WIN PROBABILITY Youngstown State above · Michigan State below
KICK 58% → 100% Michigan State FINAL
Youngstown State
Michigan State
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
FG
15 pl · 65 yd · 7:39
3–0
−16
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
Beau Brungard run for 7 yds to the YSU 32
+7
0.60
15:00
2nd & 3
OWN 32
Tahir Mills run for 1 yd to the YSU 33
+1
-0.82
15:00
3rd & 2
OWN 33
Beau Brungard pass complete to RK Dandridge for 8 yds to the YSU 41 for a 1ST down
+8
1.64
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 41
Beau Brungard pass complete to Jaden Gilbert for 5 yds to the YSU 46
+5
0.11
15:00
2nd & 5
OWN 46
Fresh Walters pass incomplete to Micheal Manna
0
-1.18
15:00
3rd & 5
OWN 46
Beau Brungard pass complete to Austin Bray for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
+4
-0.14
15:00
4th & 1
50
Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down
+2
2.19
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 48
Beau Brungard pass complete to Alex McDonald for 23 yds to the MSU 25 for a 1ST down
+23
0.99
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 25
Tahir Mills run for 2 yds to the MSU 23
+2
-0.24
15:00
2nd & 8
OPP 23
Beau Brungard run for 7 yds to the MSU 16
+7
0.28
15:00
3rd & 1
OPP 16
Tahir Mills run for 3 yds to the MSU 13 for a 1ST down
+3
0.12
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 13
Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the MSU 11
+2
-0.17
15:00
2nd & 8
OPP 11
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to Austin Bray
0
-0.30
15:00
3rd & 8
OPP 11
Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the MSU 10
+1
-0.31
7:21
4th & 7
OPP 10
Andrew Lastovka 28 yd FG GOOD
▸
TD
10 pl · 82 yd · 6:01
3–7
+44
7:14
2nd & 5
OWN 23
Timeout Michigan State, clock 07:14
7:14
1st & 10
OWN 18
Makhi Frazier run for 5 yds to the MSU 23
+5
0.08
7:14
2nd & 5
OWN 23
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 28 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down
+28
2.64
7:14
1st & 10
OPP 49
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 10 yds to the YSU 39 for a 1ST down
+10
0.62
7:14
1st & 10
OPP 39
Makhi Frazier run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 40
-1
-1.02
7:14
2nd & 11
OPP 40
Makhi Frazier run for 5 yds to the YSU 35
+5
0.06
3:54
3rd & 6
OPP 35
Timeout Michigan State, clock 03:54
3:54
3rd & 6
OPP 35
Makhi Frazier run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 37
-2
-1.47
3:54
4th & 8
OPP 37
Aidan Chiles run for 10 yds to the YSU 27 for a 1ST down
+10
2.82
3:54
1st & 10
OPP 27
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 15 yds to the YSU 12 for a 1ST down
+15
0.21
3:54
1st & 10
OPP 12
Makhi Frazier run for 4 yds to the YSU 8
+4
-0.02
1:13
2nd & 6
OPP 8
Rodney Bullard Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Martin Connington KICK)
+8
2.55
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 8 yd · 1:29
3–7
−18
1:13
1st & 10
OWN 25
Tahir Mills run for 2 yds to the YSU 27
+2
-0.45
0:00
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the YSU 33
+6
0.23
0:00
OWN 27
End of 1st Quarter
15:00
3rd & 2
OWN 33
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to RK Dandridge
0
-0.60
14:44
4th & 2
OWN 33
Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 54 yds
▸
Q2
TD
12 pl · 87 yd · 6:37
3–14
+21
14:44
1st & 10
OWN 13
Aidan Chiles run for 3 yds to the MSU 16
+3
-0.17
14:44
2nd & 7
OWN 16
Brandon Tullis run for 4 yds to the MSU 20
+4
-0.04
14:44
3rd & 3
OWN 20
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 12 yds to the MSU 32 for a 1ST down
+12
1.39
14:44
1st & 10
OWN 32
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 15 yds to the MSU 47 for a 1ST down
+15
1.42
14:44
1st & 10
OWN 47
Makhi Frazier run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
+3
-0.41
14:44
2nd & 7
50
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 10 yds to the YSU 40 for a 1ST down
+10
1.32
14:44
1st & 10
OPP 40
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Omari Kelly
0
-0.85
14:44
2nd & 10
OPP 40
Makhi Frazier run for 3 yds to the YSU 37
+3
-0.36
14:44
3rd & 7
OPP 37
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 18 yds to the YSU 19 for a 1ST down
+18
1.79
9:57
1st & 10
OPP 19
Timeout Michigan State, clock 09:57
9:57
1st & 10
OPP 19
Chrishon McCray run for no gain to the YSU 19
0
-0.36
9:57
2nd & 10
OPP 19
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 16 yds to the YSU 3 for a 1ST down
+16
1.50
9:57
1st & 3
OPP 3
Frazier,Makhi rush middle for 1 yard loss to the YSU04 (Hodge,Dayne; Hickey,Dathan) PENALTY YSU Illegal Substitution 2 yards from YSU03 to YSU01. NO PLAY.
