WIN PROBABILITY Kansas State above · TCU below
KICK 55% → 99% TCU FINAL
Kansas State
TCU
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
PUNT
4 pl · 26 yd · 1:46
0–0
−1
14:51
1st & 10
OWN 25
Adrian Martinez run for 19 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down
+19
1.71
14:40
1st & 10
OWN 44
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the TCU 49
+7
0.67
14:00
2nd & 3
OPP 49
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the TCU 49
0
-1.27
13:21
3rd & 3
OPP 49
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete
0
-1.06
13:21
4th & 3
OPP 49
Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 13:21
13:14
4th & 3
OPP 49
Ty Zentner punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 17
▸
TD
6 pl · 83 yd · 2:32
0–7
+22
13:00
1st & 10
OWN 17
Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the TCU 26
+9
1.02
12:45
2nd & 1
OWN 26
Kendre Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 25
-1
-1.16
12:17
3rd & 2
OWN 25
Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down
+6
1.07
11:56
1st & 10
OWN 31
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 32
+1
-0.74
11:19
2nd & 9
OWN 32
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 35
+3
-0.24
10:42
3rd & 6
OWN 35
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 65 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
+65
6.59
▸
TD
4 pl · 74 yd · 1:34
7–7
−13
▸
FG
11 pl · 48 yd · 4:19
7–10
−2
▸
TD
10 pl · 75 yd · 4:53
14–10
−17
4:43
1st & 10
OWN 25
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30
+5
0.09
4:16
2nd & 5
OWN 30
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 30
0
-0.75
3:43
3rd & 5
OWN 30
Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 12 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down
+12
2.18
2:59
1st & 10
OWN 42
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KanSt 43
+1
-0.93
2:29
2nd & 9
OWN 43
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 25 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down
+25
2.62
2:12
1st & 10
OPP 32
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the TCU 31
+1
-0.46
1:55
2nd & 9
OPP 31
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 33 DJ Giddens fumbled, recovered by KanSt Ben Sinnott
-2
-1.18
1:04
3rd & 11
OPP 33
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 38
-5
0:39
3rd & 16
OPP 38
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 37 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down
+37
4.64
0:00
1st & 1
OPP 1
Will Howard run for no gain to the TCU 1
0
-0.96
0:00
OPP 1
End of 1st Quarter
14:56
2nd & 1
OPP 1
Will Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)
+1
1.90
▸
Q2
PUNT
5 pl · 13 yd · 3:16
14–10
−9
14:38
1st & 10
OWN 25
Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the TCU 31
+6
0.33
14:14
2nd & 4
OWN 31
Kendre Miller run for 12 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down
+12
1.28
13:59
1st & 10
OWN 43
Max Duggan sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 13 yards to the TCU 30
-13
-2.70
13:00
2nd & 23
OWN 30
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the TCU 35
+5
0.01
12:05
3rd & 18
OWN 35
Max Duggan pass complete to Emani Bailey for 3 yds to the TCU 38
+3
-0.07
11:40
4th & 15
OWN 38
Jordy Sandy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KANSASST 30 TCU Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the KanSt 45
▸
TD
4 pl · 55 yd · 0:56
21–10
−7
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 2 yd · 1:00
21–10
−12
10:36
1st & 10
OWN 25
Max Duggan pass incomplete
0
-0.70
10:22
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 27
+2
-0.23
9:57
3rd & 8
OWN 27
Max Duggan pass incomplete
0
-0.22
9:44
4th & 8
OWN 27
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, downed at the KanSt 32
▸
TD
4 pl · 68 yd · 1:35
28–10
+2
9:38
1st & 10
OWN 32
Will Howard pass incomplete
0
-0.93
9:32
2nd & 10
OWN 32
Will Howard run for 13 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down
+13
2.17
8:50
1st & 10
OWN 45
Kade Warner run for 8 yds to the TCU 47
+8
0.94
8:09
2nd & 2
OPP 47
Deuce Vaughn run for 47 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)
+47
3.33
▸
ON DOWNS
7 pl · 29 yd · 2:50
28–10
−6
8:04
1st & 10
OWN 25
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 14 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST down
+14
1.22
7:43
1st & 10
OWN 39
