WIN PROBABILITY East Carolina above · Cincinnati below
KICK 65% → 100% Cincinnati FINAL
East Carolina
Cincinnati
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
FUMBLE
6 pl · 5 yd · 3:19
0–0
−13
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd · 1:32
0–0
+7
▸
SAFETY
2 pl · -8 yd · 0:39
2–0
−5
▸
FG
11 pl · 48 yd · 6:16
5–0
−10
9:20
1st & 10
OWN 23
Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 24
+1
-0.54
8:36
2nd & 9
OWN 24
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 11 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down
+11
1.51
8:04
1st & 10
OWN 35
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 1 yd to the ECaro 36
+1
-0.83
7:16
2nd & 9
OWN 36
Keaton Mitchell run for 24 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down
+24
2.89
7:02
1st & 10
OPP 40
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-0.85
6:56
2nd & 10
OPP 40
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the Cincy 40
0
-1.03
6:11
3rd & 10
OPP 40
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 16 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST down
+16
2.38
5:47
1st & 10
OPP 24
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Cincy 21
+3
-0.14
5:12
2nd & 7
OPP 21
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 25
-4
-1.03
5:00
3rd & 11
OPP 25
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cincy 35
-10
4:02
3rd & 21
OPP 35
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 6 yds to the Cincy 29
+6
0.24
3:14
4th & 15
OPP 29
Andrew Conrad 47 yd FG GOOD
TD
0 pl · 0 yd · 0:17
5–7
+12
▸
MISSED FG
11 pl · 47 yd · 4:39
5–7
+9
2:41
1st & 10
OWN 25
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 11 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down
+11
0.93
2:35
1st & 10
OWN 36
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40
+4
-0.16
1:21
2nd & 6
OWN 40
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 7 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST down
+7
1.21
1:13
1st & 10
OWN 47
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-1.15
1:00
2nd & 10
OWN 47
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 14 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down
+14
2.11
0:45
1st & 10
OPP 39
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the Cincy 39
0
-0.81
0:00
2nd & 10
OPP 39
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 14 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down
+14
1.25
0:00
OPP 39
End of 1st Quarter
14:55
1st & 10
OPP 25
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-0.45
14:47
2nd & 10
OPP 25
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the Cincy 25
0
-0.61
14:09
3rd & 10
OPP 25
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 2 yds to the Cincy 23
+2
-0.48
13:34
4th & 8
OPP 23
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 28
-5
13:18
4th & 13
OPP 28
Andrew Conrad 45 yd FG MISSED
▸
Q2
TD
6 pl · 72 yd · 1:44
5–14
+15
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 5 yd · 1:44
5–14
+4
11:28
1st & 10
OWN 25
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-0.70
11:06
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28
+3
-0.15
10:40
3rd & 7
OWN 28
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ECaro 18
-10
10:14
3rd & 17
OWN 18
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Marlon Gunn Jr. for 12 yds to the ECaro 30
+12
0.22
9:50
4th & 5
OWN 30
Luke Larsen punt for 43 yds, downed at the Cincy 27
▸
INT
3 pl · 4 yd · 0:42
5–14
+5
9:46
1st & 10
OWN 27
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-0.77
9:31
2nd & 10
OWN 27
Corey Kiner run for 19 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down
+19
2.51
9:23
1st & 10
OWN 46
CINCINNATI Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Cincy 31
-15
9:08
1st & 25
OWN 31
Ben Bryant pass intercepted Jireh Wilson return for no gain to the ECaro 30
-0.08
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 5 yd · 1:23
5–14
−6
8:56
1st & 10
OWN 30
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 29
-1
-0.99
8:21
2nd & 11
OWN 29
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 35
+6
0.18
7:55
3rd & 5
OWN 35
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-0.49
7:45
4th & 5
OWN 35
Luke Larsen punt for 41 yds, downed at the Cincy 24
▸
TD
1 pl · 76 yd · 0:11
5–21
+7
▸
TD
3 pl · 75 yd · 1:31
12–21
−9
▸
FG
11 pl · 49 yd · 4:15
12–24
+2
5:50
1st & 10
OWN 32
Charles McClelland run for 17 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down
