WIN PROBABILITY Michigan State above · Michigan below
KICK 90% → 14% Michigan FINAL
Michigan State
Michigan
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
PUNT
3 pl · 5 yd
0–0
+5
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
Connor Heyward run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27
+2
-0.45
15:00
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Connor Heyward run for 3 yds to the MchSt 30
+3
-0.21
15:00
3rd & 5
OWN 30
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete
0
-0.37
15:00
4th & 5
OWN 30
Bryce Baringer punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40
▸
PUNT
3 pl · -5 yd
0–0
−4
13:45
1st & 10
OWN 40
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 35
-5
-1.91
13:45
2nd & 15
OWN 35
Joe Milton pass incomplete
0
-0.40
13:45
3rd & 15
OWN 35
Joe Milton run for no gain to the Mich 35
0
-0.19
13:45
4th & 15
OWN 35
Will Hart punt for 36 yds, downed at the MchSt 29
▸
TD
4 pl · 71 yd · 1:14
7–0
−3
▸
TD
8 pl · 60 yd · 3:56
7–7
−4
10:57
1st & 10
OWN 40
Chris Evans run for 16 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down
+16
1.34
10:57
1st & 10
OPP 44
Joe Milton pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 4 yds to the MchSt 40
+4
-0.11
10:57
2nd & 6
OPP 40
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 42
-2
-1.48
10:57
3rd & 8
OPP 42
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 12 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down
+12
2.19
10:57
1st & 10
OPP 30
Joe Milton sacked by Dashaun Mallory for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 34
-4
-1.19
10:57
2nd & 14
OPP 34
Joe Milton pass complete to A.J. Henning for 15 yds to the MchSt 19 for a 1ST down
+15
1.40
10:57
1st & 10
OPP 19
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 11 yds to the MchSt 8 for a 1ST down
+11
0.28
7:01
1st & 8
OPP 8
Blake Corum run for 8 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+8
2.32
▸
PUNT
4 pl · 19 yd
7–7
+8
7:01
1st & 10
OWN 25
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27
+2
-0.45
7:01
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Reed, Jayden, PENALTY MICH pass interference (Green, Gemon) 15 yards to the MSU42, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.
+15
7:01
1st & 10
OWN 42
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete
0
-1.15
7:01
2nd & 10
OWN 42
Rocky Lombardi run for 6 yds to the MchSt 48
+6
0.30
7:01
3rd & 4
OWN 48
Jordon Simmons run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 44
-4
-1.43
7:01
4th & 8
OWN 44
Bryce Baringer punt for 56 yds for a touchback
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 29 yd · 2:20
7–7
−4
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 20
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 13 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down
+13
0.96
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 33
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 10 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down
+10
0.96
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 43
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Mich 49
+6
0.39
5:11
2nd & 4
OWN 49
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Mich 49
0
-1.24
5:11
3rd & 4
OWN 49
Joe Milton pass incomplete
0
-0.96
5:11
4th & 4
OWN 49
Brad Robbins punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 8
▸
PUNT
8 pl · 31 yd
7–7
+3
2:51
1st & 10
OWN 8
Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to White, Ricky, PENALTY MICH holding (Gray, Vincent) 10 yards to the MSU18, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.
+10
2:51
1st & 10
OWN 18
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete
0
-0.51
2:51
2nd & 10
OWN 18
Connor Heyward run for 5 yds to the MchSt 23
+5
0.04
2:51
3rd & 5
OWN 23
MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down
+5
2:51
1st & 10
OWN 28
Connor Heyward run for no gain to the MchSt 28
0
-0.80
2:51
2nd & 10
OWN 28
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jayden Reed
0
-0.41
2:51
3rd & 10
OWN 28
Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Nailor, Jalen, PENALTY MICH pass interference (Gray, Vincent) 15 yards to the MSU43, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.
