WIN PROBABILITY Stephen F. Austin above · SMU below
KICK 99% → 100% SMU FINAL
Stephen F. Austin
SMU
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
TD
7 pl · 63 yd · 2:26
0–6
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 37
TJ McDaniel run for 1 yd to the SMU 38
+1
-0.87
15:00
2nd & 9
OWN 38
Shane Buechele pass incomplete
0
-0.75
15:00
3rd & 9
OWN 38
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 18 yds to the SFA 44 for a 1ST down SFA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down
+18
3.26
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 44
TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the SFAus 42
+2
-0.53
15:00
2nd & 8
OPP 42
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the SFAus 36
+6
0.30
15:00
3rd & 2
OPP 36
TJ McDaniel run for 3 yds to the SFAus 33 for a 1ST down
+3
0.74
12:34
1st & 10
OPP 33
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 33 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar PAT BLOCKED)
+33
2.90
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 1 yd · 1:59
0–6
+1
12:27
1st & 10
OWN 29
Josh McGowen run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 27
-2
-1.06
12:27
2nd & 12
OWN 27
Josh McGowen run for 3 yds to the SFAus 30
+3
-0.14
12:27
3rd & 9
OWN 30
Josh McGowen run for no gain to the SFAus 30
0
-0.24
12:27
4th & 9
OWN 30
Max Quick punt for 39 yds
▸
TD
10 pl · 69 yd · 3:36
0–13
10:28
1st & 10
OWN 31
TJ McDaniel run for 1 yd to the SMU 32
+1
-0.74
10:28
2nd & 9
OWN 32
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny Gray
0
-0.56
10:28
3rd & 9
OWN 32
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 11 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down
+11
2.45
10:28
1st & 10
OWN 43
TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the SMU 48
+5
0.11
10:28
2nd & 5
OWN 48
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr. , broken up by Willie Roberts
0
-1.20
10:28
3rd & 5
OWN 48
BUECHELE, Shane pass complete to RICE, Rashee for 25 yards to the SFAFB27 (Harmon, Bruce), PENALTY SMU illegal formation 5 yards to the SMU43, NO PLAY.
-5
10:28
3rd & 10
OWN 43
BUECHELE, Shane pass incomplete to RICE, Rashee (Harmon, Bruce), PENALTY SFAFB pass interference (Harmon, Bruce) 15 yards to the SFAFB42, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.
+15
10:28
1st & 10
OPP 42
Tyler Lavine run for no gain to the SFAus 42
0
-0.91
10:28
2nd & 10
OPP 42
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 16 yds to the SFAus 26 for a 1ST down
+16
1.48
10:28
1st & 10
OPP 26
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 11 yds to the SFAus 15 for a 1ST down
+11
0.16
10:28
1st & 10
OPP 15
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the SFAus 11
+4
-0.02
6:52
2nd & 6
OPP 11
Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)
+11
2.58
▸
SAFETY
3 pl · -11 yd · 2:03
0–19
6:52
1st & 10
OWN 25
Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 3 yds Larry Jones III fumbled, forced by Trevor Denbow , recovered by SFAus Larry Jones III
+3
-0.30
6:52
2nd & 10
OWN 25
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for no gain to the SFAus 25
0
-0.35
6:52
3rd & 10
OWN 25
Trae Self sacked by Elijah Chatman for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 19
-6
-0.24
6:52
4th & 16
OWN 19
SFA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 14
-5
4:49
4th & 21
OWN 14
Max Quick punt blocked by Keke Burns for a SAFETY blocked by Keke Burns for a SAFETY for a SAFETY
▸
TD
5 pl · 44 yd · 2:12
0–22
4:35
1st & 10
OPP 44
