WIN PROBABILITY Cincinnati above · Navy below
KICK 4% → 0% Navy FINAL
Cincinnati
Navy
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
PUNT
3 pl · 9 yd · 1:25
0–0
+3
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 8 yd · 2:04
0–0
−5
▸
PUNT
3 pl · -5 yd · 0:28
0–0
+4
▸
TD
13 pl · 79 yd · 7:12
0–7
+9
10:49
1st & 10
OWN 21
Carlinos Acie run for 3 yds to the Navy 24
+3
-0.25
10:16
2nd & 7
OWN 24
Isaac Ruoss run for 9 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down
+9
1.15
10:00
1st & 10
OWN 33
Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 32
-1
-1.10
9:07
2nd & 11
OWN 32
Isaac Ruoss run for 11 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down
+11
2.07
8:33
1st & 10
OWN 43
Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the Navy 47
+4
-0.17
8:12
2nd & 6
OWN 47
Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
+3
-0.43
7:34
3rd & 3
50
Chance Warren run for 14 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down
+14
2.05
6:47
1st & 10
OPP 36
Isaac Ruoss run for 4 yds to the Cincy 32
+4
-0.07
6:06
2nd & 6
OPP 32
Isaac Ruoss run for 4 yds to the Cincy 28
+4
-0.08
5:39
3rd & 2
OPP 28
Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down
+2
0.44
5:03
1st & 10
OPP 26
Jayden Umbarger run for 19 yds to the Cincy 7 for a 1ST down
+19
0.52
4:21
1st & 7
OPP 7
James Harris II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 2
+5
0.13
3:51
2nd & 2
OPP 2
Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)
+2
2.07
▸
TD
3 pl · 44 yd · 1:01
7–7
−6
▸
FG
7 pl · 35 yd · 3:35
7–10
+1
2:34
1st & 10
OWN 49
Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
+1
-0.89
2:00
2nd & 9
50
Chance Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 49
-1
-1.25
1:27
3rd & 10
OWN 49
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Kai Puailoa-Rojas for 21 yds to the NAVY 30 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Personal Foul (Ja'von Hicks ) to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST down
+36
3.50
1:04
1st & 10
OPP 15
Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Cincy 13
+2
-0.18
0:00
2nd & 8
OPP 13
Carlinos Acie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 16
-3
-0.60
0:00
OPP 13
End of 1st Quarter
14:54
3rd & 11
OPP 16
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Chance Warren for no gain to the Cincy 16
0
-0.64
14:15
4th & 11
OPP 16
Bijan Nichols 33 yd FG GOOD
▸
Q2
INT
6 pl · 32 yd · 1:51
7–10
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 7 yd · 2:11
7–10
−5
12:16
1st & 10
OWN 4
Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 2
-2
-0.34
11:36
2nd & 12
OWN 2
James Harris II run for 4 yds to the Navy 6
+4
-0.01
10:36
3rd & 8
OWN 6
Chance Warren run for 5 yds to the Navy 11
+5
0.02
10:13
4th & 3
OWN 11
Riley Riethman punt for 64 yds, downed at the Cincy 25
▸
FG
15 pl · 61 yd · 6:06
10–10
+5
▸
MISSED FG
15 pl · 41 yd · 4:06
10–10
−5
3:55
1st & 10
OWN 25
James Harris II run for 4 yds to the Navy 29
+4
-0.11
3:19
2nd & 6
OWN 29
Carlinos Acie run for 8 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down
+8
1.14
2:38
1st & 10
OWN 37
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Tyger Goslin for 4 yds to the Navy 41
+4
-0.16
2:16
2nd & 6
OWN 41
Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Navy 44
+3
-0.41
1:53
3rd & 3
OWN 44
James Harris II run for 2 yds to the Navy 46
+2
-0.55
1:45
4th & 1
OWN 46
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Myjai Sanders ) to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down
+5
1:34
1st & 10
OPP 49
Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper
0
-1.10
1:24
2nd & 10