+2
8:07
1st & 1
OPP 1
Makhi Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD (Martin Connington KICK)
+1
0.94
▸
TD
4 pl · 65 yd · 2:08
10–14
−22
8:07
1st & 10
OWN 35
Beau Brungard run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 33
-2
-1.32
8:07
2nd & 12
OWN 33
Jaden Gilbert run for 66 yds to the MSU 1 for a 1ST down
+66
5.62
8:07
1st & 1
OPP 1
Jaden Gilbert run for no gain to the MSU 1
0
-0.96
5:59
2nd & 1
OPP 1
Jaden Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)
+1
1.90
▸
ON DOWNS
6 pl · 34 yd · 2:43
10–14
+9
▸
INT
5 pl · 21 yd · 2:02
10–14
−8
3:16
1st & 10
OWN 41
Jaden Gilbert run for 1 yd to the YSU 42
+1
-0.92
3:16
2nd & 9
OWN 42
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 3 yds to the YSU 45
+3
-0.36
2:09
3rd & 6
OWN 45
Timeout Michigan State, clock 02:09
2:09
3rd & 6
OWN 45
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 17 yds to the MSU 38 for a 1ST down
+17
2.84
2:09
1st & 10
OPP 38
Jaden Gilbert run for no gain to the MSU 38
0
-0.78
1:14
2nd & 10
OPP 38
Beau Brungard pass intercepted Armorion Smith return for no gain to the MSU 24
-3.12
▸
FG
9 pl · 70 yd · 1:14
10–17
+14
1:14
1st & 10
OWN 24
Youngstown State Penalty, Sideline Inteference (15 Yards) to the MSU 43 for a 1ST down
+15
1:14
1st & 10
OWN 43
Aidan Chiles run for 5 yds to the MSU 48
+5
0.11
1:14
2nd & 5
OWN 48
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Brandon Tullis for 6 yds to the YSU 46 for a 1ST down
+6
0.81
1:14
1st & 10
OPP 46
Aidan Chiles run for 5 yds to the YSU 41
+5
0.10
1:14
2nd & 5
OPP 41
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Jayden Savoury
0
-1.05
1:14
3rd & 5
OPP 41
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Rodney Bullard Jr. for 17 yds to the YSU 24 for a 1ST down
+17
1.81
1:14
1st & 10
OPP 24
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Evan Boyd
0
-0.43
1:14
2nd & 10
OPP 24
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 23 yds to the YSU 1 for a 1ST down
+23
2.18
1:14
1st & 1
OPP 1
Chiles,Aidan pass incomplete, Spike PENALTY MSU False Start 5 yards from YSU01 to YSU06. NO PLAY.
