WIN PROBABILITY Murray State above · Cincinnati below
KICK 98% → 100% Cincinnati FINAL
Murray State
Cincinnati
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
INT
11 pl · 53 yd · 7:18
0–0
−2
14:50
1st & 10
OWN 23
Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 11 yds to the MurrS 34 for a 1ST down
+11
0.87
14:13
1st & 10
OWN 34
Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for 2 yds to the MurrS 36
+2
-0.62
13:35
2nd & 8
OWN 36
Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 5 yds to the MurrS 41
+5
0.08
12:59
3rd & 3
OWN 41
MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 36
-5
12:04
3rd & 8
OWN 36
Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for 11 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST down
+11
2.60
11:50
1st & 10
OWN 47
Damonta Witherspoon run for 7 yds to the Cincy 46
+7
0.63
11:20
2nd & 3
OPP 46
Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down
+3
0.11
10:44
1st & 10
OPP 43
Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the Cincy 39
+4
-0.11
10:12
2nd & 6
OPP 39
MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 44
-5
10:00
2nd & 11
OPP 44
Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 7 yds to the Cincy 37
+7
0.51
9:00
3rd & 4
OPP 37
Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 12 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down
+12
1.30
8:30
1st & 10
OPP 25
Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the Cincy 24
+1
-0.35
7:42
2nd & 9
OPP 24
Preston Rice pass intercepted Ja'von Hicks return for 11 yds to the Cincy 11
-3.95
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 7 yd · 1:30
0–0
7:30
1st & 10
OWN 11
Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 17
+6
0.22
7:00
2nd & 4
OWN 17
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Cincy 18
+1
-0.41
6:18
3rd & 3
OWN 18
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete
0
-0.26
6:12
4th & 3
OWN 18
Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds, fair catch by LaMartez Brooks at the MurrS 35
▸
TD
12 pl · 65 yd · 7:31
7–0
−4
6:00
1st & 10
OWN 35
Rodney Castille run for 3 yds to the MurrS 38
+3
-0.41
5:26
2nd & 7
OWN 38
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.87
5:14
3rd & 7
OWN 38
Preston Rice pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 16 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down
+16
2.97
4:41
1st & 10
OPP 46
MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 49
-5
4:17
1st & 15
OWN 49
Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 23 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST down
+23
1.87
3:34
1st & 10
OPP 28
Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the Cincy 26
+2
-0.27
3:00
2nd & 8
OPP 26
LaMartez Brooks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 23
+3
-0.19
2:30
3rd & 5
OPP 23
MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 28
-5
2:00
3rd & 10
OPP 28
Preston Rice run for 12 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST down
+12
1.41
1:18
1st & 10
OPP 16
Rodney Castille run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 17
-1
-0.40
0:41
2nd & 11
OPP 17
Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for 7 yds to the Cincy 10
+7
0.19
0:15
3rd & 4
OPP 10
MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 15
-5
0:00
OPP 10
End of 1st Quarter
15:00
3rd & 9
OPP 15
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 10
+5
14:54
3rd & 4
OPP 10
Preston Rice pass complete to Rodney Castille for 7 yds to the Cincy 3 for a 1ST down
+7
1.32
14:12
1st & 3
OPP 3
Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the Cincy 1
+2
-0.44
13:41
2nd & 1
OPP 1
Preston Rice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Baum KICK)
+1
1.90
13:41
2nd & goal
OPP 3
MURRAY ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 8
-5
▸
Q2
PUNT
3 pl · 2 yd · 0:58
7–0
+1
13:32
1st & 10
OWN 48
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete
0
-1.14
13:23
2nd & 10
OWN 48
Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
+2
-0.60
12:50
3rd & 8
50
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete
0
-0.79
12:50
4th & 8
50
Timeout MURRAY ST, clock 12:50
12:43
4th & 8
50
Mason Fletcher punt for 50 yds for a touchback
▸
INT
3 pl · 0 yd · 0:46
7–0
+1
12:43
1st & 10
OWN 20
MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 15
-5
12:35
1st & 15
OWN 15
Preston Rice run for 5 yds to the MurrS 20
+5
0.03
12:02
2nd & 10
OWN 20
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.26
11:57
3rd & 10
OWN 20
Preston Rice pass intercepted Ahmad Gardner return for no gain to the MurrS 40
