WIN PROBABILITY Louisville above · Miami below
KICK 58% → 0% Miami FINAL
Louisville
Miami
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
TD
11 pl · 75 yd · 6:05
7–0
−28
▸
PUNT
3 pl · -7 yd · 1:40
7–0
−11
8:40
1st & 10
OWN 25
Carson Beck pass complete to CJ Daniels for 4 yds to the MIA 29
+4
-0.11
8:28
2nd & 6
OWN 29
Miami Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the MIA 15
-15
7:56
3rd & 20
OWN 15
Carson Beck pass complete to Malachi Toney for 3 yds to the MIA 18
+3
-0.01
7:15
4th & 17
OWN 18
Dylan Joyce punt for 44 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 16 yds to the MIA 46
▸
TD
4 pl · 46 yd · 2:06
14–0
−2
▸
TD
5 pl · 75 yd · 2:50
14–7
+19
▸
PUNT
7 pl · 21 yd · 2:40
14–7
−3
▸
Q2
INT
3 pl · 11 yd · 1:35
14–7
−3
14:34
1st & 10
OWN 7
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Fletcher Jr.,Mark rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MIA13 (Watts,Antonio; Quinn,T.J.) PENALTY MIA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Toney,Malachi) 3 yards from MIA07 to MIA04. NO PLAY.
-3
14:04
1st & 13
OWN 4
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 5
+1
-0.15
13:25
2nd & 12
OWN 5
Carson Beck pass complete to CJ Daniels for 13 yds to the MIA 18 for a 1ST down
+13
0.76
13:04
1st & 10
OWN 18
Carson Beck pass intercepted Antonio Watts return for no gain to the LOU 32
-0.51
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 22 yd · 4:03
14–7
+9
13:04
2nd & 7
OWN 35
Timeout Miami, clock 13:04
12:57
1st & 10
OWN 32
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 35
+3
-0.38
12:17
2nd & 7
OWN 35
Isaac Brown run for 7 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down
+7
1.34
11:38
1st & 10
OWN 42
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 11 yds to the MIA 47 for a 1ST down
+11
0.95
10:59
1st & 10
OPP 47
Keyjuan Brown run for no gain to the MIA 47
0
-1.05
10:21
2nd & 10
OPP 47
Miller Moss sacked by Keionte Scott for a loss of 11 yards to the LOU 42
-11
-2.41
9:35
3rd & 21
OWN 42
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 12 yds to the MIA 46
+12
0.69
9:01
4th & 9
OPP 46
David Chapeau punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Malachi Toney at the MIA 11
▸
INT
4 pl · 21 yd · 1:46
14–7
−8
9:01
1st & 15
OWN 6
Timeout Miami, clock 09:01
9:01
1st & 10
OWN 11
PENALTY MIA False Start (Bell,Markel) 5 yards from MIA11 to MIA06. NO PLAY.
-5
8:48
1st & 15
OWN 6
Carson Beck pass complete to Alex Bauman for 14 yds to the MIA 20
+14
1.24
8:30
2nd & 1
OWN 20
Jordan Lyle run for 12 yds to the MIA 32 for a 1ST down
+12
0.39
7:59
1st & 10
OWN 32
Jordan Lyle run for no gain to the MIA 32
0
-0.93
7:15
2nd & 10
OWN 32
Carson Beck pass intercepted Jabari Mack return for no gain to the LOU 32
-0.55
▸
PUNT
4 pl · -2 yd · 1:45
14–7
+7
▸
FG
7 pl · 61 yd · 3:34
14–10
+4
5:30
2nd & 5
OWN 35
Timeout Miami, clock 05:30
5:21
1st & 10
OWN 30
Carson Beck pass complete to Malachi Toney for 5 yds to the MIA 35
+5
0.10
4:51
2nd & 5
OWN 35
Miami Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIA 30
-10
4:16
2nd & 10
OWN 30
Carson Beck pass complete to Malachi Toney for 61 yds to the LOU 9 for a 1ST down
+61
4.13
3:28
1st & 9
OPP 9
Jordan Lyle run for no gain to the LOU 9
0
-0.32
2:49
2nd & 9
OPP 9
Carson Beck pass incomplete to CJ Daniels
0
-0.27
2:35
3rd & 9
OPP 9
Carson Beck run for no gain to the LOU 9
0
-0.39
2:00
4th & 9
OPP 9
Timeout Miami, clock 02:00
1:56
4th & 9
OPP 9
Carter Davis 27 yd FG GOOD
▸
PUNT
7 pl · 30 yd · 1:52
14–10
−4
▸
END OF HALF
1 pl · -1 yd · 0:04
14–10
+9
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 20
(00:03) Kneel down by #2/#2 Miami (FL) at MIA19 for loss of 1 yard.
