WIN PROBABILITY Mississippi State above · Florida below
KICK 58% → 60% Florida FINAL
Mississippi State
Florida
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
TD
8 pl · 75 yd · 2:42
7–0
−30
▸
FG
11 pl · 58 yd · 3:23
7–3
+22
▸
PUNT
8 pl · 30 yd · 3:09
7–3
−11
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 7 yd · 0:51
7–3
+6
▸
ON DOWNS
9 pl · 29 yd · 3:19
7–3
−8
4:46
1st & 10
OWN 40
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the MSST 41
+1
-0.91
4:16
2nd & 9
OWN 41
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+9
1.83
3:55
1st & 10
50
Davon Booth run for 8 yds to the FLA 42
+8
0.84
3:41
2nd & 2
OPP 42
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson
0
-1.13
3:33
3rd & 2
OPP 42
Kamario Taylor run for 3 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST down Mississippi State Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Brenen Thompson ) to the FLA 39 for a 1ST down
+3
0.99
3:08
1st & 10
OPP 39
Kamario Taylor run for 6 yds to the FLA 33
+6
0.26
2:45
2nd & 4
OPP 33
Kamario Taylor run for 2 yds to the FLA 31
+2
-0.44
2:16
3rd & 2
OPP 31
Kamario Taylor run for no gain to the FLA 31
0
-0.92
1:36
4th & 2
OPP 31
Blake Shapen run for no gain to the FLA 31
0
-2.76
▸
TD
6 pl · 69 yd · 2:21
7–10
+35
▸
Q2
PUNT
3 pl · -1 yd · 1:31
7–10
−6
▸
INT
2 pl · 50 yd · 0:55
7–10
+6
▸
FUMBLE
7 pl · 50 yd · 3:10
7–10
−20
▸
FG
11 pl · 49 yd · 5:31
7–13
+23
8:28
1st & 10
OWN 16
Jadan Baugh run for 12 yds to the FLA 28 for a 1ST down
+12
0.72
7:52
1st & 10
OWN 28
DJ Lagway pass complete to Vernell Brown III for 12 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down
+12
1.10
7:24
1st & 10
OWN 40
Jadan Baugh run for 17 yds Florida Penalty, Offensive Holding (Eugene Wilson III ) to the FLA 47
+7
0.70
6:54
1st & 3
OWN 47
DJ Lagway run for 2 yds to the FLA 49
+2
-0.80
6:31
2nd & 1
OWN 49
KD Daniels run for 6 yds to the MSST 45 for a 1ST down
+6
-0.06
6:06
1st & 10
OPP 45
KD Daniels run for 6 yds to the MSST 39
+6
0.30
5:29
2nd & 4
OPP 39
DJ Lagway pass complete to Amir Jackson for 18 yds to the MSST 21 for a 1ST down
+18
0.54
5:08
1st & 10
OPP 21
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to J. Michael Sturdivant
0
-0.39
5:08
2nd & 10
OPP 21
Timeout Florida, clock 05:08
4:58
2nd & 10
OPP 21
Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the MSST 18
+3
-0.15
4:15
3rd & 7
OPP 18
DJ Lagway run for 3 yds to the MSST 15
+3
-0.18
3:36
4th & 4
OPP 15
PENALTY UFL Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU15 to MSU20. NO PLAY.
-5
3:13
4th & 9
OPP 20
(03:15) Smack,Trey field goal attempt from 39 yards nullified by penaltyGOOD (H: Doman,Tommy, LS: Underwood,Rocco), clock 03:13 PENALTY UFL Personal Foul (George Jr.,Damieon) 15 yards from MSU20 to MSU35. NO PLAY.
-15
3:08
4th & 24
OPP 35
Trey Smack 54 yd FG GOOD
▸
MISSED FG
7 pl · 52 yd · 1:32
7–13
+6
3:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
Davon Booth run for 6 yds to the MSST 31
+6
0.33
2:34
2nd & 4
OWN 31
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the MSST 36 for a 1ST down
+5
0.60
2:10
1st & 10
OWN 36
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 47 yds to the FLA 17 for a 1ST down
+47
2.57
2:00
1st & 10
OPP 17
Timeout Florida, clock 02:00
1:51
1st & 10
OPP 17
Davon Booth run for no gain to the FLA 17
0
-0.34
1:51
2nd & 10
OPP 17
Timeout Florida, clock 01:51
1:46
2nd & 10
OPP 17
Davon Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 18
-1
-0.51
1:46
3rd & 11
OPP 18
Timeout Florida, clock 01:46
1:46
3rd & 11
OPP 18
PENALTY MSU False Start (Owens,Zack) 5 yards from UFL18 to UFL23. NO PLAY.