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 43
+4
-0.17
7:21
2nd & 6
OWN 43
Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down
+6
1.10
6:41
1st & 10
OWN 49
Kendre Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 45
-4
-2.00
6:10
2nd & 14
OWN 45
Max Duggan pass incomplete
0
-0.73
5:30
3rd & 14
OWN 45
Emani Bailey run for 9 yds to the KanSt 46 Emani Bailey fumbled, recovered by TCU Steve Avila
+9
0.64
5:19
4th & 5
OPP 46
Max Duggan pass incomplete
0
-0.99
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 1 yd · 1:47
28–10
+4
▸
TD
10 pl · 91 yd · 3:12
28–17
−4
3:21
1st & 10
OWN 9
Kendre Miller run for 48 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down
+48
3.47
2:57
1st & 10
OPP 43
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the KanSt 39
+4
-0.11
2:26
2nd & 6
OPP 39
Max Duggan pass incomplete
0
-0.99
2:21
3rd & 6
OPP 39
Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 16 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down
+16
1.78
1:51
1st & 10
OPP 23
Max Duggan pass incomplete
0
-0.42
1:41
2nd & 10
OPP 23
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the KanSt 19
+4
-0.06
1:07
3rd & 6
OPP 19
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 9 yds to the KanSt 10 for a 1ST down
+9
0.63
0:42
1st & 10
OPP 10
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the KanSt 9
+1
-0.23
0:42
2nd & goal
OPP 9
Timeout TCU, clock 00:42
0:32
2nd & 9
OPP 9
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the KanSt 4
+5
0.04
0:25
3rd & goal
OPP 4
Timeout TCU, clock 00:25
0:20
3rd & 4
OPP 4
Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 4 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
+4
2.70
▸
END OF HALF
1 pl · -1 yd · 0:20
28–17
−1
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 28
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 27
-1
-0.91
0:00
OWN 28
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
TD
13 pl · 77 yd · 6:48
28–24
+25
14:38
1st & 10
OWN 23
Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the TCU 28
+5
0.09
14:14
2nd & 5
OWN 28
Kendre Miller run for 8 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down
+8
0.97
13:50
1st & 10
OWN 36
Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 30 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down
+30
2.21
13:40
1st & 10
OPP 34
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33
+1
-0.50
12:53
2nd & 9
OPP 33
Max Duggan sacked by Gavin Forsha for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 41
-8
-2.51
12:28
3rd & 17
OPP 41
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 18 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down
+18
3.28
11:52
1st & 10
OPP 23
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the KanSt 18
+5
0.07
11:17
2nd & 5
OPP 18
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the KanSt 15
+3
-0.14
10:42
3rd & 2
OPP 15
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST down
+4
0.21
10:02
1st & 10
OPP 11
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the KanSt 8
+3
-0.09
9:24
2nd & 7
OPP 8
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the KanSt 4
+4
-0.02
8:36
3rd & 3
OPP 4
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the KanSt 2
+2
-0.17
8:17
4th & 1
OPP 2
Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 08:17
8:12
4th & 1
OPP 2
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
+2
2.80
▸
MISSED FG
8 pl · 39 yd · 3:02
28–24
−1
8:10
1st & 10
OWN 35
Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down
+18
1.63
7:40
1st & 10
OPP 47
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the TCU 45
+2
-0.58
7:10
2nd & 8
OPP 45
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line
-5
6:48
2nd & 13
50
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the TCU 48
+2
-0.57
6:06
3rd & 11
OPP 48
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 14 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down
+14
2.98
5:46
1st & 10
OPP 34
Will Howard pass incomplete
0
-0.66
5:30
2nd & 10
OPP 34
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the TCU 30
+4
-0.11
5:15
3rd & 6
OPP 30
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the TCU 26
+4
-0.12
5:10
4th & 2
OPP 26
Chris Tennant 44 yd FG MISSED
▸
TD
4 pl · 74 yd · 1:25
28–31
+27
▸
INT
2 pl · 0 yd · 0:46
28–31
+6
3:27
1st & 10
OWN 27
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 27
0
-0.77
2:59
2nd & 10
OWN 27
