WIN PROBABILITY Army above · Air Force below
KICK 84% → 100% Air Force FINAL
Army
Air Force
bar spans the drive · tick marks the start · click a drive for the plays
▸
Q1
ON DOWNS
13 pl · 74 yd · 8:34
0–0
−5
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 25
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 27
+2
-0.45
15:00
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the Army 32
+5
0.06
15:00
3rd & 3
OWN 32
Sandon McCoy run for 38 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down
+38
3.65
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 30
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the AFA 29
+1
-0.42
15:00
2nd & 9
OPP 29
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the AFA 27
+2
-0.38
15:00
3rd & 7
OPP 27
Jabari Laws run for 10 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST down
+10
1.04
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 17
Sandon McCoy run for 11 yds to the AFA 6 for a 1ST down
+11
0.53
15:00
1st & 6
OPP 6
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the AFA 4
+2
-0.28
15:00
2nd & 4
OPP 4
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the AFA 3
+1
-0.29
15:00
3rd & 3
OPP 3
McCoy, Sandon rush for no gain to the AF3, out-of-bounds (HERRERA, Christ), PENALTY ARMY holding (Knapp, Noah) 10 yards to the AF13, NO PLAY.
-10
15:00
3rd & 13
OPP 13
Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Harrison, C., PENALTY AF holding (LEWIS, Zane) 7 yards to the AF6, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.
+7
15:00
1st & 6
OPP 6
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the AFA 6
0
-0.48
15:00
2nd & 6
OPP 6
Jabari Laws run for 4 yds to the AFA 2
+4
-0.02
15:00
3rd & 2
OPP 2
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the AFA 1
+1
-0.24
15:00
4th & 1
OPP 1
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the AFA 1
0
-4.21
▸
PUNT
10 pl · 39 yd
0–0
+3
6:26
1st & 10
OWN 1
Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 6
+5
0.06
6:26
2nd & 5
OWN 6
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down
+6
0.20
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 12
Timeout AIR FORCE, clock 05:11
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 12
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 18
+6
0.22
5:11
2nd & 4
OWN 18
Timothy Jackson run for 8 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down
+8
0.50
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 26
Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the AFA 35
+9
1.28
5:11
2nd & 1
OWN 35
Taven Birdow run for no gain to the AFA 35
0
-1.30
5:11
3rd & 1
OWN 35
Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down
+4
1.18
5:11
1st & 10
OWN 39
Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the AFA 40
+1
-0.90
5:11
2nd & 9
OWN 40
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kadin Remsberg for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 37
-3
-1.13
5:11
3rd & 12
OWN 37
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 40
+3
-0.13
5:11
4th & 9
OWN 40
Charlie Scott punt for 46 yds
▸
PUNT
4 pl · 18 yd
0–0
−3
0:10
1st & 10
OWN 14
Jabari Laws pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 13 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down
+13
0.73
0:00
OPP 0
End of 1st Quarter
15:00
1st & 10
OWN 27
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 29
+2
-0.49
15:00
2nd & 8
OWN 29
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 31
+2
-0.35
15:00
3rd & 6
OWN 31
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the Army 32
+1
-0.30
15:00
4th & 5
OWN 32
Zach Harding punt for 47 yds, downed at the AFA 21
▸
Q2
FG
9 pl · 77 yd · 4:53
0–3
−8
13:01
1st & 10
OWN 21
Timothy Jackson run for 13 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down
+13
0.99
13:01
1st & 10
OWN 34
Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 37
+3
-0.40
13:01
2nd & 7
OWN 37
Kadin Remsberg run for 22 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST down
+22
2.49
13:01
1st & 10
OPP 41
Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the Army 37
+4
-0.10
13:01
2nd & 6
OPP 37
Timothy Jackson run for 32 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST down
+32
1.45
13:01
1st & 5
OPP 5
Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the Army 4
+1
-0.45
13:01
2nd & 4
OPP 4
Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 5
-1
-0.43
13:01
3rd & 5
OPP 5
AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 10
-5
8:54
3rd & goal
OPP 10
Timeout AIR FORCE, clock 08:54
8:54
3rd & 10
OPP 10
Joshua Stoner run for 8 yds to the Army 2
+8
0.23
8:08
4th & 2
OPP 2
Jake Koehnke 20 yd FG GOOD
-1.15
▸
TD
11 pl · 65 yd · 6:51
6–3
+2
8:08
1st & 10
OWN 35
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the Army 36
+1
-0.83
8:08
2nd & 9
OWN 36
Jabari Laws pass complete to Camden Harrison for 5 yds to the Army 41
+5
0.07
8:08
3rd & 4
OWN 41
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down
+4
1.73
8:08
1st & 10
OWN 45
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 46
+1
-0.93
8:08
2nd & 9
OWN 46
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the Army 47
+1
-0.80
8:08
3rd & 8
OWN 47
Jabari Laws pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 9 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down
+9
2.59
8:08
1st & 10
OPP 44
Jabari Laws pass complete to Malik Hancock for 38 yds to the AFA 6 for a 1ST down
+38
1.36
8:08
1st & 6
OPP 6
Slomka, Connor rush for 2 yards to the AF4 (JACKSON, Jordan), PENALTY ARMY false start (Deaton, Jaxson) 5 yards to the AF11, NO PLAY.
