WIN PROBABILITY James Madison above · Louisville below
KICK 59% → 100% Louisville FINAL
James Madison
Louisville
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
PUNT
3 pl · -11 yd · 2:10
0–0
−12
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 0 yd · 0:22
0–0
+4
▸
ON DOWNS
7 pl · 19 yd · 2:52
0–0
+8
▸
TD
11 pl · 39 yd · 5:35
7–0
−31
9:29
1st & 10
OPP 39
Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the LOU 35
+4
-0.09
8:59
2nd & 6
OPP 35
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Jaylan Sanchez
0
-0.87
8:53
3rd & 6
OPP 35
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the LOU 35
0
-1.04
8:17
4th & 6
OPP 35
Louisville Penalty, Defensive Holding (9 Yards) to the LOU 26 for a 1ST down
+9
7:57
1st & 10
OPP 26
Matthew Sluka run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 27
-1
-0.59
7:15
2nd & 11
OPP 27
George Pettaway run for 12 yds to the LOU 15 for a 1ST down
+12
0.75
6:37
1st & 10
OPP 15
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the LOU 13
+2
-0.18
6:06
2nd & 8
OPP 13
Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the LOU 8
+5
0.05
5:30
3rd & 3
OPP 8
Jordan Fuller run for 3 yds to the LOU 5 for a 1ST down
+3
0.80
5:05
1st & 5
OPP 5
Jordan Fuller run for no gain to the LOU 5
0
-0.55
4:44
2nd & 5
OPP 5
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the LOU 3
+2
-0.19
4:05
3rd & goal
OPP 3
Timeout James Madison, clock 04:05
4:01
3rd & 3
OPP 3
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 3 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+3
2.62
▸
FUMBLE
7 pl · 44 yd · 3:15
7–0
+13
3:56
1st & 10
OWN 25
Isaac Brown run for no gain to the LOU 25
0
-0.70
3:36
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris Bell
0
-0.35
3:31
3rd & 10
OWN 25
Moss, Miller pass incomplete to Hurry, TreyShun, PENALTY JMU pass interference (Culp, Elijah) 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.
+15
3:26
1st & 10
OWN 40
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the LOU 45
+5
0.11
2:56
2nd & 5
OWN 45
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 48
+3
-0.44
2:19
3rd & 2
OWN 48
Keyjuan Brown run for 5 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST down
+5
1.48
1:43
1st & 10
OPP 47
Miller Moss pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 15 yds to the JMU 32 for a 1ST down James Madison Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the JMU 17 for a 1ST down
+30
1.03
1:14
1st & 10
OPP 17
Louisville Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the JMU 22
-5
0:46
1st & 15
OPP 22
Miller Moss sacked by Jacob Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the JMU 31 Miller Moss fumbled, forced by Jacob Thomas , recovered by JMU Xavier Holmes , return for 0 yards
-9
-1.85
▸
ON DOWNS
8 pl · 29 yd · 4:27
7–0
−18
▸
Q2
FG
13 pl · 56 yd · 5:58
7–3
+30
11:13
1st & 10
OWN 40
Isaac Brown run for 6 yds to the LOU 46
+6
0.40
10:44
2nd & 4
OWN 46
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris Bell
0
-1.24
10:37
3rd & 4
OWN 46
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST down
+8
2.05
10:01
1st & 10
OPP 46
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris Bell
0
-1.03
9:55
2nd & 10
OPP 46
Miller Moss pass complete to Isaac Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the LOU 49
-5
-1.93
9:05
3rd & 15
OWN 49
Miller Moss pass complete to Isaac Brown for 12 yds to the JMU 39
+12
1.36
8:24
4th & 3
OPP 39
Miller Moss pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 19 yds to the JMU 20 for a 1ST down
+19
2.51
7:56
1st & 10
OPP 20
Miller Moss run for 4 yds to the JMU 16
+4
-0.03
7:40
2nd & 6
OPP 16
James Madison Penalty, Delay of Game (Trent Hendrick ) to the JMU 11
+5
7:20
2nd & 1
OPP 11
Duke Watson run for 8 yds to the JMU 3 for a 1ST down
+8
0.53
7:02
1st & goal
OPP 3
James Madison Penalty, Offside Defense (2 Yards) to the JMU 1
+2
6:43
1st & 1
OPP 1
Duke Watson run for no gain to the JMU 1
0
-0.96
6:08
2nd & 1
OPP 1
Keyjuan Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 4
-3
-0.80
5:24
3rd & 4
OPP 4
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris Bell
0
-0.29
5:21
4th & 4
OPP 4
Cooper Ranvier 22 yd FG GOOD
▸
PUNT
7 pl · 3 yd · 3:39
7–3
−13
▸
FG
7 pl · 17 yd · 1:33
7–6
+18
1:35
1st & 10
OPP 37
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 7 yds to the JMU 30
+7
0.41
1:30
2nd & 3
OPP 30
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris Bell
0
-0.74
1:26
3rd & 3
OPP 30
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the JMU 22 for a 1ST down
+8
0.73
1:16
1st & 10
OPP 22
Louisville Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMU 27
-5
0:45
1st & 15
OPP 27
Miller Moss pass complete to Isaac Brown for 7 yds to the JMU 20
+7
0.22
0:45
2nd & 8
OPP 20
Timeout Louisville, clock 00:45
0:35
2nd & 8
OPP 20
Isaac Brown run for no gain to the JMU 20
0
-0.46
0:14
3rd & 8
OPP 20
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris Bell
0
-0.68
0:09
4th & 8
OPP 20
Cooper Ranvier 38 yd FG GOOD
▸
END OF HALF
1 pl · -2 yd · 0:09
7–6
−10
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 27
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 25
-2
-0.97
0:00
OWN 27
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
TD
9 pl · 75 yd · 4:50
14–6
−30
14:54
1st & 10
OWN 25
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the JMU 25
0
-0.70
14:18
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 20 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST down
+20
2.50
13:43
1st & 10
OWN 45
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Lacota Dippre
0
-1.16
13:38
2nd & 10
OWN 45
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 49
+4
-0.16
12:53
3rd & 6
OWN 49
Barnett III, Alonza pass incomplete to Dippre, Lacota, PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference (Holloway, Tayon) 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN JMU.