Jake Rubley pass intercepted Bud Clark return for 5 yds to the KanSt 30
-0.30
▸
ON DOWNS
5 pl · 9 yd · 2:34
28–31
−5
2:30
1st & 10
OPP 30
Max Duggan run for 14 yds to the KanSt 16 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 26
+4
-0.05
2:19
1st & 6
OPP 26
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the KanSt 25
+1
-0.47
1:44
2nd & 5
OPP 25
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the KanSt 23
+2
-0.31
1:04
3rd & 3
OPP 23
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the KanSt 21
+2
-0.36
0:25
4th & 1
OPP 21
Max Duggan run for no gain to the KanSt 21
0
-3.59
▸
ON DOWNS
4 pl · 9 yd · 1:30
28–31
+13
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 21
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 22
+1
-0.49
0:00
OWN 21
End of 3rd Quarter
14:55
2nd & 9
OWN 22
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 27
+5
0.05
14:13
3rd & 4
OWN 27
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 30
+3
-0.15
13:55
4th & 1
OWN 30
Jake Rubley run for no gain to the KanSt 30
0
-0.07
▸
Q4
TD
4 pl · 30 yd · 1:41
28–38
+14
13:31
1st & 10
OPP 30
Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 11 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Ekow Boye-Doe ) to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down
+21
0.39
12:59
1st & 9
OPP 9
Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the KanSt 4
+5
0.09
12:48
2nd & goal
OPP 4
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 9
-5
12:19
2nd & 9
OPP 9
Max Duggan pass incomplete
0
-0.27
12:14
3rd & 9
OPP 9
Kendre Miller run for 9 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)
+9
3.01
▸
MISSED FG
10 pl · 34 yd · 3:39
28–38
+1
11:50
1st & 10
OWN 44
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 44
0
-1.16
11:26
2nd & 10
OWN 44
Will Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 41
-3
-1.25
10:44
3rd & 13
OWN 41
Will Howard pass incomplete
0
-0.34
10:44
4th & 13
OWN 41
Timeout TCU, clock 10:44
10:38
4th & 13
OWN 41
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 22 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down
+22
4.07
10:21
1st & 10
OPP 37
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the TCU 34
+3
-0.24
9:45
2nd & 7
OPP 34
Kade Warner run for 11 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down
+11
0.62
9:15
1st & 10
OPP 23
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the TCU 22
+1
-0.32
8:46
2nd & 9
OPP 22
Will Howard pass incomplete
0
-0.51
8:40
3rd & 9
OPP 22
Will Howard pass incomplete
0
-0.77
8:35
4th & 9
OPP 22
Chris Tennant 40 yd FG MISSED
▸
PUNT
8 pl · 41 yd · 4:35
28–38
+2
8:22
1st & 10
OWN 22
Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the TCU 28
+6
0.31
7:47
2nd & 4
OWN 28
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down
+4
0.45
7:14
1st & 10
OWN 32
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 10 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down
+25
2.17
6:56
1st & 10
OPP 43
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the KanSt 38
+5
0.09
6:17
2nd & 5
OPP 38
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST down
+7
0.42
5:32
1st & 10
OPP 31
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30
+1
-0.44
5:20
2nd & 9
OPP 30
Max Duggan sacked by Robert Hentz II for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 40
-10
-2.77
4:09
3rd & 19
OPP 40
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 3 yds to the KanSt 37
+3
-0.29
4:09
4th & 16
OPP 37
Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 04:09
4:00
4th & 16
OPP 37
Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds for a touchback
▸
INT
1 pl · 0 yd · 0:07
28–38
−1
▸
END OF GAME
7 pl · 8 yd · 3:53
28–38
+4
3:45
1st & 10
OPP 36
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33
+3
-0.23
3:01
2nd & 7
OPP 33
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31
+2
-0.43
2:20
3rd & 5
OPP 31
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30
+1
-0.73
2:20
4th & 4
OPP 30
Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 02:20
2:12
4th & 4
OPP 30
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down
+5
1.70
1:35
1st & 10
OPP 25
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 26
-1
-0.56
0:52
2nd & 11
OPP 26
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 27
-1
-0.84
0:00
3rd & 12
OPP 27
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 28
-1
-1.18
0:00
OPP 27
End of 4th Quarter