WIN PROBABILITY Liberty above · Ole Miss below
KICK 74% → 100% Ole Miss FINAL
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
TD
2 pl · 75 yd · 0:34
0–7
+7
▸
PUNT
7 pl · 34 yd · 4:39
0–7
+4
14:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
Malik Willis sacked by Tysheem Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Liber 16-9
-1.20
13:44
2nd & 19
OWN 16
OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Deantre Prince ) to the Liber 31 for a 1ST down
+15
13:30
1st & 10
OWN 31
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 25 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down+25
2.19
13:15
1st & 10
OPP 44
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Miss 42+2
-0.53
12:52
2nd & 8
OPP 42
OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jake Springer) to the Miss 37
+5
12:40
2nd & 3
OPP 37
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST down+4
0.01
12:06
1st & 10
OPP 33
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Miss 30+3
-0.20
10:50
2nd & 7
OPP 30
Malik Willis sacked by Chance Campbell and Otis Reese for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 35-5
-1.72
10:20
3rd & 12
OPP 35
Malik Willis sacked by Cedric Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 36-1
-1.19
9:55
4th & 13
OPP 36
LIBERTY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Miss 41
-5
9:47
4th & 18
OPP 41
Aidan Alves punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Springer at the Miss 13
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 12 yd · 1:34
0–7
−5
▸
MISSED FG
10 pl · 50 yd · 5:33
0–7
+2
▸
FG
5 pl · 54 yd · 1:18
0–10
+3
▸
PUNT
3 pl · -3 yd · 2:13
0–10
+8
0:45
1st & 10
OWN 23
Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Liber 26+3
-0.27
0:00
2nd & 7
OWN 26
Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Liber 27+1
-0.43
0:00
OWN 26
End of 1st Quarter
14:30
3rd & 6
OWN 27
Malik Willis sacked by Sam Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 20-7
-0.44
14:09
4th & 13
OWN 20
Max Morgan punt for 44 yds , Jake Springer returns for 6 yds to the Miss 42
▸
Q2
TD
4 pl · 58 yd · 0:56
0–17
−2
▸
INT
5 pl · 18 yd · 2:03
0–17
+4
▸
ON DOWNS
8 pl · 33 yd · 3:42
0–17
−1
10:50
1st & 10
OPP 49
Matt Corral run for 5 yds to the Liber 44+5
0.10
10:20
2nd & 5
OPP 44
Snoop Conner run for no gain to the Liber 440
-1.12
10:00
3rd & 5
OPP 44
Matt Corral pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 6 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down+6
1.69
9:33
1st & 10
OPP 38
Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 20 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST down+20
0.50
9:20
1st & 10
OPP 18
Snoop Conner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 19-1
-0.43
8:28
2nd & 11
OPP 19
John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 23-4
-1.05
8:00
3rd & 15
OPP 23
Snoop Conner run for 7 yds to the Liber 16+7
0.36
7:28
4th & 8
OPP 16
Matt Corral pass complete to Snoop Conner for no gain to the Liber 160
-3.28
▸
INT
9 pl · 59 yd · 4:33
0–17
+1
7:00
1st & 10
OWN 16
Joshua Mack run for 14 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down+14
0.89
6:40
1st & 10
OWN 30
Malik Willis run for 11 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down+11
1.03
6:14
1st & 10
OWN 41
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario Douglas 0
-1.14
6:00
2nd & 10
OWN 41
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 9 yds to the 50 yard line+9
1.08
5:18
3rd & 1
50
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the 50 yard line0
-1.16
5:00
4th & 1
50
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST down+4
2.33
4:27
1st & 10
OPP 46
Timeout LIBERTY, clock 04:27
4:00
1st & 10
OPP 46
Joshua Mack run for 21 yds to the Miss 25 for a 1ST down+21
0.84
3:30
1st & 10
OPP 25
Malik Willis pass complete to Joshua Mack for no gain to the Miss 250
-0.45
2:55
2nd & 10
OPP 25
Malik Willis pass intercepted AJ Finley return for 19 yds to the Miss 30-3.85
▸
TD
5 pl · 70 yd · 1:28
0–24
+3
▸
END OF HALF
5 pl · 19 yd · 1:27
0–24
1:08
1st & 10
OWN 21
Malik Willis sacked by Chance Campbell for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 15-6
-0.91
1:08
2nd & 16
OWN 15
Timeout OLE MISS, clock 01:08
0:50
2nd & 16
OWN 15
Shedro Louis run for 15 yds to the Liber 30+15
0.90
0:31
3rd & 1
OWN 30
Shedro Louis run for 13 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down+13
1.87
0:19
1st & 10
OWN 43
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 5 yds to the Liber 48+5
0.11
0:19
2nd & 5
OWN 48
Timeout LIBERTY, clock 00:19
0:00
2nd & 5
OWN 48
Malik Willis sacked by Tavius Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 40-8
-2.47
0:00
OWN 48
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
TD
8 pl · 75 yd · 4:29
7–24
−2
14:20
1st & 10
OWN 25
Joshua Mack run for 7 yds to the Liber 32+7
0.60
14:00
2nd & 3
OWN 32
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 33+1
-0.82
13:30
3rd & 2
OWN 33
Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Liber 34+1
-0.50
13:10
4th & 1
OWN 34
OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down
+5
12:45
1st & 10
OWN 39
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 12 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down+12
1.09
12:10
1st & 10
OPP 49
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Miss 490
-1.10
11:49
2nd & 10
OPP 49
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 15 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down+15
1.92
11:00
1st & 10
OPP 34
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the Miss 28+6
0.23
10:31
2nd & 4
OPP 28