-5
1:40
3rd & 16
OPP 23
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Jaron Glover
0
-0.96
1:36
4th & 16
OPP 23
Kyle Ferrie 41 yd FG MISSED
▸
INT
7 pl · 30 yd · 1:19
7–13
−7
1:29
1st & 10
OWN 23
Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the FLA 25
+2
-0.42
1:07
2nd & 8
OWN 25
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 8 yds to the FLA 33 for a 1ST down
+8
1.20
0:50
1st & 10
OWN 33
Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds to the FLA 40
+7
0.70
0:35
2nd & 3
OWN 40
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 7 yds to the FLA 47 for a 1ST down
+7
0.64
0:30
1st & 10
OWN 47
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Hayden Hansen
0
-1.15
0:21
2nd & 10
OWN 47
DJ Lagway run for 6 yds to the MSST 47
+6
0.32
0:17
3rd & 4
OPP 47
DJ Lagway pass intercepted Brylan Lanier return for no gain to the MSST 43
-2.07
▸
END OF HALF
2 pl · -9 yd · 0:17
7–13
−3
▸
Q3
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd · 0:54
7–13
+4
▸
PUNT
3 pl · -2 yd · 2:12
7–13
13:46
1st & 10
OWN 25
(13:48) PENALTY MSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAY.
-5
13:20
1st & 15
OWN 20
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ayden Williams for 3 yds to the MSST 23
+3
-0.14
12:42
2nd & 12
OWN 23
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 3 yds to the MSST 20
+3
-0.11
12:20
3rd & 15
OWN 20
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 8 yds to the MSST 28
+8
0.10
11:48
4th & 7
OWN 28
(11:51) Pulliam,Ethan punt 65 yards to the UFL07 PENALTY MSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from MSU28 to MSU23. NO PLAY.
-5
11:39
4th & 12
OWN 23
Ethan Pulliam punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLA 28
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 30 yd · 3:16
7–13
+4
▸
PUNT
8 pl · 37 yd · 4:23
7–13
−8
8:13
1st & 10
OWN 13
Davon Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 12
-1
-0.45
7:45
2nd & 11
OWN 12
Davon Booth run for 6 yds to the MSST 18
+6
0.08
7:16
3rd & 5
OWN 18
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 13 yds to the MSST 31 for a 1ST down
+13
1.46
7:00
1st & 10
OWN 31
Davon Booth run for 7 yds to the MSST 38
+7
0.68
6:31
2nd & 3
OWN 38
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 9 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST down
+9
0.83
6:02
1st & 10
OWN 47
Davon Booth run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSST 43
-4
-1.99
5:30
2nd & 14
OWN 43
Blake Shapen sacked by Kofi Asare for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 36
-7
-1.12
4:46
3rd & 21
OWN 36
Davon Booth run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line
+14
0.72
4:00
4th & 7
50
Blake Shapen punt for 43 yds
▸
TD
11 pl · 93 yd · 5:19
7–20
+23
3:56
1st & 10
OWN 7
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Dallas Wilson
0
-0.31
3:48
2nd & 10
OWN 7
Jadan Baugh run for 13 yds to the FLA 20 for a 1ST down
+13
0.79
3:05
1st & 10
OWN 20
Jadan Baugh run for 12 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST down
+12
0.87
2:28
1st & 10
OWN 32
Jadan Baugh run for 5 yds to the FLA 37
+5
0.11
1:52
2nd & 5
OWN 37
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Vernell Brown III
0
-0.98
1:40
3rd & 5
OWN 37
DJ Lagway pass complete to Vernell Brown III for 9 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST down
+9
2.21
1:00
1st & 10
OWN 46
DJ Lagway pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 19 yds to the MSST 35 for a 1ST down
+19
1.21
0:00
1st & 10
OPP 35
DJ Lagway pass complete to TJ Abrams for 26 yds to the MSST 9 for a 1ST down
+26
0.55
0:00
OPP 35
End of 3rd Quarter
14:54
1st & 9
OPP 9
Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the MSST 3
+6
0.21
14:21
2nd & 3
OPP 3
KD Daniels run for 2 yds to the MSST 1
+2
-0.24
13:41
3rd & 1
OPP 1
KD Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
+1
2.45
13:41
1st & 10
OPP 3
PENALTY UFL Illegal Substitution 5 yards from MSU03 to MSU08. NO PLAY.