0.21
▸
TD
6 pl · 40 yd · 2:16
7–7
▸
INT
2 pl · -3 yd · 0:45
7–7
+2
9:10
1st & 10
OWN 35
Preston Rice sacked by Joel Dublanko and Darrian Beavers for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 32
-3
-1.44
8:56
2nd & 13
OWN 32
Preston Rice pass intercepted Arquon Bush return for 2 yds to the MurrS 40
-0.32
▸
MISSED FG
7 pl · 21 yd · 3:06
7–7
−1
8:51
1st & 10
OPP 40
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete
0
-0.85
8:40
2nd & 10
OPP 40
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 1 yd to the MurrS 39
+1
-0.80
8:05
3rd & 9
OPP 39
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 16 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST down
+16
2.17
7:50
1st & 10
OPP 23
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 28
-5
7:20
1st & 15
OPP 28
Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the MurrS 23
+5
0.04
7:00
2nd & 10
OPP 23
Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the MurrS 23
0
-0.55
6:30
3rd & 10
OPP 23
Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the MurrS 19
+4
-0.11
5:50
4th & 6
OPP 19
Cole Smith 37 yd FG MISSED
▸
MISSED FG
15 pl · 65 yd · 5:33
7–7
−1
5:40
1st & 10
OWN 20
Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 18
-2
-0.70
5:00
2nd & 12
OWN 18
Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 17 yds to the MurrS 35 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+32
3.24
4:20
1st & 10
50
DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the Cincy 49
+1
-0.87
3:53
2nd & 9
OPP 49
Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46
+3
-0.41
3:12
3rd & 6
OPP 46
Preston Rice pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for 5 yds to the Cincy 41
+5
0.07
2:42
4th & 1
OPP 41
Preston Rice run for 1 yd to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down
+1
1.86
1:59
1st & 10
OPP 40
Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 5 yds to the Cincy 35
+5
0.09
1:28
2nd & 5
OPP 35
Preston Rice pass complete to Rodney Castille for 6 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down
+6
0.31
1:21
1st & 10
OPP 29
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.53
1:10
2nd & 10
OPP 29
Damonta Witherspoon run for 9 yds to the Cincy 20
+9
0.57
0:34
3rd & 1
OPP 20
Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST down
+2
0.16
0:34
1st & 10
OPP 18
Timeout MURRAY ST, clock 00:34
0:29
1st & 10
OPP 18
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.35
0:26
2nd & 10
OPP 18
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.42
0:21
3rd & 10
OPP 18
Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the Cincy 15
+3
-0.21
0:17
4th & 7
OPP 15
Aaron Baum 33 yd FG MISSED
▸
END OF HALF
1 pl · 8 yd · 0:17
7–7
+3
0:00
1st & 10
OWN 20
Jerome Ford run for 8 yds to the Cincy 28
+8
0.80
0:00
OWN 20
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
TD
10 pl · 75 yd · 4:55
7–14
−3
14:41
1st & 10
OWN 25
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 29
+4
-0.11
14:13
2nd & 6
OWN 29
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 4 yds to the Cincy 33
+4
-0.11
13:46
3rd & 2
OWN 33
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down
+4
1.25
13:12
1st & 10
OWN 37
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete
0
-1.07
12:55
2nd & 10
OWN 37
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 16 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST down
+16
2.50
12:30
1st & 10
OPP 47
Desmond Ridder sacked by Scotty Humpich for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 49
-4
-1.96
11:54
2nd & 14
OWN 49
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
+1
-0.70
11:17
3rd & 13
50
MURRAY ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MurrS 45
+5
11:00
3rd & 8
OPP 45
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 27 yds to the MurrS 18 for a 1ST down
+27
2.70
10:50
1st & 10
OPP 18
Ford, Jerome rush for 3 yards to the MURRAYST15, PENALTY MURRAYST 12 men on the field 5 yards to the MURRAYST13, NO PLAY.
+5
10:10
1st & 5
OPP 13
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete
0
-0.56
10:05
2nd & 5
OPP 13
Jerome Ford run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)
+13
2.52
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 3 yd · 1:59
7–14
+4
9:49
1st & 10
OWN 15
Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the MurrS 19
+4
-0.07
9:18
2nd & 6
OWN 19
Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 18
-1
-0.46
8:36
3rd & 7
OWN 18
Rice, Preston rush for 6 yards to the MURRAYST24, PENALTY MURRAYST holding off-setting, PENALTY CINCINNATI Holding off-setting, NO PLAY.