+15
2:51
1st & 10
OWN 43
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the MchSt 45
+2
-0.69
2:51
2nd & 8
OWN 45
Jordon Simmons run for no gain to the MchSt 45
0
-1.01
0:00
OPP 0
End of 1st Quarter
15:00
3rd & 8
OWN 45
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Aidan Hutchinson ) to the 50 yard line
+5
15:00
3rd & 3
50
Connor Heyward run for 3 yds to the MICHIGAN 47 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the MchSt 38
-12
-2.16
15:00
3rd & 15
OWN 38
Connor Heyward run for 1 yd to the MchSt 39
+1
-0.20
15:00
4th & 14
OWN 39
Bryce Baringer punt for 53 yds, downed at the Mich 8
▸
Q2
PUNT
4 pl · 21 yd · 2:14
7–7
−5
13:55
1st & 10
OWN 8
Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 13 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down
+13
0.52
13:55
1st & 10
OWN 21
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 6 yds to the Mich 27
+6
0.30
13:55
2nd & 4
OWN 27
Chris Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 22
-5
-1.12
13:55
3rd & 9
OWN 22
Joe Milton run for 7 yds to the Mich 29
+7
0.14
13:55
4th & 2
OWN 29
Will Hart punt for 39 yds
▸
TD
6 pl · 68 yd · 2:01
14–7
−12
▸
PUNT
4 pl · 25 yd
14–7
−5
9:40
1st & 10
OWN 13
Joe Milton run for 17 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down
+17
1.00
9:40
1st & 10
OWN 30
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 30
0
-0.86
9:40
2nd & 10
OWN 30
Joe Milton run for 4 yds to the Mich 34
+4
-0.08
9:40
3rd & 6
OWN 34
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the Mich 38
+4
-0.08
9:40
4th & 2
OWN 38
Will Hart punt for 47 yds, downed at the MchSt 15
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd
14–7
+2
▸
FG
9 pl · 70 yd · 3:37
14–10
−1
6:26
1st & 10
OWN 25
Joe Milton pass incomplete
0
-0.70
6:26
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 20 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down
+20
2.50
6:26
1st & 10
OWN 45
Hassan Haskins run for 19 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down
+19
1.27
6:26
1st & 10
OPP 36
Joe Milton pass complete to Ben Mason for 9 yds to the MchSt 27
+9
0.77
6:26
2nd & 1
OPP 27
Hassan Haskins run for 16 yds to the MchSt 11 for a 1ST down
+16
-0.28
6:26
1st & 10
OPP 11
Joe Milton run for 5 yds to the MchSt 6
+5
0.08
3:39
2nd & 5
OPP 6
Timeout MICHIGAN ST, clock 03:39
3:39
2nd & 5
OPP 6
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 5
+1
-0.26
3:39
3rd & 4
OPP 5
Hassan Haskins pass incomplete
0
-0.30
2:49
4th & 4
OPP 5
Quinn Nordin 23 yd FG GOOD
▸
PUNT
4 pl · -3 yd · 0:57
14–10
−8
2:49
1st & 10
OWN 25
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 5 yds to the MchSt 30 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Nailor ) to the MchSt 15
-10
-1.22
2:49
1st & 20
OWN 15
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the MchSt 18
+3
-0.06
2:21
2nd & 17
OWN 18
Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 02:21
2:21
2nd & 17
OWN 18
Connor Heyward run for 2 yds to the MchSt 20
+2
-0.07
2:14
3rd & 15
OWN 20
Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 02:14
2:14
3rd & 15
OWN 20
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the MchSt 22
+2
-0.04
2:11
4th & 13
OWN 22
Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 02:11
2:11
4th & 13
OWN 22
Bryce Baringer punt for 78 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 32 yds to the Mich 32
▸
PUNT
6 pl · 23 yd
14–10
+15
1:52
1st & 10
OWN 32
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell
0
-0.93
1:52
2nd & 10
OWN 32
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell
0
-0.51
1:52
3rd & 10
OWN 32
Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 26 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down
+26
3.66
1:52
1st & 10
OPP 42
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil , broken up by Shakur Brown
0
-0.91
1:52
2nd & 10
OPP 42
Milton, Joe pass complete to Johnson, C. for 8 yards to the MSU34 (Camper, Jack), PENALTY MICH holding (Filiaga, Chuck) 10 yards to the MICH48, NO PLAY.