Shedro Louis run for 28 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)+28
2.71
▸
FG
9 pl · 54 yd · 3:42
7–27
+1
10:10
1st & 10
OWN 25
Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 8 yds to the Miss 33+8
0.91
10:00
2nd & 2
OWN 33
Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down+3
0.02
9:43
1st & 10
OWN 36
LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cedric Stone ) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+14
9:30
1st & 10
50
Jerrion Ealy run for 8 yds to the Liber 42+8
0.84
9:15
2nd & 2
OPP 42
Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 5 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down+5
-0.05
8:44
1st & 10
OPP 37
Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 15 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST down+15
0.40
8:25
1st & 10
OPP 22
OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Dannis Jackson ) to the Liber 37
-15
8:00
1st & 25
OPP 37
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the Liber 34+3
-0.37
7:40
2nd & 22
OPP 34
Matt Corral run for 6 yds to the Liber 28+6
0.25
7:20
3rd & 16
OPP 28
Matt Corral run for 7 yds to the Liber 21+7
0.44
6:49
4th & 9
OPP 21
Caden Costa 38 yd FG GOOD
▸
TD
11 pl · 73 yd · 5:41
14–27
−4
6:30
1st & 10
OWN 27
Malik Willis run for 12 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down+12
1.08
6:00
1st & 10
OWN 39
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 390
-1.11
5:10
2nd & 10
OWN 39
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Liber 46+7
0.52
4:50
3rd & 3
OWN 46
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 7 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down+7
1.83
4:33
1st & 10
OPP 47
LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Noah Frith ) to the Liber 38
-15
4:33
1st & 25
OWN 38
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Brendan Schlittler ) to the Liber 33
-5
4:15
1st & 30
OWN 33
Shedro Louis run for 14 yds to the Liber 47+14
1.08
3:35
2nd & 16
OWN 47
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 9 yds to the Miss 44+9
0.90
2:56
3rd & 7
OPP 44
T.J. Green run for 16 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Sam Williams ) to the Miss 14 for a 1ST down+30
2.52
2:30
1st & 10
OPP 14
Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Miss 9+5
0.07
2:00
2nd & 5
OPP 9
Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the Miss 1 for a 1ST down+8
1.54
1:30
1st & 1
OPP 1
Joshua Mack run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 3-2
-1.27
1:08
2nd & 3
OPP 3
Malik Willis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)+3
2.21
▸
MISSED FG
7 pl · 51 yd · 1:51
14–27
+1
▸
Q4
ON DOWNS
7 pl · 34 yd · 2:40
14–27
+2
13:57
1st & 10
OWN 24
Malik Willis run for 12 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down+12
1.00
13:40
1st & 10
OWN 36
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 43+7
0.71
13:10
2nd & 3
OWN 43
Shedro Louis run for 9 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down+9
0.75
12:45
1st & 10
OPP 48
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Miss 480
-1.07
12:15
2nd & 10
OPP 48
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Miss 42+6
0.32
11:43
3rd & 4
OPP 42
Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs 0
-1.10
11:43
4th & 4
OPP 42
Timeout LIBERTY, clock 11:43
11:37
4th & 4
OPP 42
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith 0
-1.45
▸
ON DOWNS
6 pl · 0 yd
14–27
−1
11:23
1st & 10
OWN 42
Matt Corral sacked by Storey Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 34-8
-2.32
10:59
2nd & 18
OWN 34
OLE MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Miss 29
-5
10:32
2nd & 23
OWN 29
Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 22 yds to the Liber 49+22
2.56
10:24
3rd & 1
OPP 49
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Dannis Jackson ) to the Miss 46
-5
10:00
3rd & 6
OWN 46
Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 10 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST down+10
2.44
9:40
1st & 10
OPP 44
Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Liber 41+3
-0.32
9:30
2nd & 7
OPP 41
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson 0
-1.04
9:21
3rd & 7
OPP 41
Matt Corral pass incomplete0
-1.04
9:18
4th & 7
OPP 41
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 46
-5
▸
PUNT
0 pl · -5 yd · 0:04
14–27
9:14
4th & 12
OPP 46
Mac Brown punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 18
▸
PUNT
8 pl · 30 yd · 3:58
14–27
+2
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 14 yd · 1:57
14–27
5:10
1st & 10
OWN 20
Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 18 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST down+18
1.43
4:40
1st & 10
OWN 38
Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 13 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST down+13
1.19
4:23
1st & 10
OPP 49
OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 41
-10
4:10
1st & 20
OWN 41
Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Miss 44+3
-0.30
3:36
2nd & 17
OWN 44
John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 40-4
-0.83
3:36
3rd & 21
OWN 40
Timeout LIBERTY, clock 03:36
3:30
3rd & 21
OWN 40
Matt Corral sacked by Storey Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 34-6
-0.24
3:30
4th & 27
OWN 34
Timeout LIBERTY, clock 03:30
3:19
4th & 27
OWN 34
Mac Brown punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 22
▸
INT
9 pl · 62 yd · 2:19
14–27
−2
▸
END OF GAME
2 pl · 7 yd · 1:00
14–27
+4
0:30
1st & 10
OWN 20
Snoop Conner run for 3 yds to the Miss 23+3
-0.24
0:00
2nd & 7
OWN 23
Snoop Conner run for 4 yds to the Miss 27+4
-0.07
0:00
OWN 23
End of 4th Quarter