0
8:13
3rd & 7
OWN 18
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.15
8:06
4th & 7
OWN 18
Louis Halton punt for 38 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 45
▸
TD
8 pl · 55 yd · 3:08
7–21
8:00
1st & 10
OWN 45
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 48
+3
-0.42
7:25
2nd & 7
OWN 48
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 12 yds to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST down
+12
1.51
6:53
1st & 10
OPP 40
Evan Prater sacked by Izaiah Reed for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 45
-5
-1.93
6:30
2nd & 15
OPP 45
Jerome Ford run for 20 yds to the MurrS 25 for a 1ST down
+20
2.42
6:10
1st & 10
OPP 25
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the MurrS 22
+3
-0.14
5:53
2nd & 7
OPP 22
Timeout MURRAY ST, clock 05:53
5:40
2nd & 7
OPP 22
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 17 yds to the MurrS 5 for a 1ST down
+17
0.96
5:40
2nd & 7
OPP 22
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 17 yds to the MurrS 5 for a 1ST down
+17
0.96
5:20
1st & 5
OPP 5
Charles McClelland run for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 8
-3
-0.79
4:58
2nd & 8
OPP 8
Jerome Ford run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)
+8
2.68
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 10 yd · 2:55
7–21
+1
4:44
1st & 10
OWN 25
Rodney Castille run for 7 yds to the MurrS 32
+7
0.60
4:20
2nd & 3
OWN 32
LaMartez Brooks run for 1 yd to the MurrS 33
+1
-0.82
3:47
3rd & 2
OWN 33
Rodney Castille run for 3 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST down
+3
1.15
3:20
1st & 10
OWN 36
Preston Rice run for 3 yds to the MurrS 39
+3
-0.41
2:50
2nd & 7
OWN 39
Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 40
+1
-0.74
2:12
3rd & 6
OWN 40
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.58
2:12
4th & 6
OWN 40
MURRAY ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 35
-5
2:03
4th & 11
OWN 35
Louis Halton punt for 40 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 28
▸
FUMBLE
5 pl · 50 yd · 2:03
7–21
1:57
1st & 10
OWN 28
CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cincy 18
-10
1:20
1st & 20
OWN 18
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 38 yds to the MurrS 44 for a 1ST down
+38
3.69
1:00
1st & 10
OPP 44
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 8 yds to the MurrS 36
+8
0.71
0:30
2nd & 2
OPP 36
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 12 yds to the MurrS 24 for a 1ST down
+12
0.02
0:02
1st & 10
OPP 24
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete
0
-0.43
0:00
2nd & 10
OPP 24
Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the MurrS 22 Jerome Ford fumbled, recovered by MurrS
+2
-0.30
0:00
OPP 24
End of 3rd Quarter
▸
FUMBLE
2 pl · -1 yd · 0:41
7–21
14:19
2nd & 8
OWN 24
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy
-1
-0.46
▸
Q4
TD
1 pl · 23 yd · 0:06
7–28
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 7 yd · 1:14
7–28
13:55
1st & 10
OWN 25
Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 2 yds to the MurrS 27
+2
-0.45
13:35
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the MurrS 32
+5
0.06
13:07
3rd & 3
OWN 32
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.51
12:59
4th & 3
OWN 32
Louis Halton punt for 31 yds, downed at the Cincy 37
▸
TD
4 pl · 63 yd · 2:09
7–35
12:54
1st & 10
OWN 37
Jerome Ford run for 11 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down
+11
1.04
12:00
1st & 10
OWN 48
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 48 yds to the MurrS 4 for a 1ST down
+48
2.32
11:37
1st & goal
OPP 4
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 9
-5
10:57
1st & 9
OPP 9
Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the MurrS 3
+6
0.21
10:50
2nd & 3
OPP 3
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)
+3
2.21
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 1 yd · 2:15
7–35
10:20
1st & 10
OWN 25
Rodney Castille run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 24
-1
-0.80
10:00
2nd & 11
OWN 24
Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the MurrS 27
+3
-0.13
9:00
3rd & 8
OWN 27
Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 26
-1
-0.25
8:35
4th & 9
OWN 26
Louis Halton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 29
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 12 yd · 2:31
7–35
8:20
1st & 10
OWN 29
Evan Prater run for 7 yds to the Cincy 36
+7
0.66
8:05
2nd & 3
OWN 36
Evan Prater pass incomplete
0
-1.12
7:50
3rd & 3
OWN 36
Evan Prater run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down
+3
1.38
7:30
1st & 10
OWN 39
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Cincy 41
+2
-0.67
6:40
2nd & 8
OWN 41
Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Cincy 41
0
-0.90
6:11
3rd & 8
OWN 41
Evan Prater pass incomplete
0
-0.52
6:04
4th & 8
OWN 41
Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by LaMartez Brooks at the MurrS 13
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 13 yd · 2:43
7–35
5:55
1st & 10
OWN 13
Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 14 yds to the MurrS 27 for a 1ST down
+14
0.76
5:30
1st & 10
OWN 27
Rodney Castille run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 26
-1
-0.88
5:00
2nd & 11
OWN 26
Damonta Witherspoon run for 7 yds to the MurrS 33 MURRAY ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MurrS 23
-3
-0.44
4:30
2nd & 14
OWN 23
Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the MurrS 26
+3
-0.09
3:30
3rd & 11
OWN 26
Preston Rice pass incomplete
0
-0.15
3:21
4th & 11
OWN 26
Louis Halton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 41
▸
FUMBLE
3 pl · 7 yd · 2:06
7–35
3:05
1st & 10
OWN 41
Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44
+3
-0.43
2:44
2nd & 7
OWN 44
Ethan Wright run for no gain to the Cincy 44
0
-1.04
2:20
3rd & 7
OWN 44
Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the Cincy 48
+4
-0.12
1:15
4th & 3
OWN 48
Mason Fletcher punt for 38 yds , LaMartez Brooks returns for 4 yds to the MurrS 18 LaMartez Brooks fumbled, recovered by Cincy
▸
TD
1 pl · 18 yd · 0:07
7–42
▸
END OF GAME
2 pl · 2 yd · 1:08
7–42
0:52
1st & 10
OWN 25
Cortezz Jones run for 4 yds to the MurrS 29
+4
-0.11
0:00
2nd & 6
OWN 29
Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 27
-2
-0.82
0:00
OWN 29
End of 4th Quarter