-5
0:03
1st & 6
OPP 6
Timeout Michigan State, clock 00:03
0:00
1st & 6
OPP 6
Martin Connington 24 yd FG GOOD
0:00
OWN 35
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
PUNT
3 pl · -6 yd · 2:13
10–17
−6
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
Makhi Frazier run for no gain to the MSU 25
0
-0.70
15:00
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Makhi Frazier run for no gain to the MSU 25
0
-0.35
15:00
3rd & 10
OWN 25
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Makhi Frazier for 6 yds to the MSU 19
+6
0.08
12:47
4th & 16
OWN 19
Ryan Eckley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the YSU 33
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 2 yd · 1:46
10–17
+4
12:47
1st & 10
OWN 33
Jaden Gilbert run for 3 yds to the YSU 36
+3
-0.39
12:47
2nd & 7
OWN 36
Beau Brungard sacked by Jordan Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 35
-1
-0.92
12:47
3rd & 8
OWN 35
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to Mike Solomon
0
-0.37
11:01
4th & 8
OWN 35
Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 52 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 83 yds to the YSU 4
▸
TD
1 pl · 4 yd · 0:04
10–24
+17
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 0 yd · 1:03
10–24
−1
10:57
1st & 10
OWN 25
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to Mike Solomon
0
-0.70
10:57
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Tahir Mills run for no gain to the YSU 25
0
-0.35
10:57
3rd & 10
OWN 25
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to RK Dandridge
0
-0.16
9:54
4th & 10
OWN 25
Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 46 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 7 yds to the MSU 36
▸
TD
6 pl · 64 yd · 3:32
10–31
+5
▸
TD
8 pl · 80 yd · 4:59
17–31
−7
6:16
1st & 10
OWN 20
Beau Brungard pass complete to Mike Solomon for 8 yds to the YSU 28
+8
0.80
6:16
2nd & 2
OWN 28
Jaden Gilbert run for 1 yd to the YSU 29
+1
-0.80
6:16
3rd & 1
OWN 29
Beau Brungard pass complete to Austin Bray for 23 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down
+23
2.71
6:16
1st & 10
OPP 48
Beau Brungard pass complete to Jaden Gilbert for 39 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down
+39
1.26
6:16
1st & 9
OPP 9
Beau Brungard pass complete to Tahir Mills for 3 yds to the MSU 6
+3
-0.10
6:16
2nd & 6
OPP 6
Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the MSU 5
+1
-0.23
6:16
3rd & 5
OPP 5
PENALTY YSU False Start (Leigh,Desmeal) 5 yards from MSU05 to MSU10. NO PLAY.
-5
6:16
3rd & 10
OPP 10
Beau Brungard run for 7 yds to the MSU 3
+7
0.16
1:17
4th & 3
OPP 3
Beau Brungard pass complete to RK Dandridge for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)
+3
2.92
▸
INT
1 pl · 0 yd · 0:07
17–31
+2
1:10
1st & 10
OWN 25
Aidan Chiles pass intercepted Cameron Cunningham return for 5 yds to the MSU 17
-0.92
▸
MISSED FG
4 pl · -2 yd · 1:15
17–31
1:10
1st & 10
OPP 17
Beau Brungard run for a loss of 5 yards to the MSU 22
-5
-0.77
1:10
2nd & 15
OPP 22
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to Tahir Mills
0
-0.64
0:00
3rd & 15
OPP 22
Beau Brungard run for 3 yds to the MSU 19
+3
-0.32
0:00
OPP 22
End of 3rd Quarter
14:55
4th & 12
OPP 19
Andrew Lastovka 37 yd FG MISSED
▸
Q4
FG
11 pl · 71 yd · 6:11
17–34
+4
14:55
1st & 10
OWN 20
Makhi Frazier run for 5 yds to the MSU 25
+5
0.09
14:55
2nd & 5
OWN 25
Aidan Chiles run for 15 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down
+15
1.54
14:55
1st & 10
OWN 40
Brandon Tullis run for 9 yds to the MSU 49