OPP 49
Isaac Ruoss run for 7 yds to the Cincy 42
+7
0.57
1:04
3rd & 3
OPP 42
Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down
+5
1.24
1:03
1st & 10
OPP 37
Timeout NAVY, clock 01:03
0:59
1st & 10
OPP 37
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Mark Walker for 9 yds to the Cincy 28
+9
0.78
0:50
2nd & 1
OPP 28
Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 29
-1
-0.94
0:40
3rd & 2
OPP 29
Timeout NAVY, clock 00:40
0:38
3rd & 2
OPP 29
Isaac Ruoss run for 4 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down
+4
0.51
0:26
1st & 10
OPP 25
Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 28
-3
-0.81
0:25
2nd & 13
OPP 28
Timeout NAVY, clock 00:25
0:13
2nd & 13
OPP 28
Tai Lavatai sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 34
-6
-2.02
0:10
3rd & 19
OPP 34
TEAM pass incomplete
0
-0.85
0:10
4th & 19
OPP 34
Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 00:10
0:01
4th & 19
OPP 34
Bijan Nichols 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Deshawn Pace Deshawn Pace return for 20 yds to the Navy 34
▸
END OF HALF
1 pl · 0 yd · 0:01
13–10
0:00
1st & 10
OPP 34
Alex Bales 52 yd FG GOOD
0:00
OPP 34
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
ON DOWNS
11 pl · 29 yd · 5:54
13–10
14:55
1st & 10
OWN 25
Carlinos Acie run for 7 yds to the Navy 32
+7
0.60
14:08
2nd & 3
OWN 32
James Harris II run for 2 yds to the Navy 34
+2
-0.63
13:38
3rd & 1
OWN 34
James Harris II run for no gain to the Navy 34
0
-0.70
13:19
4th & 1
OWN 34
Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down
+2
1.65
12:44
1st & 10
OWN 36
Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Navy 39
+3
-0.41
12:08
2nd & 7
OWN 39
Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Navy 42
+3
-0.37
11:31
3rd & 4
OWN 42
Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Navy 45
+3
-0.32
11:08
4th & 1
OWN 45
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Myjai Sanders ) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+5
10:45
1st & 10
50
Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Cincy 49
+1
-0.87
9:59
2nd & 9
OPP 49
Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46
+3
-0.41
9:18
3rd & 6
OPP 46
Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Cincy 44
+2
-0.61
9:11
4th & 4
OPP 44
Timeout NAVY, clock 09:11
9:06
4th & 4
OPP 44
Daniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 46
-2
-1.27
▸
TD
4 pl · 54 yd · 1:27
20–10
−3
9:06
1st & 10
OWN 46
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Lorenz Metz ) to the Cincy 41
-5
8:58
1st & 15
OWN 41
Jerome Ford run for 10 yds to the Navy 49
+10
1.33
8:28
2nd & 5
OPP 49
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 4 yds to the Navy 45
+4
-0.16
8:08
3rd & 1
OPP 45
Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down
+2
0.88
7:39
1st & 10
OPP 43
Jerome Ford run for 43 yds for a TD (Christian Lowery KICK)
+43
3.35
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd · 2:04
20–10
−3
▸
TD
11 pl · 45 yd · 4:22
27–10
+2
▸
PUNT
4 pl · 17 yd · 2:50
27–10
−2
1:04
1st & 10
OWN 25
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 11 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down
+11
0.93
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 36
Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the Navy 37
+1
-0.85
0:00
OWN 36
End of 3rd Quarter
14:54
2nd & 9
OWN 37
Anton Hall Jr. run for 3 yds to the Navy 40
+3
-0.30
14:05
3rd & 6
OWN 40
Daniel Jones run for 2 yds to the Navy 42
+2
-0.38
13:23
4th & 4
OWN 42
Riley Riethman punt for 46 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 45 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Deshawn Pace ) to the Cincy 7