TJ McDaniel run for 23 yds to the SFAus 21 for a 1ST down
+23
0.78
4:35
1st & 10
OPP 21
Shane Buechele sacked by BJ Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 23
-2
-0.58
4:35
2nd & 12
OPP 23
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 7 yds to the SFAus 16
+7
0.23
4:35
3rd & 5
OPP 16
Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 12 yds to the SFAus 4 for a 1ST down
+12
1.29
4:35
1st & 4
OPP 4
SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 9
-5
2:23
1st & 9
OPP 9
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)
+9
2.42
▸
INT
5 pl · 19 yd · 2:29
0–22
2:23
1st & 10
OWN 25
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 9 yds to the SFAus 34
+9
1.25
2:23
2nd & 1
OWN 34
Jaquarion Turner run for 5 yds to the SFAus 39 for a 1ST down
+5
-0.03
2:23
1st & 10
OWN 39
Jaquarion Turner run for 4 yds to the SFAus 43
+4
-0.17
2:23
2nd & 6
OWN 43
Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 44
+1
-0.88
0:00
OPP 0
End of 1st Quarter
15:00
3rd & 5
OWN 44
Trae Self pass intercepted Brandon Crossley return for 4 yds to the SMU 48 SMU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the SMU 41
-1.10
▸
Q2
PUNT
6 pl · 8 yd · 3:20
0–22
14:54
1st & 10
OWN 41
TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the SMU 46
+5
0.11
14:54
2nd & 5
OWN 46
TJ McDaniel run for 3 yds to the SMU 49
+3
-0.44
14:54
3rd & 2
OWN 49
TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the SFAus 49 for a 1ST down
+2
1.23
14:54
1st & 10
OPP 49
Shane Buechele sacked by Larron Cox for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 45
-6
-2.36
14:54
2nd & 16
OWN 45
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 4 yds to the SMU 49
+4
-0.13
11:44
3rd & 12
OWN 49
Timeout SMU, clock 11:44
11:44
3rd & 12
OWN 49
Shane Buechele pass incomplete
0
-0.59
11:44
4th & 12
OWN 49
Chris Naggar punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Larry Jones III at the SFA 16 SMU Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 21
▸
ON DOWNS
10 pl · 47 yd · 5:54
0–22
11:34
1st & 10
OWN 21
Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 19 yds to the SFAus 40 for a 1ST down
+19
1.57
11:34
1st & 10
OWN 40
Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 41
+1
-0.91
11:34
2nd & 9
OWN 41
Jaquarion Turner run for 5 yds to the SFAus 46
+5
0.08
11:34
3rd & 4
OWN 46
Jaquarion Turner run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+4
1.75
11:34
1st & 10
50
Tre'Jon Henderson run for 1 yd to the SMU 49
+1
-0.87
11:34
2nd & 9
OPP 49
Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 10 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down
+10
1.57
11:34
1st & 10
OPP 39
Trae Self sacked by Will Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 45
-6
-2.10
11:34
2nd & 16
OPP 45
Trae Self pass complete to Tre'Jon Henderson for 14 yds to the SMU 31
+14
1.92
5:49
3rd & 2
OPP 31
Timeout SFA, clock 05:49
5:49
3rd & 2
OPP 31
Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi Simmons
0
-0.92
5:49
4th & 2
OPP 31
Trae Self run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 32
-1
-2.76
▸
TD
10 pl · 68 yd · 3:19
0–29
▸
ON DOWNS
8 pl · 38 yd · 2:11
0–29
2:21
1st & 10
OWN 25
Trae Self sacked by Junior Aho for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 24
-1
-0.80
2:21
2nd & 11
OWN 24
Jaquarion Turner run for no gain to the SFAus 24
0
-0.29
1:33
3rd & 11
OWN 24
Timeout SMU, clock 01:33
1:33
3rd & 11
OWN 24
JaQuarion, Turn rush for 2 yards to the SFAFB26 (ROBINSON, D.), PENALTY SMU substitution infraction 5 yards to the SFAFB29, NO PLAY.