-10
1:52
2nd & 20
OWN 48
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell
0
-0.58
1:52
3rd & 20
OWN 48
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 7 yds to the MchSt 45
+7
0.23
0:47
4th & 13
OPP 45
Timeout MICHIGAN ST, clock 00:47
0:47
4th & 13
OPP 45
Brad Robbins punt for 45 yds for a touchback
▸
END OF HALF
2 pl · -3 yd · 0:40
14–10
−15
▸
Q3
PUNT
3 pl · 4 yd
14–10
+4
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 29
Joe Milton run for 1 yd to the Mich 30
+1
-0.69
15:00
2nd & 9
OWN 30
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil
0
-0.51
15:00
3rd & 9
OWN 30
Joe Milton run for 3 yds to the Mich 33
+3
-0.11
15:00
4th & 6
OWN 33
Will Hart punt for 29 yds, downed at the MchSt 38
▸
FG
5 pl · 52 yd · 1:03
17–10
+3
▸
TD
11 pl · 75 yd · 4:26
17–17
+9
12:26
1st & 10
OWN 25
Joe Milton pass complete to Erick All for no gain to the Mich 25
0
-0.70
12:26
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down
+11
1.63
12:26
1st & 10
OWN 36
Joe Milton pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 4 yds to the Mich 40
+4
-0.16
12:26
2nd & 6
OWN 40
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 42
+2
-0.62
12:26
3rd & 4
OWN 42
Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 17 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down
+17
2.69
12:26
1st & 10
OPP 41
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil
0
-0.88
12:26
2nd & 10
OPP 41
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for no gain to the MchSt 41
0
-1.04
12:26
3rd & 10
OPP 41
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shakur Brown ) to the MchSt 26 for a 1ST down
+15
12:26
1st & 10
OPP 26
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the MchSt 25
+1
-0.36
12:26
2nd & 9
OPP 25
A.J. Henning run for 9 yds to the MchSt 16 for a 1ST down
+9
0.51
12:26
1st & 10
OPP 16
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 15 yds to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST down
+15
1.63
8:00
1st & 1
OPP 1
Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+1
0.94
▸
FG
9 pl · 45 yd · 3:37
20–17
−11
▸
PUNT
8 pl · 34 yd
20–17
−2
4:23
1st & 10
OWN 25
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Erick All , broken up by Antjuan Simmons
0
-0.70
4:23
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Joe Milton pass incomplete
0
-0.35
4:23
3rd & 10
OWN 25
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 15 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down
+15
2.37
4:23
1st & 10
OWN 40
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Mich 46
+6
0.40
4:23
2nd & 4
OWN 46
Hassan Haskins run for 18 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down
+18
1.34
4:23
1st & 10
OPP 36
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Erick All
0
-0.72
4:23
2nd & 10
OPP 36
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the MchSt 36
0
-0.94
2:29
3rd & 10
OPP 36
Timeout MICHIGAN ST, clock 02:29
2:29
3rd & 10
OPP 36
MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Ryan Hayes ) to the MchSt 41
-5
2:29
3rd & 15
OPP 41
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Erick All
0
-0.78
2:29
4th & 15
OPP 41
Brad Robbins punt for 39 yds, downed at the MchSt 2
▸
MISSED FG
10 pl · 75 yd · 3:54
20–17
−4
2:15
1st & 10
OWN 2
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the MchSt 3
+1
-0.21
2:15
2nd & 9
OWN 3
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Ricky White for 40 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down
+40
2.72
2:15
1st & 10
OWN 43
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Ricky White for 5 yds to the MchSt 48
+5
0.11
2:15
2nd & 5
OWN 48
Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Nailor, Jalen, PENALTY MICH holding (Perry, Jalen) 10 yards to the MICH42, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.