+15
12:45
1st & 10
OPP 36
James Madison Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LOU 41
-5
12:37
1st & 15
OPP 41
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the LOU 37
+4
-0.13
12:03
2nd & 11
OPP 37
Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the LOU 34
+3
-0.34
11:19
3rd & 8
OPP 34
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 19 yds to the LOU 15 for a 1ST down
+19
1.69
10:49
1st & 10
OPP 15
Alonza Barnett III run for 7 yds to the LOU 8
+7
0.30
10:10
2nd & 3
OPP 8
Matthew Sluka run for 8 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+8
2.25
▸
TD
4 pl · 75 yd · 1:33
14–14
+41
10:04
1st & 10
OWN 25
Isaac Brown run for 7 yds to the LOU 32
+7
0.60
9:39
2nd & 3
OWN 32
Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the LOU 34
+2
-0.63
9:09
3rd & 1
OWN 34
Duke Watson run for 2 yds to the LOU 36 for a 1ST down
+2
0.95
8:37
1st & 10
OWN 36
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 64 yds for a TD (M. Moss Run For Two-point Conversion)
+64
5.15
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 0 yd · 1:06
14–14
−2
8:30
1st & 10
OWN 25
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the JMU 31
+6
0.33
8:00
2nd & 4
OWN 31
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 6 yards to the JMU 25
-6
-1.38
7:46
3rd & 10
OWN 25
Timeout Louisville, clock 07:46
7:39
3rd & 10
OWN 25
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete
0
-0.16
7:31
4th & 10
OWN 25
Patrick Rea punt for 36 yds, downed at the LOU 39
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 5 yd · 1:31
14–14
−4
7:21
1st & 10
OWN 39
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 42
+3
-0.43
6:53
2nd & 7
OWN 42
Miller Moss pass incomplete
0
-0.99
6:53
3rd & 7
OWN 42
James Madison Penalty, Delay of Game (Andrew Taddeo ) to the LOU 47
+5
6:45
3rd & 2
OWN 47
Caullin Lacy run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 44
-3
-1.47
6:00
4th & 5
OWN 44
David Chapeau punt for 46 yds , Wayne Knight returns for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 43 James Madison Penalty, Offensive Holding (5 Yards) to the JMU 4
▸
PUNT
7 pl · 19 yd · 4:29
14–14
+5
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 8 yd · 1:31
14–14
−6
1:25
1st & 10
OWN 35
Keyjuan Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 33
-2
-1.32
1:03
2nd & 12
OWN 33
Caullin Lacy run for 6 yds to the LOU 39
+6
0.19
0:19
3rd & 6
OWN 39
Miller Moss pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 4 yds to the LOU 43
+4
-0.10
0:00
OWN 39
End of 3rd Quarter
15:00
4th & 2
OWN 43
David Chapeau punt for 42 yds , Wayne Knight returns for 1 yd to the JMU 44 James Madison Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the JMU 8
▸
Q4
FUMBLE TD
3 pl · -8 yd · 1:55
14–20
+6
▸
ON DOWNS
9 pl · 25 yd · 5:36
14–20
+24
▸
PUNT
3 pl · -1 yd · 0:58
14–20
−6
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 4 yd · 2:06
14–20
+10
6:26
1st & 10
OWN 31
Matthew Sluka sacked by TJ Quinn for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 29
-2
-1.14
5:53
2nd & 12
OWN 29
Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the JMU 34
+5
0.04
5:07
3rd & 7
OWN 34
Matthew Sluka run for 1 yd to the JMU 35
+1
-0.32
4:25
4th & 6
OWN 35
Patrick Rea punt for 46 yds, downed at the LOU 19
▸
TD
2 pl · 81 yd · 0:54
14–28
−6
4:20
1st & 10
OWN 19
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 22
+3
-0.23
3:31
2nd & 7
OWN 22
Isaac Brown run for 78 yds for a TD (Miller Moss pass to Dacari Collins for Two-Point Conversion)
+78
6.66
3:31
2nd & goal
OPP 3
Timeout Louisville, clock 03:31
3:31
2nd & 7
OWN 35
James Madison Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line
+15
▸
INT
8 pl · 37 yd · 2:04
14–28
+6
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 3 yd · 0:27
14–28
+9
1:20
1st & 10
OWN 11
Duke Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 9
-2
-0.45
1:20
2nd & 12
OWN 9
Timeout James Madison, clock 01:20
1:15
2nd & 12
OWN 9
Duke Watson run for 4 yds to the LOU 13
+4
-0.02
1:15
3rd & 8
OWN 13
Timeout James Madison, clock 01:15
1:10
3rd & 8
OWN 13
Keyjuan Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 14
+1
-0.09
1:10
4th & 7
OWN 14
Timeout James Madison, clock 01:10
1:00
4th & 7
OWN 14
David Chapeau punt for 26 yds, downed at the LOU 40
▸
END OF GAME
6 pl · 39 yd · 1:00
14–28
+5