+5
1:33
3rd & 6
OWN 29
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 8 yds to the SFAus 37 for a 1ST down
+8
1.79
1:33
1st & 10
OWN 37
Trae Self pass complete to Chad Aune for 17 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down
+17
1.51
1:33
1st & 10
OPP 46
Trae Self pass incomplete to Chad Aune
0
-1.03
1:33
2nd & 10
OPP 46
Trae Self pass incomplete to Lawton Rikel
0
-1.07
1:33
3rd & 10
OPP 46
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 9 yds to the SMU 37
+9
0.98
0:14
4th & 1
OPP 37
Timeout SFA, clock 00:14
0:14
4th & 1
OPP 37
Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi Simmons
0
-2.34
▸
END OF HALF
1 pl · -2 yd · 0:10
0–29
0:10
1st & 10
OWN 37
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 35
-2
-1.40
0:00
OWN 0
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
PUNT
5 pl · -5 yd · 3:04
0–29
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 11 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST down
+11
0.93
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 36
Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 30
-6
-1.78
15:00
2nd & 16
OWN 30
Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 28
-2
-0.33
15:00
3rd & 18
OWN 28
Jaquarion Turner run for 3 yds to the SFAus 31 SFA Penalty, illegal block (Larry Jones III) to the SFAus 16
-12
-0.14
15:00
3rd & 30
OWN 16
Trae Self run for 4 yds to the SFAus 20
+4
-0.00
15:00
4th & 26
OWN 20
Max Quick punt for 44 yds , Danny Gray returns for 11 yds to the SMU 47
▸
TD
6 pl · 53 yd · 2:14
0–36
11:56
1st & 10
OWN 47
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 28 yds to the SFAus 25 for a 1ST down
+28
1.40
11:56
1st & 10
OPP 25
TJ McDaniel run for 12 yds to the SFAus 13 for a 1ST down
+12
0.16
11:56
1st & 10
OPP 13
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.
0
-0.30
11:56
2nd & 10
OPP 13
TJ McDaniel run for 4 yds to the SFAus 9
+4
-0.03
11:56
3rd & 6
OPP 9
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the SFAus 3 for a 1ST down
+6
1.41
9:46
1st & 3
OPP 3
LAVINE, Tyler rush for 3 yards to the SFAFB0, clock 09:46, PENALTY SMU illegal block (GRAY, Danny) 10 yards to the SFAFB13, NO PLAY.
-10
9:42
1st & 13
OPP 13
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 13 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)
+13
2.72
▸
TD
14 pl · 75 yd · 8:20
7–36
9:42
1st & 10
OWN 25
Jaquarion Turner run for 5 yds to the SFAus 30
+5
0.09
9:42
2nd & 5
OWN 30
Jaquarion Turner run for 6 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST down
+6
0.84
9:42
1st & 10
OWN 36
Tre'Jon Henderson run for 3 yds to the SFAus 39
+3
-0.41
9:42
2nd & 7
OWN 39
Tre'Jon Henderson run for 21 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down
+21
2.37
9:42
1st & 10
OPP 40
Jaquarion Turner run for 6 yds to the SMU 34
+6
0.27
9:42
2nd & 4
OPP 34
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 6 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down
+6
0.16
9:42
1st & 10
OPP 28
Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 32 Jaquarion Turner fumbled, forced by Gary Wiley , recovered by SFAus Zach Ingram
-2
-0.78
9:42
2nd & 14
OPP 32
Tre'Jon Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 35 Tre'Jon Henderson fumbled, recovered by SFAus Tre'Jon Henderson
-4
-1.76
9:42
3rd & 17
OPP 35
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 17 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST down
+17
2.81
9:42
1st & 10
OPP 18
Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 4 yds to the SMU 14
+4
-0.02
9:42
2nd & 6
OPP 14
Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 16
-2
-0.55
9:42
3rd & 8
OPP 16
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 9 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST down
+9
0.97
9:42
1st & 7
OPP 7
Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SMU 6
+1
-0.33
1:22
2nd & 6
OPP 6
Trae Self run for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Campos KICK)
+6
2.53
▸
PUNT
5 pl · 15 yd · 1:26
7–36
1:16
1st & 10
OWN 21
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tommy McIntyre
0
-0.59
1:16
2nd & 10
OWN 21
TJ McDaniel run for 18 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down
+18
2.06
1:16
1st & 10
OWN 39
TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the SMU 44
+5
0.11
1:16
2nd & 5
OWN 44
Danny Gray run for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 36
-8
-2.22
0:00
OWN 0
End of 3rd Quarter
15:00
3rd & 13
OWN 36
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson
0
-0.24
15:00
4th & 13
OWN 36
Chris Naggar punt for 37 yds , Larry Jones III returns for no gain to the SFAus 27
▸
Q4
ON DOWNS
4 pl · 7 yd · 1:27
7–36
14:50
1st & 10
OWN 27
Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 28
+1
-0.64
14:50
2nd & 9
OWN 28
Jaquarion Turner run for 6 yds to the SFAus 34
+6
0.21
14:50
3rd & 3
OWN 34
Trae Self pass incomplete to Jaquarion Turner
0
-0.57
14:50
4th & 3
OWN 34
Trae Self pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller
0
-0.08
▸
ON DOWNS
4 pl · 7 yd · 1:30
7–36
13:16
1st & 10
OPP 34
BUECHELE, Shane pass complete to RICE, Rashee for 34 yards to the SFAFB0, clock 13:16, PENALTY SMU holding (ROBERSON JR, Ro) 10 yards to the SFAFB44, NO PLAY.