+17
1.60
5:21
1st & 10
OWN 49
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-1.13
5:03
2nd & 10
OWN 49
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the ECaro 48
+3
-0.40
4:33
3rd & 7
OPP 48
Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 04:33
4:23
3rd & 7
OPP 48
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 11 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down
+11
2.40
3:56
1st & 10
OPP 37
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-0.75
3:42
2nd & 10
OPP 37
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the ECaro 32
+5
0.06
2:52
3rd & 5
OPP 32
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 11 yds to the ECaro 21 for a 1ST down
+11
1.11
2:45
1st & 10
OPP 21
Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the ECaro 19
+2
-0.21
1:56
2nd & 8
OPP 19
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-0.43
1:53
3rd & 8
OPP 19
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-0.64
1:48
4th & 8
OPP 19
Ryan Coe 37 yd FG GOOD
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 11 yd · 1:06
12–24
+4
▸
END OF HALF
2 pl · 8 yd · 0:42
12–24
0:30
1st & 10
OWN 27
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Cincy 32
+5
0.10
0:00
2nd & 5
OWN 32
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 35
+3
-0.34
0:00
OWN 32
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
TD
9 pl · 79 yd · 4:54
19–24
−10
14:51
1st & 10
OWN 21
Keaton Mitchell run for 19 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down
+19
1.57
14:11
1st & 10
OWN 40
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 44
+4
-0.17
13:42
2nd & 6
OWN 44
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 9 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down
+9
1.31
12:55
1st & 10
OPP 47
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 9 yds to the Cincy 38
+9
1.01
12:43
2nd & 1
OPP 38
Keaton Mitchell run for 20 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST down
+20
0.01
12:16
1st & 10
OPP 18
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the Cincy 17
+1
-0.27
11:11
2nd & 9
OPP 17
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 6 yds to the Cincy 11
+6
0.13
10:41
3rd & 3
OPP 11
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 2 yds to the Cincy 9
+2
-0.21
10:10
4th & 1
OPP 9
Timeout EAST CAROLINA, clock 10:10
10:10
4th & 1
OPP 9
CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (5 Yards) to the Cincy 4 for a 1ST down
+5
10:06
1st & 4
OPP 4
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Conrad KICK)
+4
1.69
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 2 yd · 2:25
19–24
−7
9:36
1st & 10
OWN 36
Charles McClelland run for no gain to the Cincy 36
0
-1.04
9:10
2nd & 10
OWN 36
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 9 yds to the Cincy 45
+9
0.99
8:16
3rd & 1
OWN 45
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 43
-2
-1.35
7:51
4th & 3
OWN 43
CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 38
-5
7:41
4th & 8
OWN 38
Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds , Malik Fleming returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 13
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 22 yd · 1:58
19–24
+11
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 2 yd · 1:06
19–24
−15
5:36
1st & 10
OWN 19
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-0.53
5:28
2nd & 10
OWN 19
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Cincy 21
+2
-0.16
4:50
3rd & 8
OWN 21
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-0.16
4:37
4th & 8
OWN 21
Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds, downed at the ECaro 32
▸
TD
6 pl · 68 yd · 2:35
25–24
−3
4:33
1st & 10
OWN 32
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-0.93
4:15
2nd & 10
OWN 32
Keaton Mitchell run for 28 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down
+28
3.26
3:47
1st & 10
OPP 40
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 6 yds to the Cincy 34
+6
0.27
3:04
2nd & 4
OPP 34
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cincy 31
+3
-0.27
2:40
3rd & 1
OPP 31
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down
+1
0.38
2:08
1st & 10
OPP 30
CINCINNATI Penalty, Personal Foul (Bryon Threats ) to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST down
+15
2:02
1st & 10
OPP 15
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 15 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+15
2.56
