WIN PROBABILITY Oregon State above · Air Force below
KICK 53% → 99% Air Force FINAL
Oregon State
Air Force
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
TD
11 pl · 75 yd · 6:42
0–7
+5
14:59
1st & 5
OWN 30
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the AFA 33
+3
-0.51
14:24
2nd & 2
OWN 33
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down
+3
0.02
13:39
1st & 10
OWN 36
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the AFA 39
+3
-0.41
13:01
2nd & 7
OWN 39
Kade Frew run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+11
1.72
12:19
1st & 10
50
Kade Frew run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 49
-1
-1.35
11:36
2nd & 11
OWN 49
Kade Frew run for 5 yds to the ORST 46
+5
0.07
10:51
3rd & 6
OPP 46
Kade Frew run for 2 yds to the ORST 44
+2
-0.61
10:04
4th & 4
OPP 44
Quentin Hayes pass complete to Cade Harris for 36 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST down
+36
3.41
9:31
1st & 8
OPP 8
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the ORST 5
+3
-0.12
9:01
2nd & 5
OPP 5
Quentin Hayes run for 1 yd to the ORST 4
+1
-0.26
8:18
3rd & 4
OPP 4
Quentin Hayes run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
+4
2.70
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 1 yd · 1:21
0–7
+16
▸
MISSED FG
9 pl · 50 yd · 4:49
0–7
−4
6:56
1st & 10
OWN 30
Dylan Carson run for 8 yds to the AFA 38
+8
1.00
6:26
2nd & 2
OWN 38
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down
+3
0.04
6:05
1st & 10
OWN 41
Kade Frew run for 29 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down
+29
1.84
5:17
1st & 10
OPP 30
Cameron Breier run for 5 yds to the ORST 25
+5
0.08
4:52
2nd & 5
OPP 25
Quentin Hayes run for 8 yds to the ORST 17 for a 1ST down
+8
0.16
4:15
1st & 10
OPP 17
Quentin Hayes run for no gain to the ORST 17
0
-0.34
3:37
2nd & 10
OPP 17
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the ORST 16
+1
-0.30
2:56
3rd & 9
OPP 16
Timeout Air Force, clock 02:56
2:50
3rd & 9
OPP 16
Cade Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 20
-4
-1.29
2:11
4th & 13
OPP 20
Matthew Dapore 38 Yard Field Goal Missed
▸
INT
7 pl · 35 yd · 3:26
0–7
−6
▸
Q2
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd · 1:53
0–7
+5
13:40
1st & 10
OWN 34
Kade Frew run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 28
-6
-1.66
13:05
2nd & 16
OWN 28
Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 30
+2
-0.15
12:27
3rd & 14
OWN 30
Quentin Hayes run for 10 yds to the AFA 40
+10
0.38
11:55
4th & 4
OWN 40
Luke Freer punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 8
▸
PUNT
4 pl · 21 yd · 2:16
0–7
−16
▸
TD
8 pl · 97 yd · 4:48
0–14
+9
9:30
1st & 10
OWN 3
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the AFA 6
+3
-0.11
8:53
2nd & 7
OWN 6
Kade Frew run for 3 yds to the AFA 9
+3
-0.08
8:10
3rd & 4
OWN 9
Timeout Air Force, clock 08:10
8:08
3rd & 4
OWN 9
Quentin Hayes pass complete to Jared Roznos for 25 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down
+25
1.81
7:34
1st & 10
OWN 34
Brandon Engel pass complete to Quentin Hayes for 29 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down
+29
2.29
6:43
1st & 10
OPP 37
Quentin Hayes run for 1 yd to the ORST 36
+1
-0.57
6:06
2nd & 9
OPP 36
Quentin Hayes pass complete to Cade Harris for 32 yds to the ORST 4 for a 1ST down
+32
1.94
5:29
1st & 4
OPP 4
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the ORST 1
+3
-0.21
4:45
2nd & 1
OPP 1
Quentin Hayes run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
+1
1.90
▸
PUNT
4 pl · 12 yd · 2:00
0–14
+6
▸
MISSED FG
8 pl · 46 yd · 2:44
0–14
+6
2:43
1st & 10
OWN 20
Quentin Hayes run for 28 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down
+28
2.38
2:00
1st & 10
OWN 48
Timeout Air Force, clock 02:00
1:57
1st & 10
OWN 48
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the ORST 48
+4
-0.15
1:26
2nd & 6
OPP 48
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the ORST 43
+5
0.11
1:09
3rd & 1
OPP 43
Quentin Hayes run for 3 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST down
+3
0.86
0:51
1st & 10
OPP 40
Quentin Hayes sacked by Nikko Taylor and Zakaih Saez for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 44
-4
-1.71
0:47
2nd & 14
OPP 44
Timeout Air Force, clock 00:47
0:46
2nd & 14
OPP 44
Quentin Hayes run for 2 yds to the ORST 42