+9
1.34
14:55
2nd & 1
OWN 49
Brandon Tullis run for 6 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down
+6
-0.06
14:55
1st & 10
OPP 45
Makhi Frazier run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 46
-1
-1.23
12:08
2nd & 11
OPP 46
Timeout Michigan State, clock 12:08
12:08
2nd & 11
OPP 46
Aidan Chiles run for 2 yds to the YSU 44
+2
-0.62
12:08
3rd & 9
OPP 44
Aidan Chiles run for 28 yds to the YSU 16 for a 1ST down
+28
2.76
12:08
1st & 10
OPP 16
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 3 yds to the YSU 13
+3
-0.11
9:41
2nd & 7
OPP 13
Timeout Michigan State, clock 09:41
9:41
2nd & 7
OPP 13
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 4 yds to the YSU 9
+4
-0.03
9:41
3rd & 3
OPP 9
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Omari Kelly
0
-0.36
8:44
4th & 3
OPP 9
Martin Connington 27 yd FG GOOD
▸
TD
11 pl · 75 yd · 5:39
24–34
−1
8:44
1st & 10
OWN 25
Beau Brungard pass complete to Alex McDonald for 8 yds to the YSU 33
+8
0.91
8:44
2nd & 2
OWN 33
Beau Brungard run for 3 yds to the YSU 36 for a 1ST down
+3
0.02
8:44
1st & 10
OWN 36
Beau Brungard pass complete to Alex McDonald for 6 yds to the YSU 42
+6
0.40
8:44
2nd & 4
OWN 42
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 5 yds to the YSU 47 for a 1ST down
+5
0.65
8:44
1st & 10
OWN 47
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to Max Tomczak
0
-1.15
8:44
2nd & 10
OWN 47
Beau Brungard pass complete to RK Dandridge for 4 yds to the MSU 49
+4
-0.16
8:44
3rd & 6
OPP 49
Beau Brungard pass complete to Tahir Mills for 2 yds to the MSU 47
+2
-0.57
8:44
4th & 4
OPP 47
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 26 yds to the MSU 21 for a 1ST down
+26
3.35
4:16
1st & 10
OPP 21
Timeout Michigan State, clock 04:16
4:16
1st & 10
OPP 21
Beau Brungard pass complete to Fresh Walters for 5 yds to the MSU 16
+5
0.07
4:16
2nd & 5
OPP 16
Beau Brungard run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 19
-3
-0.72
3:05
3rd & 8
OPP 19
Beau Brungard pass complete to Ky Wilson for 19 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)
+19
3.28
▸
TD
5 pl · 45 yd · 1:16
24–41
−11
3:04
1st & 10
OPP 45
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the YSU 42
+3
-0.33
3:04
2nd & 7
OPP 42
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the YSU 38
+4
-0.14
2:28
3rd & 3
OPP 38
Timeout Michigan State, clock 02:28
2:28
3rd & 3
OPP 38
Aidan Chiles run for 8 yds to the YSU 30 for a 1ST down
+8
1.13
2:00
1st & 10
OPP 30
Timeout Michigan State, clock 02:00
2:00
1st & 10
OPP 30
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 8 yds to the YSU 22
+8
0.51
1:54
2nd & 2
OPP 22
Timeout Michigan State, clock 01:54
1:48
2nd & 2
OPP 22
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 22 yds for a TD (Martin Connington KICK)
+22
2.30
▸
END OF GAME
7 pl · 20 yd · 1:48
24–41
+13
1:48
1st & 10
OWN 25
Beau Brungard pass complete to Jaden Gilbert for 7 yds to the YSU 32
+7
0.60
1:48
2nd & 3
OWN 32
Beau Brungard pass complete to Jaden Gilbert for 3 yds to the YSU 29
+3
0.23
1:48
3rd & 6
OWN 29
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 9 yds to the YSU 38 for a 1ST down
+9
1.89
1:48
1st & 10
OWN 38
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to Jaden Gilbert
0
-1.09
1:48
2nd & 10
OWN 38
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+12
2.20
1:48
1st & 10
50
Beau Brungard pass incomplete to Preston Penn
0
-1.11
0:00
2nd & 10
50
Beau Brungard sacked by Anelu Lafaele for a loss of 5 yards to the YSU 45
-5
-1.76
0:00
OWN 45
End of 4th Quarter