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 27 yd · 2:56
25–24
−16
1:25
1st & 10
OWN 14
Charles McClelland run for no gain to the Cincy 14
0
-0.42
1:16
2nd & 10
OWN 14
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-0.19
1:00
3rd & 10
OWN 14
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 19 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST down
+19
1.84
0:32
1st & 10
OWN 33
Ryan Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 32
-1
-1.10
0:00
2nd & 11
OWN 32
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 29
-3
-0.63
0:00
OWN 32
End of 3rd Quarter
14:55
3rd & 14
OWN 29
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 12 yds to the Cincy 41
+12
0.59
14:21
4th & 2
OWN 41
Timeout EAST CAROLINA, clock 14:21
14:06
4th & 2
OWN 41
Mason Fletcher punt for 56 yds, downed at the ECaro 3
▸
Q4
PUNT
4 pl · 26 yd · 1:33
25–24
+17
▸
FG
10 pl · 57 yd · 2:51
25–27
12:24
1st & 10
OWN 40
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 9 yds to the Cincy 49
+9
1.34
12:02
2nd & 1
OWN 49
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down
+2
-0.34
11:40
1st & 10
OPP 49
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-1.10
11:25
2nd & 10
OPP 49
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 10 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST down
+25
2.18
11:03
1st & 10
OPP 24
Ben Bryant pass incomplete
0
-0.43
10:55
2nd & 10
OPP 24
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 14 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST down
+14
0.60
10:33
1st & 10
OPP 10
Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ECaro 5
+5
0.08
10:08
2nd & 5
OPP 5
Evan Prater run for 2 yds to the ECaro 3
+2
-0.19
9:45
3rd & 3
OPP 3
Evan Prater pass incomplete
0
-0.29
9:42
4th & 3
OPP 3
Ryan Coe 21 yd FG GOOD
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 19 yd · 2:41
25–27
+10
9:34
1st & 10
OWN 25
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the ECaro 25
0
-0.70
8:48
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 8 yds to the ECaro 33
+8
0.48
8:07
3rd & 2
OWN 33
Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down
+5
1.34
7:52
1st & 10
OWN 38
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-1.09
7:39
2nd & 10
OWN 38
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECaro 39
+1
-0.58
7:12
3rd & 9
OWN 39
CINCINNATI Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the ECaro 44
+5
7:08
3rd & 4
OWN 44
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-0.81
7:01
4th & 4
OWN 44
Luke Larsen punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 11
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 5 yd · 0:49
25–27
−19
▸
ON DOWNS
11 pl · 24 yd · 4:28
25–27
+20
5:55
1st & 10
OWN 35
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECaro 36
+1
-0.83
5:28
2nd & 9
OWN 36
Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 41
+5
0.07
4:49
3rd & 4
OWN 41
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 5 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down
+5
1.82
4:19
1st & 10
OWN 46
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-1.16
4:01
2nd & 10
OWN 46
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 46
0
-0.94
3:56
3rd & 10
OWN 46
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 8 yds to the Cincy 46
+8
0.62
3:02
4th & 2
OPP 46
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ECaro 44
-10
2:33
4th & 12
OWN 44
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 13 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down
+13
3.66
2:00
2nd & 10
OPP 43
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 41
+2
-0.61
1:49
3rd & 8
OPP 41
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-1.01
1:44
4th & 8
OPP 41
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete
0
-1.08
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd · 1:38
25–27
+4
1:41
1st & 10
OWN 41
Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44
+3
-0.43
1:41
2nd & 7
OWN 44
Timeout EAST CAROLINA, clock 01:41
1:35
2nd & 7
OWN 44
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Cincy 46
+2
-0.64
0:54
3rd & 5
OWN 46
Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 00:54
0:37
3rd & 5
OWN 46
Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Cincy 47
+1
-0.68
0:10
4th & 4
OWN 47
Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 00:10
0:06
4th & 4
OWN 47
Mason Fletcher punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 16
▸
END OF GAME
1 pl · 4 yd · 0:06
25–27
+20