarter
14:42
2nd & 15
OWN 20
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marcel Murray for 10 yds to the ArkSt 30
+10
0.41
14:20
3rd & 5
OWN 30
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 4 yds to the ArkSt 34
+4
-0.06
14:11
4th & 1
OWN 34
Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down
+1
1.56
13:54
1st & 10
OWN 35
Layne Hatcher pass intercepted Rishard Dames return for no gain to the FlaIn 33
-1.76
▸
Q4
FG
6 pl · 32 yd · 2:02
26–27
−31
13:47
1st & 10
OWN 33
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST down
+10
13:45
1st & 10
OWN 43
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 42
-1
-1.37
13:04
2nd & 11
OWN 42
Napoleon Maxwell run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST down
+20
2.74
12:42
1st & 10
OPP 38
James Morgan pass incomplete
0
-0.78
12:38
2nd & 10
OPP 38
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 35
+3
-0.34
11:59
3rd & 7
OPP 35
James Morgan pass incomplete
0
-1.04
11:52
4th & 7
OPP 35
Jose Borregales 52 yd FG GOOD
1.25
▸
ON DOWNS
8 pl · 33 yd · 3:21
26–27
+1
▸
MISSED FG
7 pl · 46 yd · 3:21
26–27
+25
▸
TD
5 pl · 80 yd · 1:33
26–34
+21
5:01
1st & 10
OWN 20
Jamal Jones run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 29
+9
1.11
5:01
2nd & 1
OPP 49
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Omar Bayless for 22 yds to the ARKST 49 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down
+7
-0.04
4:10
1st & 10
OWN 36
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Omar Bayless for 52 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST down
+52
2.62
3:45
1st & 10
OPP 12
Jamal Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 13
-1
-0.36
3:43
2nd & 11
OPP 13
Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 03:43
3:37
2nd & 11
OPP 13
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)
+13
2.89
▸
INT
5 pl · 12 yd · 1:15
26–34
+2
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 1 yd · 1:45
26–34
+7
2:17
1st & 10
OPP 41
Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 40
+1
-0.67
2:15
2nd & 9
OPP 40
Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 02:15
2:10
2nd & 9
OPP 40
Marcel Murray run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 36
+4
-0.14
1:25
3rd & 5
OPP 36
Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35
+1
-0.82
0:46
4th & 4
OPP 35
Timeout ARKANSAS ST, clock 00:46
0:46
4th & 4
OPP 35
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 40
-5
0:37
4th & 9
OPP 40
Cody Grace punt for 28 yds, downed at the FlaIn 12
▸
INT
1 pl · 15 yd · 0:18
26–34
−5
0:32
1st & 10
OWN 12
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST down
+15
0:19
1st & 10
OWN 27
James Morgan pass intercepted Darreon Jackson return for 12 yds to the FlaIn 41
-1.07
▸
—
1 pl · -2 yd · 0:18
26–34
+7
0:01
1st & 10
OPP 41
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 43
-2
-1.31