-1
-0.63
0:00
OWN 20
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
PUNT
3 pl · 7 yd · 1:35
14–10
−4
▸
FG
6 pl · 34 yd · 2:22
17–10
−21
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 15 yd · 3:28
17–10
+5
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 14 yd · 2:47
17–10
+4
7:30
1st & 10
OWN 8
PENALTY LOU Illegal Substitution 4 yards from LOU08 to LOU04. NO PLAY.
-4
7:22
1st & 14
OWN 4
Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the LOU 12
+8
0.26
6:44
2nd & 6
OWN 12
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the LOU 20 for a 1ST down
+8
0.50
6:08
1st & 10
OWN 20
(06:10) Shotgun Brown,Isaac rush middle for 0 yards to the LOU20 (Moten,Ahmad) PENALTY LOU Holding (Moussa,Mahamane) 10 yards from LOU20 to LOU10. NO PLAY.
-10
5:37
1st & 20
OWN 10
Miller Moss pass incomplete
0
-0.10
5:33
2nd & 20
OWN 10
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy
0
-0.04
5:21
3rd & 20
OWN 10
Miller Moss pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for 12 yds to the LOU 22
+12
0.09
4:43
4th & 8
OWN 22
Carter Schwartz punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Malachi Toney at the MIA 45
▸
FG
6 pl · 32 yd · 2:52
17–13
+13
4:43
2nd & 11
OWN 44
Timeout Miami, clock 04:43
4:33
1st & 10
OWN 45
Carson Beck pass complete to Keelan Marion for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 44
-1
-1.38
4:13
2nd & 11
OWN 44
Carson Beck pass complete to Keelan Marion for 15 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down Louisville Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Wesley Bailey ) to the LOU 26 for a 1ST down
+30
2.94
3:38
1st & 10
OPP 26
Malachi Toney run for 2 yds to the LOU 24
+2
-0.25
3:03
2nd & 8
OPP 24
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 6 yds to the LOU 18
+6
0.17
2:21
3rd & 2
OPP 18
PENALTY MIA False Start (Okunlola,Samson) 5 yards from LOU18 to LOU23. NO PLAY.
-5
1:56
3rd & 7
OPP 23
Carson Beck pass incomplete to CJ Daniels
0
-0.75
1:51
4th & 7
OPP 23
Carter Davis 41 yd FG GOOD
▸
TD
8 pl · 75 yd · 3:24
24–13
−34
1:45
1st & 10
OWN 25
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris Bell
0
-0.70
1:41
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Nate Kurisky
0
-0.35
1:30
3rd & 10
OWN 25
Isaac Brown run for 20 yds to the LOU 45 for a 1ST down
+20
2.85
0:56
1st & 10
OWN 45
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 42
-3
-1.78
0:00
2nd & 13
OWN 42
Isaac Brown run for 15 yds to the MIA 43 for a 1ST down
+15
2.71
0:00
OWN 42
End of 3rd Quarter
15:00
1st & 15
OPP 48
Timeout Miami, clock 15:00
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 43
(14:59) PENALTY LOU Illegal Snap (Nygra,Pete) 5 yards from MIA43 to MIA48. NO PLAY.
-5
14:52
1st & 15
OPP 48
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the MIA 44
+4
-0.16
14:12
2nd & 11
OPP 44
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the MIA 36
+8
0.73
13:35
3rd & 3
OPP 36
Timeout Miami, clock 13:35
13:27
3rd & 3
OPP 36
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 36 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)
+36
3.78
▸
Q4
INT
10 pl · 31 yd · 5:37
24–13
−2
13:16
1st & 10
OWN 25
Carson Beck pass complete to Keelan Marion for 6 yds to the MIA 31
+6
0.33
13:01
2nd & 4
OWN 31
Jordan Lyle run for 1 yd to the MIA 32
+1
-0.72
12:19
3rd & 3
OWN 32
Carson Beck run for 2 yds to the MIA 34
+2
-0.33
11:34
4th & 1
OWN 34
CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST down
+2
1.65
10:53
1st & 10
OWN 36
Carson Beck run for no gain to the MIA 36
0
-1.04
10:31
2nd & 10
OWN 36
Carson Beck pass complete to Malachi Toney for 9 yds to the MIA 45
+9
0.99
9:47
3rd & 1
OWN 45
(09:51) Shotgun Brown,CharMar rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA48 (Perry,Kalib) PENALTY MIA Holding (Fletcher Jr.,Mark) 10 yards from MIA45 to MIA35. NO PLAY.