+2
-0.60
0:20
3rd & 12
OPP 42
Dylan Carson run for 8 yds to the ORST 34
+8
0.72
0:00
4th & 4
OPP 34
Matthew Dapore 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by
▸
Q3
PUNT
3 pl · 9 yd · 1:55
0–14
+17
▸
FUMBLE
15 pl · 74 yd · 8:40
0–14
+3
13:03
1st & 10
OWN 14
Kade Frew run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 12
-2
-0.52
12:28
2nd & 12
OWN 12
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AFA 17
+5
0.02
11:55
3rd & 7
OWN 17
(11:55) HAYES, Quentin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Quin thrown to the OSU40, clock 11:50. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on IVY JR., Tyrice enforced 15 yards to the AF32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+15
11:48
1st & 10
OWN 32
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AFA 37
+5
0.11
11:14
2nd & 5
OWN 37
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the AFA 41
+4
-0.15
10:54
3rd & 1
OWN 41
Quentin Hayes run for 4 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down
+4
1.29
10:15
1st & 10
OWN 45
Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 47
+2
-0.68
9:43
2nd & 8
OWN 47
Quentin Hayes pass complete to Kade Frew for 10 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST down
+10
1.60
9:07
1st & 10
OPP 43
Dylan Carson run for 6 yds to the ORST 37
+6
0.29
8:25
2nd & 4
OPP 37
Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the ORST 34
+3
-0.30
7:45
3rd & 1
OPP 34
Quentin Hayes run for 2 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST down
+2
0.49
6:56
1st & 10
OPP 32
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the ORST 28
+4
-0.06
6:17
2nd & 6
OPP 28
Quentin Hayes run for 5 yds to the ORST 23
+5
0.08
5:42
3rd & 1
OPP 23
Quentin Hayes run for 3 yds to the ORST 20 for a 1ST down
+3
0.23
5:07
1st & 10
OPP 20
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the ORST 16
+4
-0.03
4:30
2nd & 6
OPP 16
Quentin Hayes run for 4 yds to the ORST 12 Quentin Hayes fumbled, recovered by ORST Skyler Thomas S. Thomas return for 0 yds
-4.36
▸
ON DOWNS
6 pl · 22 yd · 1:39
0–14
▸
TD
8 pl · 34 yd · 4:48
0–21
+2
2:44
1st & 10
OPP 34
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the ORST 30
+4
-0.06
2:07
2nd & 6
OPP 30
Dylan Carson run for no gain to the ORST 30
0
-0.71
1:29
3rd & 6
OPP 30
Quentin Hayes pass complete to Bruin Fleischmann for 7 yds to the ORST 23 for a 1ST down
+7
1.05
0:52
1st & 10
OPP 23
Oregon State Penalty, Offsides (Andy Alfieri ) to the ORST 18
+5
0:32
1st & 5
OPP 18
Kade Frew run for 1 yd to the ORST 17
+1
-0.47
0:00
OPP 18
End of 3rd Quarter
14:59
2nd & 4
OPP 17
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the ORST 13 for a 1ST down
+4
-0.07
14:23
1st & 10
OPP 13
Kade Frew run for 5 yds to the ORST 8
+5
0.07
13:42
2nd & 5
OPP 8
Dylan Carson run for 7 yds to the ORST 1 for a 1ST down
+7
1.53
12:58
1st & 1
OPP 1
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
+1
0.94
▸
Q4
ON DOWNS
9 pl · 28 yd · 2:35
0–21
+2
▸
TD
11 pl · 53 yd · 7:18
0–28
10:22
1st & 10
OWN 47
Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 49
+2
-0.67
9:42
2nd & 8
OWN 49
Quentin Hayes run for 12 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST down
+12
1.62
8:43
1st & 10
OPP 39
Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the ORST 35
+4
-0.09
8:00
2nd & 6
OPP 35
Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the ORST 29 for a 1ST down
+6
0.44
7:18
1st & 10
OPP 29
Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the ORST 26
+3
-0.17
6:34
2nd & 7
OPP 26
Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the ORST 22
+4
-0.06
5:49
3rd & 3
OPP 22
Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the ORST 16 for a 1ST down
+6
0.44
5:11
1st & 10
OPP 16
Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the ORST 10
+6
0.18
4:28
2nd & 4
OPP 10
Owen Allen run for 7 yds to the ORST 3 for a 1ST down
+7
0.92
3:46
1st & 3
OPP 3
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the ORST 2
+1
-0.60
3:05
2nd & 2
OPP 2
Owen Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
+2
2.07
▸
ON DOWNS
9 pl · 47 yd · 2:51
0–28
▸
END OF GAME
1 pl · -1 yd · 0:14
0–28
+1
0:11
1st & 10
OWN 28
(00:11) Kneel down by TEAM at AF27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
-1
-0.91
0:00
OWN 27
End of 4th Quarter