+10
2:15
1st & 10
OPP 42
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Ricky White
0
-0.91
2:15
2nd & 10
OPP 42
Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the Mich 42
0
-1.05
2:15
3rd & 10
OPP 42
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 37
+5
0:00
OPP 0
End of 3rd Quarter
15:00
3rd & 5
OPP 37
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Ricky White for 6 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down
+6
1.29
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 31
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Nailor , broken up by Gemon Green
0
-0.58
15:00
2nd & 10
OPP 31
Connor Heyward run for 2 yds to the Mich 29
+2
-0.42
15:00
3rd & 8
OPP 29
Rocky Lombardi run for 6 yds to the Mich 23
+6
0.22
13:21
4th & 2
OPP 23
Matt Coghlin 40 yd FG MISSED
▸
Q4
PUNT
8 pl · 28 yd
20–17
−11
13:21
1st & 10
OWN 23
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 23
0
-0.64
13:21
2nd & 10
OWN 23
Joe Milton pass complete to Blake Corum for 13 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down
+13
1.71
13:21
1st & 10
OWN 36
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 33
-3
-1.49
13:21
2nd & 13
OWN 33
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the Mich 38
+5
0.04
13:21
3rd & 8
OWN 38
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+12
2.76
13:21
1st & 10
50
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Roman Wilson , broken up by Drew Beesley
0
-1.11
13:21
2nd & 10
50
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the MchSt 49
+1
-0.83
13:21
3rd & 9
OPP 49
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil
0
-0.78
13:21
4th & 9
OPP 49
Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds, downed at the MchSt 8
▸
TD
11 pl · 92 yd · 4:37
27–17
−35
▸
TD
18 pl · 93 yd · 4:34
27–24
+19
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 7
Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 13 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down
+13
0.49
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 20
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Giles Jackson , broken up by Shakur Brown
0
-0.56
5:11
2nd & 10
OWN 20
Joe Milton pass complete to Blake Corum for 4 yds to the Mich 24
+4
-0.04
5:11
3rd & 6
OWN 24
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell
0
-0.24
5:11
4th & 6
OWN 24
Joe Milton run for 6 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down
+6
1.53
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 30
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Mich 35
+5
5:11
1st & 5
OWN 35
Joe Milton run for 9 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down
+9
-0.20
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 44
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Zach Charbonnet
0
-1.16
5:11
2nd & 10
OWN 44
Joe Milton pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 5 yds to the Mich 49
+5
0.07
5:11
3rd & 5
OWN 49
Joe Milton pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 6 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down
+6
1.98
5:11
1st & 10
OPP 45
Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 4 yds to the MchSt 41
+4
-0.12
5:11
2nd & 6
OPP 41
Joe Milton run for 11 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down
+11
0.78
5:11
1st & 10
OPP 30
Joe Milton pass complete to Erick All for 5 yds to the MchSt 25
+5
0.08
5:11
2nd & 5
OPP 25
Joe Milton pass complete to Erick All for 8 yds to the MchSt 17 for a 1ST down
+8
0.16
5:11
1st & 10
OPP 17
Joe Milton run for no gain to the MchSt 17
0
-0.34
5:11
2nd & 10
OPP 17
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell
0
-0.40
5:11
3rd & 10
OPP 17
Joe Milton pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 16 yds to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST down
+16
2.38
5:11
1st & 1
OPP 1
Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 2
-1
-1.13
0:37
2nd & 2
OPP 2
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+2
2.07
▸
END OF GAME
4 pl · 11 yd · 0:36
27–24
−21
0:36
1st & 10
OPP 44
Connor Heyward run for 1 yd to the Mich 43
+1
-0.75
0:31
2nd & 9
OPP 43
Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 00:31
0:31
2nd & 9
OPP 43
Connor Heyward run for 3 yds to the Mich 40
+3
-0.38
0:28
3rd & 6
OPP 40
Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 00:28
0:28
3rd & 6
OPP 40
Jayden Reed run for 4 yds to the Mich 36
+4
-0.16
0:23
4th & 2
OPP 36
Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 00:23
0:23
4th & 2
OPP 36
Timeout MICHIGAN ST, clock 00:23
0:23
4th & 2
OPP 36
Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down
+3
1.80
0:00
OPP 0
End of 4th Quarter