-10
9:16
3rd & 11
OWN 35
(09:22) Shotgun Beck,Carson pass intercepted by Evans Jr.,JoJo at MIA47 PENALTY LOU Roughing The Passer (Lubin,Clev) 15 yards from MIA35 to MIA50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+15
8:54
1st & 10
50
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the LOU 48
+2
-0.63
8:37
2nd & 8
OPP 48
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Mark Fletcher Jr.
0
-1.10
8:27
3rd & 8
OPP 48
Carson Beck pass complete to CJ Daniels for 4 yds to the LOU 44
+4
-0.15
7:50
4th & 4
OPP 44
Carson Beck pass intercepted JoJo Evans Jr. return for 5 yds to the LOU 28
-1.27
▸
FUMBLE
1 pl · -3 yd · 0:08
24–13
−6
▸
TD
1 pl · 12 yd · 0:05
24–21
+51
7:37
1st & 10
OPP 12
M. Toney run for 12 yds for a TD (M. Toney pass to C. Daniels for Two-Point Conversion)
+12
2.53
▸
PUNT
7 pl · 24 yd · 3:32
24–21
−19
▸
INT
12 pl · 54 yd · 3:33
24–21
+1
3:55
1st & 10
OWN 15
Carson Beck pass complete to Keelan Marion for 2 yds to the MIA 17
+2
-0.29
3:36
2nd & 8
OWN 17
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Malachi Toney
0
-0.28
3:36
3rd & 8
OWN 17
PENALTY MIA False Start (Lofton,Elija) 5 yards from MIA17 to MIA12. NO PLAY.
-5
3:20
3rd & 13
OWN 12
Carson Beck pass complete to CJ Daniels for 17 yds to the MIA 29 for a 1ST down
+17
1.55
3:06
1st & 10
OWN 29
Carson Beck pass complete to CJ Daniels for 3 yds to the MIA 32
+3
-0.34
2:38
2nd & 7
OWN 32
Carson Beck pass complete to Keelan Marion for 11 yds to the MIA 43 for a 1ST down
+11
1.65
2:03
1st & 10
OWN 43
Carson Beck run for 1 yd to the MIA 44
+1
-0.93
2:00
2nd & 9
OWN 44
Timeout Miami, clock 02:00
1:50
2nd & 9
OWN 44
Carson Beck pass complete to Malachi Toney for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
+6
0.33
1:26
3rd & 3
50
Carson Beck pass complete to Malachi Toney for 8 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down
+8
1.77
0:59
1st & 10
OPP 42
Carson Beck pass complete to CJ Daniels for 3 yds to the LOU 39
+3
-0.29
0:42
2nd & 7
OPP 39
Carson Beck pass complete to Jordan Lyle for 6 yds to the LOU 33
+6
0.29
0:36
3rd & 1
OPP 33
Jordan Lyle run for 2 yds to the LOU 31 for a 1ST down
+2
0.46
0:36
1st & 10
OPP 31
Timeout Miami, clock 00:36
0:32
1st & 10
OPP 31
Carson Beck pass intercepted T.J. Capers return for no gain to the LOU 30
-4.16
▸
END OF GAME
3 pl · -3 yd · 0:32
24–21
−33
0:29
2nd & 11
OWN 29
Timeout Miami, clock 00:29
0:29
1st & 10
OWN 30
(00:28) Kneel down by Louisville at LOU29 for loss of 1 yard.
-1
-0.99
0:27
2nd & 11
OWN 29
(00:28) Kneel down by Louisville at LOU28 for loss of 1 yard.
-1
-0.45
0:27
3rd & 12
OWN 28
Timeout Miami, clock 00:27
0:00
OWN 28
End of 4th Quarter
0:00
3rd & 12
OWN 28
run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 27
-1
-0.18