-5
▸
Q4
TD
5 pl · 65 yd · 1:44
14–20
−28
▸
FG
8 pl · 40 yd · 5:08
14–23
+28
11:43
1st & 10
OWN 25
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 8 yds to the FLA 33
+8
0.91
11:07
2nd & 2
OWN 33
Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 36 for a 1ST down
+3
0.02
10:37
1st & 10
OWN 36
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Lagway,DJ pass incomplete short right to Jackson,Amir thrown to MSU46 PENALTY MSU Personal Foul (Tillman,Zakari) 15 yards from UFL36 to MSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+15
10:27
1st & 10
OPP 49
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the MSST 48
+1
-0.86
9:45
2nd & 9
OPP 48
Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the MSST 46
+2
-0.64
9:12
3rd & 7
OPP 46
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Lagway,DJ pass incomplete short left to Abrams,TJ thrown to MSU40 QB hurried by Tillman,Zakari PENALTY MSU Roughing The Passer (Tillman,Zakari) 15 yards from MSU46 to MSU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+15
9:02
1st & 10
OPP 31
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the MSST 30
+1
-0.44
8:29
2nd & 9
OPP 30
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Lagway,DJ pass incomplete short left to Wilson,Dallas thrown to MSU19 PENALTY UFL Pass Interference (Wilson,Dallas) 14 yards from MSU30 to MSU44. NO PLAY.
-14
8:19
2nd & 23
OPP 44
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 45
-1
-0.83
7:28
3rd & 24
OPP 45
DJ Lagway pass complete to Jadan Baugh for 10 yds to the MSST 35
+10
0.73
6:49
4th & 14
OPP 35
Trey Smack 53 yd FG GOOD
▸
TD
13 pl · 75 yd · 4:49
21–23
−50
6:36
1st & 10
OWN 25
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 20 yds to the MSST 45 for a 1ST down
+20
1.80
6:20
1st & 10
OWN 45
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Brenen Thompson
0
-1.16
6:12
2nd & 10
OWN 45
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the MSST 48
+3
-0.37
5:51
3rd & 7
OWN 48
Davon Booth run for 8 yds to the FLA 44 Mississippi State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ethan Pulliam ) to the MSST 46
-2
-1.00
2:48
3rd & 9
OWN 46
Blake Shapen pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 6 yds to the MSST 40
+6
0.24
2:42
4th & 15
OWN 40
Blake Shapen pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 16 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down
+16
3.77
2:42
1st & 10
OPP 44
PENALTY MSU False Start 5 yards from UFL44 to UFL49. NO PLAY.
-5
2:36
1st & 15
OPP 49
Davon Booth run for 11 yds to the FLA 38
+11
1.33
2:32
2nd & 4
OPP 38
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Jordan Mosley
0
-0.97
2:32
3rd & 4
OPP 38
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seydou Traore for 29 yds to the FLA 9 for a 1ST down
+29
1.66
2:32
1st & 9
OPP 9
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the FLA 8
+1
-0.25
2:32
2nd & 8
OPP 8
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ayden Williams
0
-0.27
2:22
3rd & 8
OPP 8
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Shapen,Blake pass incomplete short left to Williams,Ayden thrown to UFL00 PENALTY UFL Pass Interference (Robinson,Jaden) 6 yards from UFL08 to UFL02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+6
2:00
1st & 2
OPP 2
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ayden Williams
0
-0.85
2:00
2nd & 2
OPP 2
Davon Booth run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
+2
2.07
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 2 yd · 0:22
21–23
+6
2:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FLA 29
+4
-0.11
2:00
2nd & 6
OWN 29
Timeout Florida, clock 02:00
1:54
2nd & 6
OWN 29
Jadan Baugh run for 5 yds to the FLA 34
+5
0.09
1:54
3rd & 1
OWN 34
Timeout Florida, clock 01:54
1:47
3rd & 1
OWN 34
DJ Lagway sacked by Brylan Lanier for a loss of 7 yards to the FLA 27
-7
-1.13
1:47
4th & 8
OWN 27
Timeout Florida, clock 01:47
1:38
4th & 8
OWN 27
Tommy Doman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the MSST 28
▸
INT
8 pl · 43 yd · 1:17
21–23
+12
▸
END OF GAME
1 pl · -1 yd · 0:21
21–23
−1
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 34
D. Lagway takes a knee
-1
-1.14
0:00
OWN 34
End of 4th Quarter