▸
Q4
PUNT
3 pl · 9 yd · 1:22
27–10
+2
▸
FG
9 pl · 48 yd · 4:27
27–13
−1
11:56
1st & 10
OWN 42
Daniel Jones run for no gain to the Navy 42
0
-1.15
11:37
2nd & 10
OWN 42
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Kai Puailoa-Rojas for 26 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down
+26
2.84
11:00
1st & 10
OPP 32
Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Cincy 27
+5
0.08
10:24
2nd & 5
OPP 27
James Harris II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 24
+3
-0.20
9:50
3rd & 2
OPP 24
Tai Lavatai run for 7 yds to the Cincy 17 for a 1ST down
+7
0.41
9:17
1st & 10
OPP 17
Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Cincy 14
+3
-0.11
8:45
2nd & 7
OPP 14
Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the Cincy 14
0
-0.35
8:00
3rd & 7
OPP 14
Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the Cincy 10
+4
-0.05
7:34
4th & 3
OPP 10
Bijan Nichols 27 yd FG GOOD
7:34
4th & 3
OWN 35
NAVY Penalty, Personal Foul (Bryce Texeira ) to the Navy 20
-15
▸
PUNT
3 pl · -10 yd · 2:05
27–13
+3
▸
TD
16 pl · 90 yd · 4:39
27–20
+5
5:19
1st & 10
OWN 10
Isaac Ruoss run for 5 yds to the Navy 15
+5
0.07
5:02
2nd & 5
OWN 15
Isaac Ruoss run for 5 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down
+5
0.34
4:38
1st & 10
OWN 20
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Daniel Jones for 1 yd to the Navy 21
+1
-0.47
4:08
2nd & 9
OWN 21
Kai Puailoa-Rojas run for no gain to the Navy 21
0
-0.31
3:30
3rd & 9
OWN 21
Tyger Goslin run for 5 yds to the Navy 26
+5
0.02
3:00
4th & 4
OWN 26
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Chance Warren for 12 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down
+12
2.19
2:32
1st & 10
OWN 38
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Carlinos Acie for 7 yds to the Navy 45
+7
0.71
2:20
2nd & 3
OWN 45
Tai Lavatai pass incomplete
0
-1.29
2:11
3rd & 3
OWN 45
Chance Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 44
-1
-1.05
2:10
4th & 4
OWN 44
Timeout NAVY, clock 02:10
2:04
4th & 4
OWN 44
Isaac Ruoss run for 7 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down
+7
2.82
2:00
1st & 10
OPP 49
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Carlinos Acie for 8 yds to the Cincy 41
+8
0.82
1:41
2nd & 2
OPP 41
Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 46
-5
-2.31
1:40
3rd & 7
OPP 46
Timeout NAVY, clock 01:40
1:31
3rd & 7
OPP 46
Tai Lavatai pass complete to Chance Warren for 17 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down
+17
2.47
1:20
1st & 10
OPP 29
CINCINNATI Penalty, Roughing Passer (Marcus Brown ) to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST down
+14
1:16
1st & 10
OPP 15
Tai Lavatai pass incomplete
0
-0.32
1:07
2nd & 10
OPP 15
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ahmad Gardner ) to the Cincy 2 for a 1ST down
+13
0:57
1st & 2
OPP 2
Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Cincy 1
+1
-0.69
0:50
2nd & 1
OPP 1
Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)
+1
1.90
▸
INT
3 pl · 0 yd · 0:25
27–20
0:48
2nd & 9
OWN 35
Daniel Davies on-side kick recovered by NAVY at the Navy 47
0:40
1st & 10
OWN 47
Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the Navy 47
0
-1.15
0:32
2nd & 10
OWN 47
TEAM pass incomplete
0
-0.96
0:25
3rd & 10
OWN 47
Tai Lavatai pass intercepted Arquon Bush return for 1 yd to the Cincy 44
-0.79
▸
END OF GAME
1 pl · -1 yd · 0:25
27–20
−8
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 44
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 43
-1
-1.38
0:00
OWN 44
End of 4th Quarter