-5
8:08
1st & 11
OPP 11
Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the AFA 8
+3
-0.09
8:08
2nd & 8
OPP 8
Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the AFA 5
+3
-0.08
8:08
3rd & 5
OPP 5
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the AFA 2
+3
-0.09
1:20
4th & goal
OPP 2
Timeout ARMY, clock 01:20
1:17
4th & 2
OPP 2
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Talley PAT MISSED)
+2
2.85
▸
INT
6 pl · 26 yd · 1:17
6–3
+9
1:17
1st & 10
OWN 25
Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the AFA 26
+1
-0.59
1:17
2nd & 9
OWN 26
Joshua Stoner run for 11 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down
+11
1.61
1:17
1st & 10
OWN 37
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 19 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST down
+19
1.64
1:17
1st & 10
OPP 44
TEAM pass incomplete
0
-0.97
1:17
2nd & 10
OPP 44
AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Army 49
-5
0:10
2nd & 15
OPP 49
Timeout ARMY, clock 00:10
0:10
2nd & 15
OPP 49
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders
0
-0.87
0:04
3rd & 15
OPP 49
Timeout ARMY, clock 00:04
0:04
3rd & 15
OPP 49
Donald Hammond III pass intercepted Elijah Riley return for 56 yds to the AFA 36
-0.63
0:00
OWN 0
End of 2nd Quarter
▸
Q3
PUNT
3 pl · 8 yd
6–3
−19
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd · 2:11
6–3
+14
13:03
1st & 10
OWN 13
Artice Hobbs IV run for 2 yds to the Army 15
+2
-0.26
13:03
2nd & 8
OWN 15
Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the Army 18
+3
-0.11
11:37
3rd & 5
OWN 18
Timeout ARMY, clock 11:37
11:37
3rd & 5
OWN 18
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the Army 19
+1
-0.17
11:37
4th & 4
OWN 19
Zach Harding punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 32 , Ben Peterson returns for 2 yds to the AFA 32
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 5 yd · 1:32
6–3
−20
10:52
1st & 10
OWN 32
Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 38
+6
0.39
10:52
2nd & 4
OWN 38
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders
0
-1.09
10:52
3rd & 4
OWN 38
Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 37
-1
-0.71
10:52
4th & 5
OWN 37
Charlie Scott punt for 31 yds, downed at the AIRFORCE 32 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Army 22
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 3 yd
6–3
+21
9:20
1st & 10
OWN 22
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Army 22
0
-0.61
9:20
2nd & 10
OWN 22
Jabari Laws run for 5 yds to the Army 27
+5
0.04
9:20
3rd & 5
OWN 27
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 22
-5
9:20
3rd & 10
OWN 22
Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the Army 25
+3
-0.06
9:20
4th & 7
OWN 25
Zach Harding punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 36
▸
TD
9 pl · 64 yd · 4:20
6–10
+1
▸
TD
1 pl · 75 yd · 0:13
13–10
−24
2:35
1st & 10
OWN 25
ARMY Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the Army 13
-12
2:22
1st & 10
OWN 13
Jabari Laws pass complete to Camden Harrison for 87 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)
+87
6.70
▸
TD
9 pl · 74 yd · 4:08
13–17
+23
2:16
1st & 10
OWN 26
Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 31
+5
0.10
2:16
2nd & 5
OWN 31
Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 34
+3
-0.33
2:16
3rd & 2
OWN 34
Donald Hammond III run for 30 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down
+30
3.23
2:16
1st & 10
OPP 36
Joshua Stoner run for 10 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down
+10
0.29
2:16
1st & 10
OPP 26
Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the Army 20
+6
0.20
0:00
OWN 0
End of 3rd Quarter
15:00
2nd & 4
OPP 20
AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Daniel Morris ) to the Army 25
-5
15:00
2nd & 9
OPP 25
Joshua Stoner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 26
-1
-0.75
15:00
3rd & 10
OPP 26
Joshua Stoner run for 16 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST down
+16
1.32
15:00
1st & 10
OPP 10
Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the Army 5
+5
0.08
13:08
2nd & 5
OPP 5
Joshua Stoner run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)
+5
2.44
▸
Q4
PUNT
3 pl · -3 yd · 1:04
13–17
+13
13:08
1st & 10
OWN 25
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Army 15 ARMY Penalty, intentional grounding (Jabari Laws ) to the Army 15
-10
-1.22
13:08
2nd & 20
OWN 15
Sandon McCoy run for 7 yds to the Army 22
+7
0.06
13:08
3rd & 13
OWN 22
Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Kell Walker
0
-0.09
13:08
4th & 13
OWN 22
Zach Harding punt for 78 yds for a touchback
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 2 yd
13–17
−19
▸
PUNT
3 pl · 6 yd
13–17
+16
10:34
1st & 10
OWN 25
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 27
+2
-0.45
10:34
2nd & 8
OWN 27
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 30
+3
-0.21
10:34
3rd & 5
OWN 30
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the Army 31
+1
-0.31
10:34
4th & 4
OWN 31
Zach Harding punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 17
▸
PUNT
10 pl · 38 yd
13–17
−15
▸
ON DOWNS
11 pl · 75 yd
13–17
−12
▸
END OF GAME
2 pl · -4 yd · 0:33
13–17
+37
0:33
1st & 10
OWN 5
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 3 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AFA Kadin Remsberg
-1
-0.32
0:33
2nd & 12
OWN 3
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 1
-2
-0.10
0:00
OWN 0
End of 4th Quarter