-10
13:16
1st & 20
OPP 44
Timeout SMU, clock 13:16
13:16
1st & 20
OPP 44
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 15 yds to the SFAus 29
+15
1.73
13:16
2nd & 5
OPP 29
TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the SFAus 27
+2
-0.37
13:16
3rd & 3
OPP 27
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice
0
-0.80
13:16
4th & 3
OPP 27
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.
0
-2.98
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 1 yd
7–36
11:53
1st & 10
OWN 27
Trae Self pass incomplete
0
-0.77
11:53
2nd & 10
OWN 27
Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 28
+1
-0.33
11:15
3rd & 9
OWN 28
Timeout SMU, clock 11:15
11:15
3rd & 9
OWN 28
Trae Self pass incomplete to Larry Jones III
0
-0.21
11:15
4th & 9
OWN 28
Max Quick punt for 41 yds , Danny Gray returns for 15 yds to the SMU 46
▸
TD
5 pl · 54 yd · 2:16
7–43
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 2 yd · 1:40
7–43
8:44
1st & 10
OWN 25
Jaquarion Turner run for 2 yds to the SFAus 27
+2
-0.45
8:44
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Jaquarion Turner run for no gain to the SFAus 27
0
-0.48
8:44
3rd & 8
OWN 27
Preston Weeks pass incomplete to Chad Aune, broken up by Roderick Roberson Jr.
0
-0.22
8:44
4th & 8
OWN 27
Max Quick punt for 46 yds , Bryan Massey returns for 43 yds to the SFAus 30
▸
TD
3 pl · 30 yd · 1:03
7–50
7:04
1st & 10
OPP 30
TaMerik Williams run for 17 yds to the SFAus 13 for a 1ST down
+17
0.28
7:04
1st & 10
OWN 0
Terrance Gipson run for 8 yds to the SFAus 5 SFA Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the SFAus 5
+8
6:01
2nd & 2
OPP 5
TaMerik Williams run for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)
+5
2.09
▸
ON DOWNS
9 pl · 27 yd
7–50
5:56
1st & 10
OWN 20
Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 21
+1
-0.47
5:56
2nd & 9
OWN 21
Preston Weeks pass complete to Ty Love for 26 yds to the SFAus 47 for a 1ST down
+26
2.76
5:56
1st & 10
OWN 47
Tre'Jon Henderson run for 4 yds to the SMU 49
+4
-0.15
5:56
2nd & 6
OPP 49
Tre'Jon Henderson run for 1 yd to the SMU 48
+1
-0.92
5:56
3rd & 5
OPP 48
Preston Weeks pass complete to Carson Spence for 6 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down
+6
1.88
5:56
1st & 10
OPP 42
Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 44
-2
-1.35
5:56
2nd & 12
OPP 44
Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 45
-1
-1.23
5:56
3rd & 13
OPP 45
Preston Weeks pass incomplete to Tre'Jon Henderson, broken up by Preston Ellison
0
-0.74
5:56
4th & 13
OPP 45
Preston Weeks sacked by DeVere Levelston for a loss of 8 yards to the SFAus 47
-8
-0.38
▸
END OF GAME
3 pl · 8 yd · 1:43
7–50
1:43
1st & 10
OPP 47
Terrance Gipson pass complete to Matt Dorrity for 3 yds to the SFAus 44
+3
-0.35
1:43
2nd & 7
OPP 44
Terrance Gipson run for 6 yds to the SFAus 38
+6
0.33
1:43
3rd & 1
OPP 38
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 39
-1
-1.35
0:00
OWN 0
End of 4th Quarter