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Fresno State — Pac-12

HC Matt Entz · Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA · 41,031 cap
SP+
#73 · -1.4
2026
Elo
1548
2025
PPA off / def
0.10 / 0.08
2025
2025 record
9–4
Class rank
#70
class of 2026
Talent
587
2025
Returning PPA
38%
returning production
SP+ rating by season

vs Ohio State — OSU leads 2–0

2000 OSU W 43–10Columbus
1994 OSU W 34–10Columbus

2026 schedule

WkOpponentAll-time seriesVenue
wk1at USCUSC leads 5–1 · L5Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
wk2vs Sacramento Stateleads 5–0 · W5Valley Children's Stadium
wk3at San José Stateleads 39–30 · W2CEFCU Stadium
wk4vs Riceleads 6–1Valley Children's Stadium
wk5at Washington StateWashington State leads 4–2Gesa Field
wk6vs Boise StateBoise State leads 17–10 · W3Valley Children's Stadium
wk7at San Diego StateSan Diego State leads 19–13 · L2Snapdragon Stadium
wk9vs Oregon Stateleads 9–6Valley Children's Stadium
wk10at Utah Stateleads 19–13–1Maverik Stadium
wk11at Texas StateBobcat Stadium (TX)
wk12vs Colorado StateColorado State leads 11–7Valley Children's Stadium

2025 results (9–4)

wk1 vs Georgia Southern W 42–14
wk1 at Kansas L 7–31
wk2 at Oregon State W 36–27
wk3 vs Southern W 56–7
wk4 at Hawai'i W 23–21
wk6 vs Nevada W 20–17
wk7 at Colorado State L 21–49
wk9 vs San Diego State L 0–23
wk10 at Boise State W 30–7
wk12 vs Wyoming W 24–3
wk13 vs Utah State L 17–28
wk14 at San José State W 41–14
wk1 post N Miami (OH) W 18–3 Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl

Statistical comps — 2025 Fresno State's closest analogs

Season · TeamRecordAP FinalSP+Similarity
2025 Miami (OH) 7–7 -3.4 64
2024 UConn 9–4 1.5 63
2020 Florida Atlantic 5–4 -0.3 54
2020 Northwestern 7–2 #10 9.0 54
2018 San Diego State 7–6 6.0 50
2016 Indiana 6–7 4.6 50
Nearest neighbors by z-scored success rate, explosiveness, run rate & havoc (offense + defense), 2015–25.

2025 leaders

Passing
E.J. WarnerQB2,030 yds
Carson ConklinQB354 yds
Rushing
Rayshon LukeRB699 yds
Bryson DonelsonRB583 yds
Brandon RamirezRB271 yds
Receiving
Josiah FreemanWR642 yds
Richie AndersonTE300 yds
Ezekiel AvitWR255 yds

Transfer portal — 2026 (13 in / 10 out)

Incoming
Tariq ThomasRB← Bucknell★★★
Croix StewartSUCLA★★★
Oscar WeigelOT← San Diego★★★
Khristian MartinQBMaryland★★★
Maverick NoonanEDGENebraska★★★
Dylan HampstenEDGESacramento State★★★
Jake ApplegetTENorthern Illinois★★★
Patrick BarnettIOLUCF★★★
+ 5 more
Outgoing
Richie AndersonTETexas A&M
Carson ConklinQBSacramento State
RL MillerS→ Cal Poly
Jayden DavisSUConn
Tim ThomasLBSacramento State
Isiah Chala Jr.EDGESacramento State
Jack MetzlerEDGE→ uncommitted
Brayden TurnerQB→ College of San Mateo
+ 2 more
data: CollegeFootballData.com · dashboard

Origins

Hill said anyone, anywhere, anytime and meant it, playing road games at USC, Oregon and Wisconsin in the same season. David Carr went first overall in the 2002 draft.

Founded 1911 · A state normal school in the middle of the San Joaquin Valley · first football 1921 · defined by Pat Hill

All-time record

All-time
431–337–6
1926–2025
Win %
56.1%
96 seasons played
Winning seasons
43
45% of seasons
By level: ii/iii 4–19–1 (1926–1952) · D-II 26–34–1 (1939–1968) · FBS 401–284–4 (1969–2025)
Best seasonsWLConference
2018122Mountain West
1985110PCAA
1989111Big West
1982111PCAA
2013112Mountain West
Season records from CollegeFootballData, which is why the span starts at 1926 — that is where its coverage of this program begins, not necessarily the first year it fielded a team.

Play-calling tendencies (2025 · garbage time excluded)

SituationPlaysRun %Success %Nat'lAvg ydsExpl %
1st down33468% 39%109 of 1365.610%
2nd down26047% 40%56 of 1365.810%
3rd & short (≤3)4567% 49%1.42%
3rd & medium (4–7)4520% 38%5.913%
3rd & long (8+)6922% 28%6.312%
4th down1937% 42%2.40%
166 drives · 34% ended in points · 6.7 plays and 33.8 yards per drive · 0.51 PPA per drive
Success: 50% of yardage needed on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th. Explosive: 12+ yd rush / 16+ yd pass. National rank is shown only for 1st and 2nd down, where every team has 100+ plays; the later buckets average 18-43 and a rank there would be noise. League leaderboard →

Most valuable plays (by PPA, 2025)

WkOppPlayYdsPPA
13Utah State Rayshon Luke 69 Yd Run (Dylan Lynch Kick) 695.61
14San José State (02:00) Shotgun #33 E.Gilliam rush middle for 34 yards gain to the SJSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock… 344.65
12Wyoming (13:05) #0 J.Arceneaux rush right for 58 yards gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:58, 1… 584.56
3Southern Bryson Donelson run for 57 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK) 574.47
CFPMiami (OH) (10:45) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #5 J.Freeman caught at FSU18, fo… 514.40
13Utah State Jahlil McClain 43 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Dylan Lynch Kick) 434.29
6Nevada Rayshon Luke run for 68 yds to the NEV 22 for a 1ST down 684.15
2Oregon State Rayshon Luke run for 44 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK) 444.11